- The Mets are -190 favorites vs the Angels
- Angels vs Mets Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Angels / Mets TV Channel: FDW | SNY
The Los Angeles Angels (+154) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-190) on Monday, July 21, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.
This season, the Angels are 49-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 49-51 ATS.
Angels vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Angels starting pitcher: Tyler Anderson 2-6, 4.39 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Kodai Senga 7-3, 1.40 ERA
Angels vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -140 | O 8.5 -120 | +154 |
| Mets | -1.5 +115 | U 8.5 +100 | -190 |
Angels vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Monday‘s MLB game with 63.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 away games (+13.35 Units / 27% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+13.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the Walks Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+12.30 Units / 49% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+11.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 25 away games (+11.40 Units / 46% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luis Torrens has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 25 games (+19.05 Units / 35% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games at home (+11.10 Units / 139% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 25 games at home (+8.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+8.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.05 Units / 28% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 57 games (+18.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 29 away games (+17.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 68 games (+16.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 29 away games (+14.70 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 46 away games (+14.09 Units / 25% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 27 games at home (+12.40 Units / 38% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 50 games at home (+9.70 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+9.55 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 58 games (+7.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 games at home (+6.00 Units / 7% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Angels are 55-44 against the Run Line (+0.45 Units / 0.34% ROI).
- 49-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.2 Units / 8.42% ROI
- 53-43 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.52 Units / 5.05% ROI
- 43-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.07 Units / -13.89% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 49-51 against the Run Line (-2.46 Units / -1.95% ROI).
- 56-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.45 Units / -0.95% ROI
- 44-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.85 Units / -14.34% ROI
- 54-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.45 Units / 4.98% ROI
Mets vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -325 |
| Mike Trout (LAA) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jo Adell (LAA) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
Mets vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Mike Trout (LAA) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Zach Neto (LAA) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Mets vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Mike Trout (LAA) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Mets vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Anderson (LAA) | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 +100 |
| Kodai Senga (NYM) | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -118 |
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Anderson has allowed a SLG of .457 non-fastballs this season — eighth worst among qualified SPs– 14th Percentile. He allowed a SLG of just .251 non-fastballs last season — third best among qualified SPs– 96th Percentile.
Tyler Anderson has allowed a slugging percentage of .564 (88 Total Bases / 156 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .378 — third Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 32% (102/324) against Tyler Anderson this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.
Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 36% of the time (144/396) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .121 (16-for-132) against Kodai Senga’s non-fastballs this season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: .224 — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 15% (15/103) against Kodai Senga this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Kodai Senga has a first-pitch strike rate of just 54% (167/310) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 63% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .095 (6-for-63) against Kodai Senga with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 100th Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Angels are 13-2 (.867) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels were just 11-37 (.229) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .359.
The Angels were just 54-6 (.900) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Angels are just 110-127 (.464) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Mets were 8-60 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Mets are 34-16 (.680) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .547.
The Mets are 17-90 (.159) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .097.
The Mets are 23-10 (.697) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have drawn walks in 6% of their PA’s against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels hitter’ K:BB ratio is 5.0 against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 2.8.
Angels hitters have struck out in 28% of their PA’s against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Angels hitters have struck out in 25% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have an OPS of .756 (2,804 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of just .187 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .261.
Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of just .222 with runners on base since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Mets hitters are averaging 3.94 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.87.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers walked 135 of 1,436 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Angels pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Mets pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets pitchers have walked 9% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 10% of batters since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 26% against Mets pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
More MLB Reading:
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