- The Mariners (28-36) are -135 favorites vs the Angels (30-35)
- Angels starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen (6-3), 3.45 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Robert Ray (5-6), 4.51 ERA
- Watch the game on ROOT Sports NW
The Los Angeles Angels (+110) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-135) on Friday, June 17, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Seattle.
The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Angels vs Mariners Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Angels are 30-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 31-33 ATS.
Angels vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -185 | O 7.5 +100 | +110 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +150 | U 7.5 -120 | -135 |
Angels vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Friday‘s matchup with 64.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the RBIs Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- Jared Walsh has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+5.85 Units / 36% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Matt Duffy has hit the Runs Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 6 away games (+4.05 Units / 68% ROI)
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 29 games (+13.65 Units / 29% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games at home (+12.55 Units / 40% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+6.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 29 games (+4.85 Units / 12% ROI)
- Taylor Trammell has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 19% ROI)
Mariners vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Abraham Toro | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
Mariners vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Abraham Toro | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
Mariners vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Abraham Toro | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -200 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
Mariners vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Ray | 6.5 -145 | 6.5 +100 |
| Michael Lorenzen | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +120 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Angels Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 28 of their last 52 games (+5.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 9 games (+0.95 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 9 games (+0.90 Units / 9% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 11 games at home (+9.05 Units / 74% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.80 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 27 games (+2.72 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 19 games (+1.50 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 19 games (+1.30 Units / 5% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 31-34 against the Run Line (-4.4 Units / -5.6% ROI).
- 30-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.45 Units / -16.36% ROI
- 31-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.05 Units / -4.24% ROI
- 31-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -3 Units / -4.2% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 31-33 against the Run Line (-8.7 Units / -9.97% ROI).
- 28-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.45 Units / -10.16% ROI
- 31-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.65 Units / -5.19% ROI
- 32-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.95 Units / -2.74% ROI
Michael Lorenzen: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Lorenzen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .108 (4 Total Bases / 37 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .377 — 100th Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has struck out just 13% (14/110) of left-handed batters he faced this season — tied for lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 55% (97/175) against Michael Lorenzen this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 96th Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has allowed an OPS of just .429 (132 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .675 — 98th Percentile.
Robert Ray: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Robbie Ray has thrown inside pitches 51% of the time (441/870) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Robbie Ray has thrown inside pitches 51% of the time (620/1,215) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Robbie Ray has thrown inside pitches 47% of the time (417/897) when behind in the count since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Robbie Ray has thrown inside pitches 54% of the time (140/258) when behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Angels are just 27-7 (.794) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Angels are just 5-18 (.217) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .286.
The Angels are just 2-25 (.074) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Angels are just 1-27 (.036) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .075.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Mariners are just 14-21 (.400) on the road this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .487.
The Mariners are just 4-16 (.200) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .278.
The Mariners are 16-5 (.762) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .722.
The Mariners are just 1-28 (.034) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have chased 23% of pitches out of the zone in righty-righty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Angels hitters have 446 strikeouts in 1,711 PA’s (26%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Angels are batting just .229 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Angels hitters have 68 strikeouts in 217 PA’s (31%) over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters are slugging just .155 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.
The Mariners are batting just .306 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
The Mariners are batting just .300 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .342.
Mariners hitters have drawn 73 walks in 644 PA’s (11%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have not walked any of the 52 batters that they have faced when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (6 games) — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
The Angels pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 30% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Angels pitchers have walked 44 of 495 batters (9%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 50 double plays in 441 opportunities (11%) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Mariners have won just 21% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Mariners vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Lewis (Mariners): Concussion, D7
- Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D10
- Kenneth Giles (Mariners): Finger, D60
- Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Evan White (Mariners): Sports Hernia, D60
- Mitchell Haniger (Mariners): Ankle, D60
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, Day-to-Day
- Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
- Cooper Criswell (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- David Fletcher (Angels): Hip, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
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