- The Mets are -175 favorites vs the Angels
- Angels vs Mets Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Angels / Mets TV Channel: FDW | SNY
The Los Angeles Angels (+145) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-175) on Wednesday, July 23, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens, NY.
This season, the Angels are 49-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 50-52 ATS.
Angels vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Angels starting pitcher: Brock Burke 4-1, 3.38 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Sean Manaea 0-1, 2.46 ERA
Angels vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -145 | O 9 -118 | +145 |
| Mets | -1.5 +120 | U 9 -102 | -175 |
Angels vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 63.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Mike Trout has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+15.15 Units / 59% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the Walks Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+11.95 Units / 47% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+11.60 Units / 58% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+10.60 Units / 22% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+9.15 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brett Baty has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games at home (+19.60 Units / 392% ROI)
- Luis Torrens has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 25 games (+19.05 Units / 35% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games at home (+11.85 Units / 52% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 25 games at home (+9.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+8.90 Units / 33% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 59 games (+18.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 31 away games (+16.90 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 33 of their last 48 away games (+16.09 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 31 away games (+15.10 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 70 games (+14.35 Units / 19% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 29 games at home (+12.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 52 games at home (+11.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 52 games at home (+9.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 60 games (+7.20 Units / 10% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.50 Units / 15% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Angels are 56-45 against the Run Line (+0.15 Units / 0.11% ROI).
- 49-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.2 Units / 6.47% ROI
- 54-44 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.32 Units / 4.77% ROI
- 44-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.17 Units / -13.71% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 50-52 against the Run Line (-2.36 Units / -1.84% ROI).
- 58-44 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.55 Units / 0.35% ROI
- 45-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.05 Units / -14.22% ROI
- 55-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.35 Units / 4.79% ROI
Mets vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Trout (LAA) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jo Adell (LAA) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Mets vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Zach Neto (LAA) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Mike Trout (LAA) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Starling Marte (NYM) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Mets vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Mike Trout (LAA) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Jo Adell (LAA) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
Mets vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Sean Manaea (NYM) | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 +100 |
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brock Burke has allowed an OBP of just .080 (25 PA’s) this month (9 games) — best among AL Relievers; League Avg: .301 — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 68% (32/47) against Brock Burke this season — 3rd highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 55% (66/121) against Brock Burke this season — 10th highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 43% — 88th Percentile.
Brock Burke has allowed an OBP of just .067 (15 PA’s) over the last 14 days — best in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .296 — 100th Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters batted just .190 (98-for-517) against Sean Manaea in the 2024 season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 94th Percentile.
Sean Manaea has a strikeout rate of 42% (13 SO in 31 PAs) this month (2 games) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
Sean Manaea walked 27 of 288 batters (9%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — tied for 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 13th Percentile.
Sean Manaea has walked 9% of right-handed batters in the 2024 season — tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — sixth Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Angels are 13-2 (.867) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels were just 54-6 (.900) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Angels are just 110-129 (.460) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
The Angels are 21-12 (.636) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Mets were 8-60 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Mets are 23-10 (.697) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Mets are 17-90 (.159) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .097.
The Mets are 17-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .799.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have drawn walks in 6% of their PA’s against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels hitters have struck out in 25% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Angels have scored first in just 29% of their home games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of just .187 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .261.
Mets hitters are slugging .429 against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of just .218 this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
The Mets are batting just .115 with two-strikes over the last 14 days — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .166.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 10% of batters since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 13% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (18 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers walked 135 of 1,436 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Mets pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets pitchers have walked 10% of batters since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Batters facing the Mets pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 69% of the time over the past seven days (5 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%. over the past seven days (5 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Mets pitchers walked 586 of 6,098 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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