- The – are favorites vs the –
- Angels starting pitcher: Griffin Canning
- Mets starting pitcher: David Peterson
- Watch the game on Peacock
The Los Angeles Angels () visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets () on Sunday, August 27, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 12:05pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Angels vs Mets Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Angels are 63-67 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 51-78 ATS.
Angels vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | O | ||
| Mets | U |
Angels vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 55.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Runs Over in 35 of his last 50 games (+18.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- Brandon Drury has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 19 away games (+15.15 Units / 50% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 away games (+13.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- Brandon Drury has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 18 games (+11.30 Units / 63% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 26 of his last 38 games (+11.15 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 36 of his last 49 games (+17.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 31 games (+11.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 22 games at home (+9.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 37 games (+8.70 Units / 23% ROI)
Mets vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -650 |
| DJ Stewart | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Mark Vientos | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
Mets vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| DJ Stewart | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
| Mark Vientos | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
Mets vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| DJ Stewart | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Mark Vientos | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Mets vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| David Peterson | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
| Griffin Canning | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +105 |
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 27 games (+10.20 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 away games (+6.09 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 44 games (+5.35 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 away games (+3.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 30 away games (+2.50 Units / 7% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 41 games at home (+8.58 Units / 17% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 41 games at home (+7.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.79 Units / 50% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 41 games at home (+3.00 Units / 6% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 60-70 against the Run Line (-17.55 Units / -10.61% ROI).
- 63-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.65 Units / -8.84% ROI
- 63-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.4 Units / -2.35% ROI
- 60-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.35 Units / -5.9% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 51-78 against the Run Line (-37.4 Units / -22.91% ROI).
- 58-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -31.9 Units / -18.43% ROI
- 53-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -25.7 Units / -18.19% ROI
- 71-53 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.6 Units / 8.97% ROI
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opposing hitters have a miss rate of 37% (50/136) against Griffin Canning when he’s behind in the count this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Griffin Canning has allowed a slugging percentage of .644 (58 Total Bases / 90 ABs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: .433 — 0 Percentile.
Griffin Canning has thrown his changeup for a strike 72% (209/292) of the time this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: 60% — 98th Percentile.
Griffin Canning has allowed a slugging percentage of .497 (96 Total Bases / 193 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — 15th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: .421 — 11th Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
David Peterson has a first-pitch strike rate of just 55% (439/805) since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of 62% (35/56) against David Peterson when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: 39% — 99th Percentile.
David Peterson has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 52% (249/483) of right-handed hitters since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: 66% — 0 Percentile.
David Peterson has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 54% (345/637) of opposing batters since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 25-18 (.581) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .725.
The Angels are just 11-112 (.089) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .130.
The Angels are just 16-78 (.170) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Mets are 141-1 (.993) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Mets are just 9-51 (.150) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .217.
The Mets are just 5-33 (.132) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.
The Mets are just 7-18 (.280) after a loss as underdogs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .422.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have 2,038 strikeouts in 7,922 PA’s (26%) against RHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .272 (853 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Angels hitters have a swing rate of 36% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Angels hitters have missed on 29% of swings this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets have scored first in just 40% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Mets are batting just .235 against LHP this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Games involving the Mets went UNDER in 72% of their games (40.2% ROI) after a home win this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .329 (7,721 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 119 of 1,152 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 504 of 5,049 batters (10%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Angels pitchers have walked 1,044 of 11,087 batters (9%) since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 241 of 2,592 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 62% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Mets pitchers since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mets pitchers have walked 484 of 4,924 batters (10%) this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 60% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mets vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Luis Guillorme (Mets): Leg, D10
- Edwin Díaz (Mets): Knee, D60
- Starling Marte (Mets): Migraines, D10
- John Curtiss (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Elieser Hernández (Mets): Pec, D60
- Joshua Walker (Mets): Oblique, D60
- Jordon Adell (Angels): Oblique, D60
- Michael Trout (Angels): Hand, D10
- José Suarez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Max Stassi (Angels): Hip , D60
- José Quijada (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Zachary Neto (Angels): Back, D10
- Giovanny Urshela (Angels): Pelvis, D60
- Nolan Schanuel (Angels): Illness, Day-to-Day
- Chase Silseth (Angels): Head, Day-to-Day
- Austin Warren (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Christopher Cron (Angels): Back, D10
- Samuel Bachman (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Shin, D60
- Matthew Thaiss (Angels): Shoulder, D10
- Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Joseph Ward (Angels): Face, D60
- Benjamin Joyce (Angels): Arm, D60
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