- The Mariners (57-50) are -225 favorites vs the Angels (45-61)
- Angels starting pitcher: Jaime Barria (1-1), 2.54 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby (2-3), 3.55 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Los Angeles Angels (+180) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-225) on Saturday, August 6, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle.
The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Angels vs Mariners Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Angels are 45-61 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 54-53 ATS.
Angels vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -120 | O 7.5 -110 | +180 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +100 | U 7.5 -110 | -225 |
Angels vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Saturday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 35 games (+26.45 Units / 38% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 40 games (+17.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 35 games (+13.60 Units / 34% ROI)
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 40 games at home (+21.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 52 of his last 74 games (+17.95 Units / 15% ROI)
Mariners vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Velazquez | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Jared Walsh | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jo Adell | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Kurt Suzuki | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Luis Rengifo | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Mariners vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Velazquez | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -150 |
| Jared Walsh | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
| Jo Adell | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
| Kurt Suzuki | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +100 |
| Luis Rengifo | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Mariners vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Velazquez | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jared Walsh | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jo Adell | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Kurt Suzuki | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Luis Rengifo | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
Mariners vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| George Kirby | 5.5 -155 | 5.5 +110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Angels Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 52 of their last 93 games (+14.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 45 games (+8.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 5 away games (+5.25 Units / 86% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+4.75 Units / 94% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+4.40 Units / 86% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 39 games (+18.15 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 33 games at home (+13.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 29 of their last 48 games (+11.50 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 27 games (+5.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 39 games (+4.10 Units / 8% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 48-58 against the Run Line (-13.2 Units / -10.24% ROI).
- 45-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -29.85 Units / -21.21% ROI
- 47-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.25 Units / -9.56% ROI
- 53-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.85 Units / 1.59% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 54-53 against the Run Line (-7.2 Units / -5.03% ROI).
- 57-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.95 Units / 6.23% ROI
- 50-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.4 Units / -6.32% ROI
- 53-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -2 Units / -1.68% ROI
Jaime Barria: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jaime Barria has a strikeout rate of just 9% (9 SO in 102 PAs) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Jaime Barria has a strikeout rate of just 19% (26 SO in 135 PAs) on low non-fastballs since the start of last season — 7th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 37% — fifth Percentile.
Jaime Barria has a strikeout rate of just 35% (73 SO in 208 PAs) with two-strikes since the start of last season — 5th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 45% — fifth Percentile.
Jaime Barria has walked 4 of 124 right-handed batters (3%) this season — 2nd best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 99th Percentile.
George Kirby: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Flexen has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 53% (170/319) of opposing batters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.
Chris Flexen has a strike rate of just 60% (575/954) against right-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.
George Kirby has not allowed a home run in any of the last 20.2 innings he’s appeared — Max Fried has the longest active streak at 60.0.
George Kirby has allowed a slugging percentage of .569 (58 Total Bases / 102 ABs) on breaking pitches this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: .368 — second Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Angels are just 4-29 (.121) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
The Angels are just 5-32 (.135) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .281.
The Angels are just 2-8 (.200) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 2-47 (.041) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .088.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Mariners are 42-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .912.
The Mariners are 6-40 (.130) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .115.
The Mariners are 26-5 (.839) when scoring in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .660.
The Mariners are 29-14 (.674) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have 731 strikeouts in 2,727 PA’s (27%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels hitters have 288 strikeouts in 1,179 PA’s (24%) against LHP this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels hitters have 1,019 strikeouts in 3,906 PA’s (26%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels hitters are slugging just .350 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters are slugging just .161 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .166 on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Mariners are batting just .307 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Mariners hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have won only 6% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Angels pitchers have won only 12% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Angels have won just 26% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Angels have won just 25% of games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Mariners have won 39% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Mariners vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taylor Trammell (Mariners): Hamstring, D10
- Dylan Moore (Mariners): Back, D10
- Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Evan White (Mariners): Hernia, D60
- Kenneth Giles (Mariners): Shoulder, D15
- Diego Castillo (Mariners): Shoulder, D15
- Mitchell Haniger (Mariners): Ankle, D60
- Julio Rodríguez (Mariners): Wrist, D10
- Matthew Boyd (Mariners): Elbow, D60
- Michael Lorenzen (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Michael Trout (Angels): Back, D10
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D60
- Matthew Duffy (Angels): Back, D60
- Archie Bradley (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
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