Angels vs Marlins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 9

(AP Photo/Lynne Sladky)
Sportsbook Promos
  • The Marlins are -155 favorites vs the Angels
  • Angels vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Angels / Marlins TV Channel: MATV | WBFS | ABTV

The Los Angeles Angels (+125) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-155) on August 9, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 pm in Miami, FL.

This season, the Angels are 45-72 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 59-58 ATS.

Angels vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Angels starting pitcher: Grayson Rodriguez 3-4, 7.29 ERA
  • Marlins starting pitcher: Ryan Gusto 0-3, 4.77 ERA

Angels vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Angels+1.5 -165O 8.5 -110+125
Marlins -1.5 +135U 8.5 -110-155

Angels vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Moises Ballesteros has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 20 away games (+16.25 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Wade Meckler has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.55 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Moises Ballesteros has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 away games (+10.35 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Denzer Guzman has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+9.20 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Josh Lowe has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+9.05 Units / 57% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Xavier Edwards has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+16.85 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Heriberto Hernandez has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games at home (+14.80 Units / 148% ROI)
  • Xavier Edwards has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.65 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Javier Sanoja has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+12.25 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+11.30 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 23 games (+14.55 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games (+12.35 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.15 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 12 games (+2.60 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+1.85 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games (+12.30 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+10.20 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.60 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 50 games (+8.80 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 30 games at home (+7.60 Units / 21% ROI)

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Angels are 56-60 against the Run Line (-21.25 Units / -13.28% ROI).

  • 45-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.25 Units / -16.25% ROI
  • 50-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.05 Units / -16.32% ROI
  • 65-50 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.7 Units / 8.33% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 59-58 against the Run Line (-8.35 Units / -5.29% ROI).

  • 59-59 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.6 Units / 0.44% ROI
  • 57-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -7 Units / -5.37% ROI
  • 58-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.45 Units / -3.44% ROI

Marlins vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Kyle Stowers +360
Mike Trout +450
Griffin Conine +475
Heriberto Hernandez +500
Owen Caissie +550

Marlins vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Vaughn Grissom 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Kyle Stowers 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Jakob Marsee 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Mike Trout 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Javier Sanoja 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Marlins vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Heriberto Hernandez 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Jakob Marsee 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Grayson Rodriguez 4.5 -190 4.5 +140
Vaughn Grissom 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Joe Mack 0.5 -185 0.5 +135

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Angels were just 11-37 (.229) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .359.

The Angels were just 54-6 (.900) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.

The Angels were just 63-82 (.434) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .538.

The Angels were 19-6 (.760) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Marlins were just 45-10 (.818) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.

The Marlins were just 60-86 (.411) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .538.

The Marlins were just 39-14 (.736) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The Marlins were just 62-100 (.383) in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Angels hitters are slugging just .340 at home this season — lowest in MLB.

Angels hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against LHP this season — highest in MLB.

Angels hitters have put just 34% of their swings in play this season — lowest in MLB.

Angels hitters have an OPS of just .639 (2,119 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have a groundball batting average of .283 this season — best in MLB.

Marlins hitters have put 39% of their swings in play with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have a groundball batting average of .305 with runners on base this season — best in MLB.

Marlins hitters have put 39% of their swings in play in non-two strike counts this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

Angels pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — lowest in MLB.

Angels pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — highest in MLB.

Angels pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Angels won just 14% of the time this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Marlins have won just 8% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 3.35 (534.2 IP) at home this season — 4th best in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have not picked-off any runners from first base this season — fewest in MLB.

The Marlins have allowed 3.64 runs per game (215/59) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.