- The Mariners are -210 favorites vs the Angels
- Angels starting pitcher: Patrick Sandoval
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryan Woo
- Watch the game on ROOT Sports NW
The Los Angeles Angels (+170) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-210) on Tuesday, September 12, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle.
The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Angels vs Mariners Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Angels are 68-77 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 69-75 ATS.
Angels vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -120 | O 8 -115 | +170 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +100 | U 8 -105 | -210 |
Angels vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 80.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Runs Over in 32 of his last 48 games (+12.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- Brandon Drury has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+12.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- Brandon Drury has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 26 games (+10.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- Mike Moustakas has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+10.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 22 away games (+10.15 Units / 22% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 24 games (+12.90 Units / 49% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 39 games (+12.60 Units / 17% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 41 games (+11.95 Units / 26% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 31 of his last 50 games (+10.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 48 games (+10.15 Units / 21% ROI)
Mariners vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Logan O'Hoppe | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Mariners vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Logan O'Hoppe | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
Mariners vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Logan O'Hoppe | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Mariners vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Patrick Sandoval | 6.5 +125 | 6.5 -160 |
| Bryan Woo | 5.5 -130 | 5.5 +100 |
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 42 games (+13.04 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 59 games (+9.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+6.08 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.70 Units / 94% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.63 Units / 42% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 43 games (+14.54 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 43 of their last 68 games (+13.34 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 34 games (+12.75 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 64 games (+10.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 27 games (+9.35 Units / 31% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 67-78 against the Run Line (-20.25 Units / -10.97% ROI).
- 68-77 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.25 Units / -9.44% ROI
- 73-65 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.1 Units / 0.68% ROI
- 65-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.6 Units / -9.23% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 69-75 against the Run Line (-9.35 Units / -5.11% ROI).
- 79-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.2 Units / -2.95% ROI
- 74-66 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.4 Units / 0.88% ROI
- 66-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.6 Units / -9.27% ROI
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Patrick Sandoval has walked 141 of 1,252 right-handed batters (11%) since the 2021 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 186 total IP; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Patrick Sandoval has walked 110 of 991 right-handed batters (11%) since last season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 7% — fourth Percentile.
Patrick Sandoval has thrown off-speed pitches 74% of the time (1,019/1,367) with two-strikes since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total NonFB; League Avg: 52% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .348 (46-for-132) against Patrick Sandoval’s elevated fastball since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: .224 — first Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryan Woo has thrown fastballs 74% of the time (823/1,116) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 32% (45/142) against Bryan Woo on fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 16% (11/67) against Bryan Woo on inside fastballs this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 99th Percentile.
Bryan Woo has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 86.8 MPH (196 batted balls) this season — tied for 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 89.3 — 97th Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 14-22 (.389) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 27-21 (.562) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .730.
The Angels are just 37-41 (.474) after a loss as favorites since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Mariners are 12-6 (.667) after a win as underdogs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .433.
The Mariners are 131-6 (.956) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .907.
The Mariners are 16-27 (.372) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .270.
The Mariners are 42-5 (.894) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .730.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .270 (904 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .275 (1,359 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Angels hitters have 2,874 strikeouts in 11,503 PA’s (25%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Angels are batting just .221 with two outs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .124 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .155.
Mariners hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Mariners hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Mariners are batting just .237 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 253 of 2,725 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Angels pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Angels pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Angels pitchers since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 363 of 5,341 batters (7%) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 814 of 11,371 batters (7%) since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 69% of opposing batters this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Opponents have a swing rate of 51% against the Mariners pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Mariners vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Emerson Hancock (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Easton McGee (Mariners): Forearm, D60
- Marco Gonzales (Mariners): Forearm, D60
- Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Thumb, D10
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D60
- William Murfee (Mariners): Elbow, D60
- Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
- Jordon Adell (Angels): Oblique, D60
- Michael Trout (Angels): Hand, D10
- Luis Rengifo (Angels): Bicep, D10
- Jaime Barría (Angels): Hamstring, D15
- McKenzie Moniak (Angels): Back, Day-to-Day
- José Quijada (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Shohei Ohtani (Angels): Oblique, Day-to-Day
- Giovanny Urshela (Angels): Pelvis, D60
- Chase Silseth (Angels): Head, D7
- Austin Warren (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Christopher Cron (Angels): Back, D10
- Samuel Bachman (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Shin, D60
- Joseph Ward (Angels): Face, D60
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