Angels vs Mets Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 26

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 26, 2023, 3:32 PM
  • The Angels are -120 favorites vs the Mets
  • Angels starting pitcher: Chase Silseth
  • Mets starting pitcher: Carlos Carrasco
  • Watch the game on SNY

The Los Angeles Angels (-120) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (+100) on Saturday, August 26, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.

The Angels are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Angels vs Mets Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

This season, the Angels are 62-67 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 51-77 ATS.

Angels vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Angels-1.5 +135O 9 -110-120
Mets +1.5 -165U 9 -110+100

Angels vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 57.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Shohei Ohtani has hit the Runs Over in 35 of his last 50 games (+18.45 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Brandon Drury has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 away games (+14.15 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 14 away games (+11.75 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 37 games (+10.15 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Brandon Drury has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 17 games (+9.95 Units / 59% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 35 of his last 48 games (+16.05 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 30 games (+10.75 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+8.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 21 games at home (+8.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Jeff McNeil has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 36 games (+7.50 Units / 20% ROI)

Mets vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Logan O'Hoppe 0.5 +450 0.5 -1000
Mike Moustakas 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Shohei Ohtani 0.5 +225 0.5 -350
Omar Narvaez 0.5 +750 0.5 -3000
Francisco Lindor 0.5 +333 0.5 -600

Mets vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Logan O'Hoppe 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Mike Moustakas 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Shohei Ohtani 1.5 +165 1.5 -225
Omar Narvaez 0.5 -155 0.5 +120
Francisco Lindor 0.5 -250 0.5 +185

Mets vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Logan O'Hoppe 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Mike Moustakas 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Shohei Ohtani 0.5 +125 0.5 -165
Omar Narvaez 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
Francisco Lindor 0.5 +150 0.5 -200

Mets vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carlos Carrasco 4.5 -120 4.5 -105
Chase Silseth 4.5 +105 4.5 -135
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 26 games (+11.30 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 away games (+7.29 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 43 games (+6.45 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 16 away games (+2.55 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 29 away games (+1.45 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 40 games at home (+8.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 39 games at home (+6.58 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 40 games at home (+4.25 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.79 Units / 45% ROI)

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 59-70 against the Run Line (-18.95 Units / -11.52% ROI).

  • 62-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.65 Units / -9.51% ROI
  • 63-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.3 Units / -1.6% ROI
  • 59-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.35 Units / -6.66% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 51-77 against the Run Line (-35.8 Units / -22.15% ROI).

  • 58-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -30.85 Units / -17.94% ROI
  • 53-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -24.6 Units / -17.55% ROI
  • 70-53 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.6 Units / 8.33% ROI

Opponents are hitting just .075 (3-for-40) against Chase Silseth with two-strikes over the last 30 days (4 games) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .174 — 99th Percentile.

Chase Silseth has allowed an OBP of just .115 (26 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order over the last 30 days (4 games) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .291 — 99th Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting just .167 (6-for-36) against Chase Silseth over the last 30 days (4 games) — tied for 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .246 — 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 30% (16/53) against Chase Silseth over the last 30 days (4 games) — 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 23% — ninth Percentile.

Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Carlos Carrasco has allowed a slugging percentage of .830 (39 Total Bases / 47 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .438 — first Percentile.

Carlos Carrasco has allowed a slugging percentage of .744 (93 Total Bases / 125 ABs) on inside fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: .426 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .477 (73-for-153) against Carlos Carrasco when he’s behind in the count since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: .339 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .408 (51-for-125) against Carlos Carrasco’s inside fastball since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: .261 — 0 Percentile.

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Angels are just 11-112 (.089) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .131.

The Angels are just 50-9 (.847) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .897.

The Angels are just 6-120 (.048) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .093.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Mets are just 2-59 (.033) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.

The Mets are 141-1 (.993) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .952.

The Mets are just 5-33 (.132) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.

The Mets are 52-4 (.929) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .897.

Angels hitters have an OBP of just .276 (1,308 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

The Angels are batting just .215 with two outs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .238.

Angels hitters have 2,742 strikeouts in 10,896 PA’s (25%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Angels are batting just .218 with two outs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.

The Mets are batting just .227 at home this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .253.

The Mets have scored first in just 40% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Mets hitters have just 688 strikeouts in 3,356 PA’s (20%) against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Mets are batting just .234 against LHP this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.

Angels pitchers have walked 9 of 54 batters (17%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Angels pitchers have walked 118 of 1,143 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Angels pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Angels pitchers have walked 1,040 of 11,049 batters (9%) since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Mets pitchers since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Mets pitchers have walked 481 of 4,885 batters (10%) this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Mets vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Luis Guillorme (Mets): Leg, D10
  • Edwin Díaz (Mets): Knee, D60
  • Starling Marte (Mets): Migraines, D10
  • John Curtiss (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Mark Vientos (Mets): Wrist, D10
  • Elieser Hernández (Mets): Pec, D60
  • Joshua Walker (Mets): Oblique, D60
  • Jordon Adell (Angels): Oblique, D60
  • Michael Trout (Angels): Hand, D10
  • José Suarez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
  • Max Stassi (Angels): Hip , D60
  • José Quijada (Angels): Elbow, D60
  • Zachary Neto (Angels): Back, D10
  • Giovanny Urshela (Angels): Pelvis, D60
  • Austin Warren (Angels): Elbow, D60
  • Christopher Cron (Angels): Back, D10
  • Samuel Bachman (Angels): Shoulder, D60
  • Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
  • Anthony Rendon (Angels): Shin, D60
  • Matthew Thaiss (Angels): Shoulder, D10
  • Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
  • Joseph Ward (Angels): Face, D60
  • Benjamin Joyce (Angels): Arm, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.