- The Angels (29-35) are -125 favorites vs the Mariners (28-35)
- Angels starting pitcher: Shohei Ohtani (4-4), 3.64 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby (1-1), 3.64 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Los Angeles Angels (-125) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (+105) on Thursday, June 16, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Seattle.
The Angels are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Angels vs Mariners Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Angels are 29-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 31-32 ATS.
Angels vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | -1.5 +140 | O 7 -105 | -125 |
| Mariners | +1.5 -165 | U 7 -115 | +105 |
Angels vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Thursday‘s matchup with 75.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Andrew Velazquez has hit the Singles Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 5 away games (+5.05 Units / 101% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 68% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the RBIs Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the RBIs Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 47% ROI)
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ty France has hit the Hits Over in 40 of his last 56 games (+18.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 28 games (+12.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+11.55 Units / 40% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 33 games (+11.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Singles Over in 37 of his last 55 games (+10.00 Units / 13% ROI)
Mariners vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Abraham Toro | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
Mariners vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Abraham Toro | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +135 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 -110 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 -105 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
Mariners vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Abraham Toro | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
Mariners vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| George Kirby | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 -105 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -130 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Angels Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 27 of their last 51 games (+4.05 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 39 games (+2.90 Units / 7% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+8.05 Units / 74% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 29 of their last 54 games (+4.95 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 26 games (+3.97 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 18 games (+2.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+2.50 Units / 12% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 30-34 against the Run Line (-5.6 Units / -7.22% ROI).
- 29-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.45 Units / -17.78% ROI
- 31-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.05 Units / -2.89% ROI
- 30-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -4 Units / -5.71% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 31-32 against the Run Line (-7.3 Units / -8.5% ROI).
- 28-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.45 Units / -8.92% ROI
- 31-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.65 Units / -3.82% ROI
- 31-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.95 Units / -4.23% ROI
Shohei Ohtani: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shohei Ohtani has an OPS of 1.682 (173 PA’s) when ahead in the count since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 1.146 — 98th Percentile.
Shohei Ohtani has a strikeout rate of 62% (35 SO in 56 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 19% (7/37) against Shohei Ohtani on sliders this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
8 of Shohei Ohtani’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — tied for 2nd most in MLB; League Avg: nan — 99th Percentile.
George Kirby: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
George Kirby has walked 1 of 81 left-handed batters (1%) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has walked 4 of 154 batters (3%) this season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has allowed a slugging percentage of .577 (30 Total Bases / 52 ABs) on breaking pitches this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: .365 — third Percentile.
George Kirby has allowed a slugging percentage of .926 (25 Total Bases / 27 ABs) when behind in the count this season — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: .566 — sixth Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Angels are just 26-7 (.788) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Angels are just 5-16 (.238) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
The Angels are just 12-17 (.414) on the road this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.
The Angels are just 1-27 (.036) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .074.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Mariners are 22-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Mariners are just 4-15 (.211) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
The Mariners are just 27-29 (.482) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.
The Mariners are just 14-21 (.400) on the road this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have 34 strikeouts in 116 PA’s (29%) against LHP over the last 14 days (10 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Angels hitters have 166 strikeouts in 693 PA’s (24%) against LHP this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .296 (996 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.
The Angels are batting just .230 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters are slugging just .156 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .163 on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Mariners are batting just .126 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.
The Mariners are batting just .305 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
The Angels pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 30% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Angels pitchers have won only 10% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels pitchers have walked 50 of 535 batters (9%) over the last 14 days (14 games) — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.7 MPH (1,540 batted balls) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.7.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Mariners vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Lewis (Mariners): Concussion, D7
- Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D10
- Kenneth Giles (Mariners): Finger, D60
- Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Evan White (Mariners): Sports Hernia, D60
- Mitchell Haniger (Mariners): Ankle, D10
- John Crawford (Mariners): Illness, Day-to-Day
- Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
- Cooper Criswell (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- David Fletcher (Angels): Hip, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
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