Angels vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 16

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 16, 2022, 11:10 AM
  • The Angels (29-35) are -125 favorites vs the Mariners (28-35)
  • Angels starting pitcher: Shohei Ohtani (4-4), 3.64 ERA
  • Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby (1-1), 3.64 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Los Angeles Angels (-125) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (+105) on Thursday, June 16, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Seattle.

The Angels are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).

The Angels vs Mariners Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Angels are 29-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 31-32 ATS.

Angels vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Angels-1.5 +140O 7 -105-125
Mariners +1.5 -165U 7 -115+105

Angels vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Thursday‘s matchup with 75.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Mariners vs Angels and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Andrew Velazquez has hit the Singles Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Mike Trout has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 5 away games (+5.05 Units / 101% ROI)
  • Mike Trout has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Mike Trout has hit the RBIs Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Shohei Ohtani has hit the RBIs Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 47% ROI)

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ty France has hit the Hits Over in 40 of his last 56 games (+18.30 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 28 games (+12.65 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+11.55 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Ty France has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 33 games (+11.00 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Ty France has hit the Singles Over in 37 of his last 55 games (+10.00 Units / 13% ROI)

Mariners vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Abraham Toro 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Adam Frazier 0.5 +825 0.5 -5000
Cal Raleigh 0.5 +350 0.5 -650
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 +320 0.5 -550
J.P. Crawford 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500

Mariners vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Abraham Toro 0.5 -160 0.5 +115
Adam Frazier 0.5 -200 0.5 +135
Cal Raleigh 0.5 -130 0.5 -110
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 -135 0.5 -105
J.P. Crawford 0.5 -200 0.5 +140

Mariners vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Abraham Toro 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
Adam Frazier 0.5 +260 0.5 -400
Cal Raleigh 0.5 +195 0.5 -300
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
J.P. Crawford 0.5 +220 0.5 -350

Mariners vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
George Kirby 5.5 -140 5.5 -105
Shohei Ohtani 6.5 -110 6.5 -130
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 27 of their last 51 games (+4.05 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 39 games (+2.90 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+8.05 Units / 74% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 29 of their last 54 games (+4.95 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 26 games (+3.97 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 18 games (+2.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+2.50 Units / 12% ROI)

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 30-34 against the Run Line (-5.6 Units / -7.22% ROI).

  • 29-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.45 Units / -17.78% ROI
  • 31-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.05 Units / -2.89% ROI
  • 30-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -4 Units / -5.71% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 31-32 against the Run Line (-7.3 Units / -8.5% ROI).

  • 28-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.45 Units / -8.92% ROI
  • 31-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.65 Units / -3.82% ROI
  • 31-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.95 Units / -4.23% ROI

Shohei Ohtani has an OPS of 1.682 (173 PA’s) when ahead in the count since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 1.146 — 98th Percentile.

Shohei Ohtani has a strikeout rate of 62% (35 SO in 56 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 19% (7/37) against Shohei Ohtani on sliders this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.

8 of Shohei Ohtani’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — tied for 2nd most in MLB; League Avg: nan — 99th Percentile.

George Kirby: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

George Kirby has walked 1 of 81 left-handed batters (1%) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.

George Kirby has walked 4 of 154 batters (3%) this season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

George Kirby has allowed a slugging percentage of .577 (30 Total Bases / 52 ABs) on breaking pitches this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: .365 — third Percentile.

George Kirby has allowed a slugging percentage of .926 (25 Total Bases / 27 ABs) when behind in the count this season — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: .566 — sixth Percentile.

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Angels are just 26-7 (.788) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.

The Angels are just 5-16 (.238) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.

The Angels are just 12-17 (.414) on the road this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.

The Angels are just 1-27 (.036) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .074.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Mariners are 22-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .900.

The Mariners are just 4-15 (.211) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.

The Mariners are just 27-29 (.482) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.

The Mariners are just 14-21 (.400) on the road this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.

Angels hitters have 34 strikeouts in 116 PA’s (29%) against LHP over the last 14 days (10 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Angels hitters have 166 strikeouts in 693 PA’s (24%) against LHP this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Angels hitters have an OBP of just .296 (996 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.

The Angels are batting just .230 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .156 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .163 on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

The Mariners are batting just .126 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.

The Mariners are batting just .305 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.

The Angels pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 30% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Angels pitchers have won only 10% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Angels pitchers have walked 50 of 535 batters (9%) over the last 14 days (14 games) — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Mariners pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.7 MPH (1,540 batted balls) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.7.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Mariners vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kyle Lewis (Mariners): Concussion, D7
  • Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D10
  • Kenneth Giles (Mariners): Finger, D60
  • Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Evan White (Mariners): Sports Hernia, D60
  • Mitchell Haniger (Mariners): Ankle, D10
  • John Crawford (Mariners): Illness, Day-to-Day
  • Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
  • Cooper Criswell (Angels): Shoulder, D60
  • David Fletcher (Angels): Hip, D60
  • Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.