- The Marlins (38-40) are -150 favorites vs the Angels (37-44)
- Angels starting pitcher: Noah Syndergaard (5-6), 3.85 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Sandy Alcantara (8-3), 1.95 ERA
- Watch the game on BSFL
The Los Angeles Angels (+125) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-150) on Tuesday, July 5, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami.
The Marlins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Angels vs Marlins Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Angels are 37-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 40-38 ATS.
Angels vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -165 | O 7 -120 | +125 |
| Marlins | -1.5 +140 | U 7 +100 | -150 |
Angels vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 71.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.15 Units / 49% ROI)
- Brandon Marsh has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+7.00 Units / 69% ROI)
- Brandon Marsh has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Brandon Marsh has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.95 Units / 68% ROI)
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Garrett Cooper has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+8.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- Garrett Cooper has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 12 games at home (+7.80 Units / 53% ROI)
- Jesus Aguilar has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+7.05 Units / 88% ROI)
- Jesus Aguilar has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 14 games at home (+6.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- Jesus Sanchez has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.15 Units / 44% ROI)
Marlins vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Avisail Garcia | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Brian Anderson | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Garrett Cooper | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Jacob Stallings | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Jesus Aguilar | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
Marlins vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Avisail Garcia | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +135 |
| Brian Anderson | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| Garrett Cooper | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jacob Stallings | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -110 |
| Jesus Aguilar | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
Marlins vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Avisail Garcia | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Garrett Cooper | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jacob Stallings | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jesus Aguilar | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jesus Sanchez | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
Marlins vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Sandy Alcantara | 7.5 -125 | 7.5 -115 |
| Noah Syndergaard | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 -105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Angels Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 38 of their last 68 games (+9.25 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.30 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+0.50 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+0.50 Units / 8% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Marlins: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+11.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 26 games at home (+8.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 26 games (+8.20 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games (+3.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.65 Units / 45% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 36-45 against the Run Line (-11.15 Units / -11.52% ROI).
- 37-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.8 Units / -16.99% ROI
- 36-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.25 Units / -10.3% ROI
- 41-36 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.6 Units / 1.8% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 40-38 against the Run Line (-1.75 Units / -1.68% ROI).
- 38-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.4 Units / -4.71% ROI
- 39-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.55 Units / -1.79% ROI
- 37-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.45 Units / -6.38% ROI
Noah Syndergaard: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Noah Syndergaard has allowed 20 stolen bases this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Noah Syndergaard has had second base stolen on him 15 times this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Noah Syndergaard has had third base stolen on him 5 times this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Noah Syndergaard has thrown his curveball 42% of the time (115/272) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total CB; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
Sandy Alcantara: Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 12% (15/128) against Sandy Alcantara this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 16% (63/394) against Sandy Alcantara since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Sandy Alcantara has a first-pitch strike rate of just 45% (28/62) — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 62% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 66% (35/53) against Sandy Alcantara — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 41% — 98th Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Angels are just 2-5 (.286) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 5-24 (.172) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .287.
The Angels are just 32-7 (.821) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .893.
The Angels are just 5-25 (.167) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .282.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Marlins are just 1-31 (.031) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .080.
The Marlins are 25-4 (.862) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Marlins are just 4-26 (.133) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
The Marlins are just 30-3 (.909) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .920.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have 13 strikeouts in 26 PA’s (50%) against LHP over the past seven days (1 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Angels are batting just .091 on the road over the last 14 days (3 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Angels hitters are slugging just .205 on the road over the last 14 days (3 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .417.
Angels hitters have 67 strikeouts in 166 PA’s (40%) over the past seven days (5 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have 645 strikeouts in 2,337 PA’s (28%) against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .291 (2,337 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .646 (2,337 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.
Marlins hitters are slugging just .355 against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have allowed a run just 22% of the time after an opposing score this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Angels pitchers have won only 8% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels pitchers have won only 12% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Angels pitchers have allowed a run just 28% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .195 against Marlins pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
The Marlins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 66% of their games at home this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Marlins have won just 17% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Marlins vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jesús Luzardo (Marlins): Forearm, D60
- Paul Campbell (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Cole Sulser (Marlins): Lat, D15
- Louis Head (Marlins): Shoulder, D15
- Sean Guenther (Marlins): Arm, D60
- Cody Poteet (Marlins): Elbow, D15
- Jorge Soler (Marlins): Pelvis, D10
- Jasrado Chisholm Jr. (Marlins): Back, D10
- Anthony Bender (Marlins): Back, D15
- Edward Cabrera (Marlins): Elbow, D15
- Austin Warren (Angels): Triceps, D15
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D60
- Matthew Duffy (Angels): Back, D10
- Archie Bradley (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
- Cooper Criswell (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Jimmy Herget (Angels): Shoulder, D15
- David Fletcher (Angels): Hip, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
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