- The Orioles are -140 favorites vs the Angels
- Angels starting pitcher: Chase Silseth
- Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer
- Watch the game on MASN2
The Los Angeles Angels (+120) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-140) on Tuesday, May 16, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Orioles are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Angels vs Orioles Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Angels are 22-20 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 25-16 ATS.
Angels vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -160 | O 9.5 -105 | +120 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +135 | U 9.5 -115 | -140 |
Angels vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Hunter Renfroe has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 33 games (+11.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- Hunter Renfroe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 38 games (+9.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- Anthony Rendon has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.75 Units / 52% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 17 games (+8.25 Units / 49% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+16.15 Units / 30% ROI)
- Cedric Mullins has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+9.30 Units / 42% ROI)
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.25 Units / 73% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+8.55 Units / 16% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+7.85 Units / 30% ROI)
Orioles vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Ryan O’Hearn | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Zach Neto | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Orioles vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
| Ryan O’Hearn | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Zach Neto | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
Orioles vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Ryan O’Hearn | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Zach Neto | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Orioles vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dean Kremer | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -115 |
| Chase Silseth | 2.5 -140 | 2.5 +105 |
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 8 away games (+6.70 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+6.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.35 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 away games (+4.75 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.50 Units / 36% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 38 games (+10.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 28 games (+8.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 41 games (+8.35 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+5.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.25 Units / 46% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 21-21 against the Run Line (-1.65 Units / -3.06% ROI).
- 22-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.1 Units / -5% ROI
- 20-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.3 Units / -2.77% ROI
- 19-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.75 Units / -6.04% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 25-16 against the Run Line (+7.4 Units / 14.51% ROI).
- 26-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.65 Units / 17.4% ROI
- 21-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.6 Units / 3.56% ROI
- 18-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.8 Units / -10.57% ROI
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chase Silseth has struck out just 6% (1/17) of left-handed batters he faced over the last 30 days (4 games) — 2nd lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Chase Silseth has a strikeout rate of just 25% (5 SO in 20 PAs) with two-strikes over the last 30 days (4 games) — 4th lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 45% — fourth Percentile.
Chase Silseth has a strikeout rate of just 12% (3 SO in 24 PAs) over the last 14 days (2 games) — 12th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 24% — 11th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 19% (5/26) against Chase Silseth with two-strikes over the last 30 days (4 games) — lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 40% — first Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dean Kremer has allowed a slugging percentage of .596 (28 Total Bases / 47 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .296 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 29% (38/132) against Dean Kremer this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 22% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% (16/54) against Dean Kremer in two-strike counts this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — sixth Percentile.
Dean Kremer has a strikeout rate of just 20% (11 SO in 54 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — seventh Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Angels are just 5-17 (.227) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are 3-17 (.150) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 10-51 (.164) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Orioles are 13-7 (.650) at home this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Orioles are 6-11 (.353) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .207.
The Orioles are just 0-12 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Orioles are 16-79 (.168) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .124.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .264 (572 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .300 (2,258 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
The Angels are just 5-17 (.227) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Angels hitters have 28 extra-base hits out of 129 total hits (just 22%) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .804 (534 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .746.
Orioles hitters are slugging .451 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .421.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of 65% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Orioles hitters are slugging .677 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .580.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 162 of 1,812 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Angels pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels pitchers have walked 40 of 372 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Angels pitchers have won 44% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .120 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .234.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Orioles have have still managed to win 61% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 119 of 1,806 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ramón UrÃas (Orioles): Hamstring, D10
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D15
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Mychal Givens (Orioles): Knee, D15
- Aaron Loup (Angels): Hamstring, D15
- José Suarez (Angels): Shoulder, D15
- Jared Walsh (Angels): Headaches, D10
- Max Stassi (Angels): Hip , D10
- José Quijada (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Logan O’Hoppe (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Austin Warren (Angels): Elbow, D15
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Groin, D10
- José Marte (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
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