Angels vs Marlins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 5

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 05, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Marlins (38-40) are -150 favorites vs the Angels (37-44)
  • Angels starting pitcher: Noah Syndergaard (5-6), 3.85 ERA
  • Marlins starting pitcher: Sandy Alcantara (8-3), 1.95 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSFL

The Los Angeles Angels (+125) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-150) on Tuesday, July 5, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami.

The Marlins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).

The Angels vs Marlins Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Angels are 37-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 40-38 ATS.

Angels vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Angels+1.5 -165O 7 -120+125
Marlins -1.5 +140U 7 +100-150

Angels vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 71.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Marlins vs Angels and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.25 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.15 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Brandon Marsh has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+7.00 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Brandon Marsh has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Brandon Marsh has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.95 Units / 68% ROI)

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Garrett Cooper has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+8.80 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Garrett Cooper has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 12 games at home (+7.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Jesus Aguilar has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+7.05 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Jesus Aguilar has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 14 games at home (+6.40 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Jesus Sanchez has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.15 Units / 44% ROI)

Marlins vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Avisail Garcia 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Brian Anderson 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Garrett Cooper 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Jacob Stallings 0.5 +875 0.5 -5000
Jesus Aguilar 0.5 +450 0.5 -1000

Marlins vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Avisail Garcia 0.5 -200 0.5 +135
Brian Anderson 0.5 -155 0.5 +110
Garrett Cooper 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Jacob Stallings 0.5 -125 0.5 -110
Jesus Aguilar 0.5 -200 0.5 +140

Marlins vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Avisail Garcia 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Garrett Cooper 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Jacob Stallings 0.5 +260 0.5 -400
Jesus Aguilar 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Jesus Sanchez 0.5 +240 0.5 -375

Marlins vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Sandy Alcantara 7.5 -125 7.5 -115
Noah Syndergaard 4.5 -135 4.5 -105
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 38 of their last 68 games (+9.25 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.65 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.30 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+0.50 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+0.50 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+11.20 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 26 games at home (+8.20 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 26 games (+8.20 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games (+3.85 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.65 Units / 45% ROI)

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 36-45 against the Run Line (-11.15 Units / -11.52% ROI).

  • 37-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.8 Units / -16.99% ROI
  • 36-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.25 Units / -10.3% ROI
  • 41-36 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.6 Units / 1.8% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 40-38 against the Run Line (-1.75 Units / -1.68% ROI).

  • 38-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.4 Units / -4.71% ROI
  • 39-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.55 Units / -1.79% ROI
  • 37-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.45 Units / -6.38% ROI

Noah Syndergaard has allowed 20 stolen bases this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Noah Syndergaard has had second base stolen on him 15 times this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Noah Syndergaard has had third base stolen on him 5 times this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Noah Syndergaard has thrown his curveball 42% of the time (115/272) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total CB; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.

Sandy Alcantara: Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 12% (15/128) against Sandy Alcantara this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 16% (63/394) against Sandy Alcantara since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Sandy Alcantara has a first-pitch strike rate of just 45% (28/62) — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 62% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 66% (35/53) against Sandy Alcantara — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 41% — 98th Percentile.

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Angels are just 2-5 (.286) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Angels are just 5-24 (.172) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .287.

The Angels are just 32-7 (.821) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .893.

The Angels are just 5-25 (.167) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .282.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Marlins are just 1-31 (.031) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .080.

The Marlins are 25-4 (.862) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.

The Marlins are just 4-26 (.133) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.

The Marlins are just 30-3 (.909) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .920.

Angels hitters have 13 strikeouts in 26 PA’s (50%) against LHP over the past seven days (1 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

The Angels are batting just .091 on the road over the last 14 days (3 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Angels hitters are slugging just .205 on the road over the last 14 days (3 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .417.

Angels hitters have 67 strikeouts in 166 PA’s (40%) over the past seven days (5 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Marlins hitters have 645 strikeouts in 2,337 PA’s (28%) against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .291 (2,337 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.

Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .646 (2,337 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.

Marlins hitters are slugging just .355 against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .409.

Angels pitchers have allowed a run just 22% of the time after an opposing score this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Angels pitchers have won only 8% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Angels pitchers have won only 12% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Angels pitchers have allowed a run just 28% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .195 against Marlins pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .235.

The Marlins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 66% of their games at home this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

The Marlins have won just 17% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Marlins vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jesús Luzardo (Marlins): Forearm, D60
  • Paul Campbell (Marlins): Elbow, D60
  • Cole Sulser (Marlins): Lat, D15
  • Louis Head (Marlins): Shoulder, D15
  • Sean Guenther (Marlins): Arm, D60
  • Cody Poteet (Marlins): Elbow, D15
  • Jorge Soler (Marlins): Pelvis, D10
  • Jasrado Chisholm Jr. (Marlins): Back, D10
  • Anthony Bender (Marlins): Back, D15
  • Edward Cabrera (Marlins): Elbow, D15
  • Austin Warren (Angels): Triceps, D15
  • Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D60
  • Matthew Duffy (Angels): Back, D10
  • Archie Bradley (Angels): Elbow, D60
  • Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
  • Cooper Criswell (Angels): Shoulder, D60
  • Jimmy Herget (Angels): Shoulder, D15
  • David Fletcher (Angels): Hip, D60
  • Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.