- The Mariners are -175 favorites vs the Angels
- Angels starting pitcher: José Suarez
- Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo
- Watch the game on ROOT Sports NW
The Los Angeles Angels (+145) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-175) on Tuesday, April 4, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle.
The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Angels vs Mariners Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
This season, the Angels are 3-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 1-4 ATS.
Angels vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -150 | O 7 +105 | +145 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +125 | U 7 -125 | -175 |
Angels vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 62.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Under in his last 4 games (+5.90 Units / 79% ROI)
- Max Stassi has hit the Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+4.60 Units / 115% ROI)
- Jo Adell has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 55% ROI)
- Mickey Moniak has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 away games (+3.70 Units / 185% ROI)
- Mickey Moniak has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 away games (+3.35 Units / 167% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Mitch Haniger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.40 Units / 54% ROI)
- Dylan Moore has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.25 Units / 162% ROI)
- Dylan Moore has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.00 Units / 150% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Taylor Trammell has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
Mariners vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Logan O'Hoppe | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
Mariners vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Logan O'Hoppe | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -115 |
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Mariners vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Logan O'Hoppe | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -500 |
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -400 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Mariners vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Castillo | 7.5 -105 | 7.5 -125 |
| Jose Suarez | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 95 of their last 166 games (+13.10 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 45 of their last 80 away games (+6.60 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 4 games (+4.10 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 82 of their last 166 games (+0.60 Units / 0% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 87 games at home (+8.30 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 48 of their last 87 games at home (+5.50 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 45 of their last 84 games at home (+2.65 Units / 3% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 3-1 against the Run Line (+1.85 Units / 37.37% ROI).
- 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 15.63% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.4 Units / -8.42% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -2.44% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 1-4 against the Run Line (-3 Units / -48% ROI).
- 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.55 Units / -67.41% ROI
- 3-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.75 Units / 13.27% ROI
- 2-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.25 Units / -23.15% ROI
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Suarez allowed a .556 SLG versus the top of the order (tied for sixth worst)– fifth Percentile and just .229 versus the bottom of the order last season (sixth best among non-qualified SPs)– 96th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of .333 (17 GB hits out of 51 GBs) against Jose Suarez with runners on base in 2022 — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .237 — third Percentile.
Jose Suarez located 42% of his pitches inside (149/357) when ahead in the count in 2022 — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 96th Percentile.
Jose Suarez has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (295/873) on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total CB; League Avg: 19% — 97th Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted just .096 (11-for-114) against Luis Castillo’s elevated fastballs in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .224 — 99th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has not walked a batter in his last 26.0 innings pitched — Brusdar Graterol has the longest active streak at 34.1.
Luis Castillo had a strikeout rate of 48% (62/130) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs in 2022 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 59% (282/476) against Luis Castillo since the 2021 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels were just 7-42 (.143) when allowing 10 or more hits in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Angels are just 10-19 (.345) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 23-80 (.223) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2021 season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Mariners are 33-11 (.750) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mariners are 99-91 (.521) when underdogs since the 2021 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Mariners were 17-35 (.327) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Mariners were 15-6 (.714) when tied entering the 8th inning in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have an OPS of just .641 (3,716 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .693.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .303 (3,826 PA’s) against LHP since the 2021 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Angels hitters are averaging just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance against LHP since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
The Angels batted just .222 on the road in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters are slugging just .169 on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Mariners are batting just .218 at home since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Mariners are batting just .309 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
The Mariners are batting just .129 on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .153.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers won only 9% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Angels pitchers have walked 1,146 of 12,374 batters (9%) since the 2021 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers won only 16% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in 2022 — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Angels have won just 29% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Mariners have won 38% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Mariners vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taylor Trammell (Mariners): Hand, D10
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D15
- Dylan Moore (Mariners): Olique, D10
- Jared Walsh (Angels): Headaches, D10
- Max Stassi (Angels): Hip , D10
- Griffin Canning (Angels): Groin, D15
- José Marte (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D15
- Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
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