Angels vs Marlins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 06, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Angels (37-45) are -165 favorites vs the Marlins (39-40)
  • Angels starting pitcher: Shohei Ohtani (7-4), 2.67 ERA
  • Marlins starting pitcher: Trevor Rogers (4-6), 5.55 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSFL

The Los Angeles Angels (-165) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+140) on Wednesday, July 6, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami.

The Angels are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Angels vs Marlins Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Angels are 37-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 40-39 ATS.

Angels vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Angels-1.5 +105O 7 -115-165
Marlins +1.5 -130U 7 -105+140

Angels vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 58.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+8.45 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Brandon Marsh has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+8.00 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Brandon Marsh has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Brandon Marsh has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 40% ROI)

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Garrett Cooper has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+9.80 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Garrett Cooper has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 13 games at home (+7.50 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Jesus Aguilar has hit the RBIs Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Garrett Cooper has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 13 games at home (+6.50 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Jesus Aguilar has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+6.05 Units / 67% ROI)

Marlins vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Avisail Garcia 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Brian Anderson 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Garrett Cooper 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Jacob Stallings 0.5 +900 0.5 -5000
Jesus Aguilar 0.5 +450 0.5 -900

Marlins vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Avisail Garcia 0.5 -155 0.5 +110
Brian Anderson 0.5 -115 0.5 -120
Garrett Cooper 0.5 -175 0.5 +120
Jacob Stallings 0.5 -110 0.5 -130
Jesus Aguilar 0.5 -160 0.5 +110

Marlins vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Avisail Garcia 0.5 +250 0.5 -375
Brian Anderson 0.5 +290 0.5 -500
Garrett Cooper 0.5 +195 0.5 -300
Jacob Stallings 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
Jesus Aguilar 0.5 +170 0.5 -250

Marlins vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Trevor Rogers 4.5 -160 4.5 +115
Shohei Ohtani 6.5 -160 6.5 +115
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 39 of their last 69 games (+10.25 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games (+9.65 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 7 away games (+1.30 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.75 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 23 of their last 36 games at home (+10.20 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 27 games (+9.20 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 27 games at home (+7.20 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 5 games (+5.15 Units / 87% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 5 games (+5.05 Units / 82% ROI)

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 37-45 against the Run Line (-10.15 Units / -10.31% ROI).

  • 37-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.8 Units / -17.73% ROI
  • 36-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.25 Units / -11.29% ROI
  • 42-36 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.6 Units / 2.89% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 40-39 against the Run Line (-2.75 Units / -2.61% ROI).

  • 39-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.4 Units / -3.58% ROI
  • 39-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.55 Units / -2.91% ROI
  • 38-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.45 Units / -5.14% ROI

Shohei Ohtani has an OPS of 1.698 (186 PA’s) when ahead in the count since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 1.152 — 98th Percentile.

Shohei Ohtani is slugging 1.010 (104 total bases in 103 ABs) with the pitcher behind in the count since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .645 — 97th Percentile.

Shohei Ohtani has 44 barreled balls on inside pitches since the start of last season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Shohei Ohtani has an OPS of 1.627 (222 PA’s) when ahead in the count since the start of 2020 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 1.149 — 98th Percentile.

Trevor Rogers: Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Trevor Rogers has thrown his changeup 29% of the time (89/309) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total CH; League Avg: 10% — 98th Percentile.

Trevor Rogers has walked 20 of 127 batters (16%) versus the top of the order this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .431 (50-for-116) against Trevor Rogers in non-two strike counts this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: .326 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% (33/94) against Trevor Rogers in two-strike counts this season — 10th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 45% — ninth Percentile.

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Angels are just 2-5 (.286) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Angels are just 3-23 (.115) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .331.

The Angels are just 5-25 (.167) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .284.

The Angels are just 32-7 (.821) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .895.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Marlins are just 6-18 (.250) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .287.

The Marlins are 25-4 (.862) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

The Marlins are just 1-31 (.031) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .080.

The Marlins are 105-13 (.890) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .876.

The Angels are batting just .094 on the road over the last 14 days (4 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Angels hitters are slugging just .179 on the road over the last 14 days (4 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.

The Angels are batting just .210 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.

Angels hitters have 123 strikeouts in 381 PA’s (32%) over the last 14 days (11 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Marlins hitters have 645 strikeouts in 2,337 PA’s (28%) against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .291 (2,337 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.

Marlins hitters have 179 strikeouts in 641 PA’s (28%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Marlins hitters are slugging just .336 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .398.

Angels pitchers have allowed a run just 22% of the time after an opposing score this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Angels pitchers have allowed a run just 28% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

The Angels have allowed 1.54 runs per game (126/82) in late innings this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.28.

Angels pitchers have won only 12% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .195 against Marlins pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .235.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Marlins pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Marlins pitchers have won only 13% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Marlins vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jesús Luzardo (Marlins): Forearm, D60
  • Paul Campbell (Marlins): Elbow, D60
  • Cole Sulser (Marlins): Lat, D15
  • Louis Head (Marlins): Shoulder, D15
  • Sean Guenther (Marlins): Arm, D60
  • Cody Poteet (Marlins): Elbow, D15
  • Jorge Soler (Marlins): Pelvis, D10
  • Jasrado Chisholm Jr. (Marlins): Back, D10
  • Anthony Bender (Marlins): Back, D15
  • Edward Cabrera (Marlins): Elbow, D15
  • Austin Warren (Angels): Triceps, D15
  • Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D60
  • Matthew Duffy (Angels): Back, D10
  • Archie Bradley (Angels): Elbow, D60
  • Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
  • Cooper Criswell (Angels): Shoulder, D60
  • Jimmy Herget (Angels): Shoulder, D15
  • David Fletcher (Angels): Hip, D60
  • Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.