- The Guardians (74-65) are -125 favorites vs the Angels (61-80)
- Angels starting pitcher: José Suarez (6-6), 3.76 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Cody Morris (0-1), 3.00 ERA
- Watch the game on BSGL
The Los Angeles Angels (+105) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-125) on Tuesday, September 13, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Cleveland.
The Guardians are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Angels vs Guardians Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Angels are 61-77 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 71-66 ATS.
Angels vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -190 | O 8 -110 | +105 |
| Guardians | -1.5 +155 | U 8 -110 | -125 |
Angels vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the will win Tuesday‘s matchup with confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 28 games (+17.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- Patrick Sandoval has hit the Earned Runs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.75 Units / 43% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 40 away games (+11.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+10.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Total Bases Under in 38 of his last 61 games (+10.45 Units / 11% ROI)
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 37 games at home (+15.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 21 games at home (+13.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- Owen Miller has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 26 games at home (+13.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 57 games (+11.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 39 games (+10.70 Units / 17% ROI)
Guardians vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -650 |
| Luke Maile | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 +1200 | 0.5 |
| Oscar Gonzalez | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -700 |
Guardians vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -275 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Luke Maile | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +100 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
| Oscar Gonzalez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
Guardians vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -190 |
| Luke Maile | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Oscar Gonzalez | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
Guardians vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Suarez | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -165 |
| Morris | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +115 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Angels Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.30 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.95 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+0.90 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+0.90 Units / 9% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 18 of their last 33 games (+5.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.60 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.20 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.95 Units / 23% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 66-72 against the Run Line (-11.65 Units / -6.81% ROI).
- 61-77 when betting on the Moneyline for -27.05 Units / -15.29% ROI
- 63-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.55 Units / -5.61% ROI
- 65-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.35 Units / -2.24% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 71-66 against the Run Line (-0.35 Units / -0.2% ROI).
- 74-64 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.05 Units / 5.84% ROI
- 60-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.5 Units / -10.23% ROI
- 69-60 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.85 Units / 1.87% ROI
José Suarez: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 30% (61/201) against Jose Suarez on pitches in the strike zone this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 35% (65/188) against Jose Suarez this season — 12th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 43% — eighth Percentile.
Jose Suarez’s lowest spin rate on curveballs since the start of last season is 2363.0 RPM — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP; League Avg: 1625.2
Jose Suarez has induced opposing hitters to ground into just 2 double plays in 69 opportunities (3%) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 11% — first Percentile.
Cody Morris: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cody Morris has a strike rate of just 57% (66/115) this month (2 games) — tied for 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 65% — eighth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 25% (5/20) against Cody Morris this month (2 games) — tied for 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 42% — sixth Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 18% (11/60) against Cody Morris this month (2 games) — tied for 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 30% — fourth Percentile.
Cody Morris has thrown his cutter 34% of the time (39/115) this month (2 games) — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total CUT; League Avg: 22% — 92nd Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Angels are just 12-21 (.364) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 134-14 (.905) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Angels are just 18-24 (.429) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 33-78 (.297) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2020 season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .353.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Guardians are 18-141 (.113) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .086.
The Guardians are 83-22 (.790) when totaling 10 or more hits since the 2020 season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .733.
The Guardians are 124-20 (.861) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2020 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Guardians are 137-14 (.907) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .876.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have 1,360 strikeouts in 5,213 PA’s (26%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .304 (3,481 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Angels are batting just .236 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Angels hitters have an OPS of just .643 (3,448 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .695.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 679 strikeouts in 3,918 PA’s (17%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Guardians hitters have just 955 strikeouts in 5,255 PA’s (18%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters have put 40% of their swings in play this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have won only 8% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Angels have won just 14% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels pitchers have a strikeout rate of 23% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 19%.
The Angels have won just 28% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
The Guardians pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games on the road this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Guardians pitchers have won only 15% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .197 against Guardians pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .223.
Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 3.62 (1202.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.19.
Guardians vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Aaron Civale (Guardians): Forearm, D15
- Anthony Gose (Guardians): Triceps, D60
- Zach Plesac (Guardians): Hand, D15
- David Fletcher (Angels): Hand, Day-to-Day
- Jhonathan Diaz (Angels): Undisclosed, D60
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D60
- Archie Bradley (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
- Jared Walsh (Angels): Rib, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
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