- The – (98-43) are favorites vs the – (98-43)
- Angels starting pitcher: Patrick Sandoval (5-9), 2.97 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill (12-5), 3.49 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Los Angeles Angels () visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians () on Wednesday, September 14, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Cleveland.
The – are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().
The Angels vs Guardians Over/Under is total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Angels are 61-78 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 72-66 ATS.
Angels vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | O | ||
| Guardians | U |
Angels vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the will win Wednesday‘s matchup with confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 29 games (+15.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 41 away games (+12.05 Units / 17% ROI)
- Patrick Sandoval has hit the Earned Runs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.75 Units / 43% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Total Bases Under in 39 of his last 62 games (+11.45 Units / 12% ROI)
- Reid Detmers has hit the Strikeouts Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.70 Units / 63% ROI)
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Josh Naylor has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 22 games at home (+14.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 38 games at home (+13.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+11.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- Owen Miller has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 27 games at home (+11.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 58 games (+10.90 Units / 19% ROI)
Guardians vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 +1250 | 0.5 |
Guardians vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -130 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
| Oscar Gonzalez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
Guardians vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
Guardians vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Quantrill | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -140 |
| Patrick Sandoval | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -120 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Angels Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.30 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.75 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.20 Units / 3% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 19 of their last 34 games (+6.70 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.60 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.20 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.25 Units / 9% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 66-73 against the Run Line (-13.45 Units / -7.78% ROI).
- 61-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -28.05 Units / -15.77% ROI
- 63-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.75 Units / -6.35% ROI
- 66-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.35 Units / -1.56% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 72-66 against the Run Line (+1.25 Units / 0.72% ROI).
- 75-64 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.05 Units / 6.37% ROI
- 60-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.7 Units / -10.94% ROI
- 70-60 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.85 Units / 2.51% ROI
Patrick Sandoval: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .381 (24-for-63) against Patrick Sandoval’s elevated fastball this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: .224 — 0 Percentile.
Patrick Sandoval has a strikeout rate of just 9% (7 SO in 80 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.
Patrick Sandoval has a strikeout rate of just 1% (1 SO in 86 PAs) in PAs ending on inside fastballs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 14% — first Percentile.
Patrick Sandoval has walked 27 of 223 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP; League Avg: 6% — 0 Percentile.
Cal Quantrill: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 15% (103/686) against Cal Quantrill this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
29 of Cal Quantrill’s 94 breaking pitch strikeouts (31%) have been backdoor since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 96th Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has a strikeout rate of just 17% (108 SO in 650 PAs) this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — seventh Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has a strikeout rate of just 33% (108 SO in 325 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — sixth Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Angels are just 2-11 (.154) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 7-36 (.163) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.
The Angels are just 6-38 (.136) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .277.
The Angels are just 5-11 (.312) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Guardians are 11-56 (.164) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Guardians are 10-6 (.625) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians are 54-3 (.947) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Guardians are 17-2 (.895) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .805.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .300 (1,422 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.
Angels hitters have 1,368 strikeouts in 5,247 PA’s (26%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Angels are batting just .236 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Angels are batting just .222 against LHP this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 681 strikeouts in 3,925 PA’s (17%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .337 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Guardians hitters have just 961 strikeouts in 5,289 PA’s (18%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters have put 40% of their swings in play this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have won only 8% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Angels pitchers have walked 1,071 of 11,511 batters (9%) since the start of last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have a strikeout rate of 23% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 19%.
Angels pitchers have won only 15% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
The Guardians pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .197 against Guardians pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .223.
The Guardians pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 39% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 12 of 111 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (12 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Aaron Civale (Guardians): Forearm, D15
- Anthony Gose (Guardians): Triceps, D60
- Zach Plesac (Guardians): Hand, D15
- Jhonathan Diaz (Angels): Undisclosed, D60
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D60
- Archie Bradley (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
- Andrew Velazquez (Angels): Foot, D10
- Jared Walsh (Angels): Rib, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
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