- The Padres are -200 favorites vs the Angels
- Angels starting pitcher: Jaime Barría
- Padres starting pitcher: Blake Snell
- Watch the game on Fox Sports 1
The Los Angeles Angels (+165) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-200) on Monday, July 3, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego.
The Padres are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Angels vs Padres Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Angels are 45-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 39-45 ATS.
Angels vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -120 | O 8 -105 | +165 |
| Padres | -1.5 +100 | U 8 -115 | -200 |
Angels vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 74.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the RBIs Over in 18 of his last 27 games (+17.00 Units / 63% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 27 games (+16.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 22 games (+15.85 Units / 52% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 19 away games (+12.30 Units / 39% ROI)
- Anthony Rendon has hit the Singles Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 73% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.50 Units / 52% ROI)
- Michael Wacha has hit the Earned Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.15 Units / 72% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.25 Units / 51% ROI)
- Trent Grisham has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+8.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- Trent Grisham has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+8.60 Units / 28% ROI)
Padres vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Rendon | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Rougned Odor | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| David Fletcher | 0.5 +1500 | 0.5 |
Padres vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Rendon | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Rougned Odor | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| David Fletcher | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
Padres vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Rendon | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Rougned Odor | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| David Fletcher | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -500 |
Padres vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jaime Barria | 3.5 +105 | 3.5 -135 |
| Blake Snell | 7.5 -110 | 7.5 -120 |
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 44 games (+7.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.95 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.60 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 28 away games (+4.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 27 away games (+3.65 Units / 11% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 47 of their last 74 games (+16.65 Units / 19% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 77 games (+16.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.35 Units / 49% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games at home (+2.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 16 games at home (+1.55 Units / 9% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 41-45 against the Run Line (-7.2 Units / -6.6% ROI).
- 45-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.1 Units / -4.39% ROI
- 38-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.75 Units / -9.11% ROI
- 42-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.75 Units / 0.8% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 39-45 against the Run Line (-10.25 Units / -9.86% ROI).
- 38-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -26 Units / -21.08% ROI
- 32-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.05 Units / -23.42% ROI
- 48-32 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.3 Units / 14.62% ROI
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jaime Barria allowed a batting average of just .176 vs right-handed batters (tied for ninth best)– 92nd Percentile and .299 vs left-handed batters this season (15th worst among qualified RPs)– 14th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .197 (15-for-76) against Jaime Barria on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .328 — 98th Percentile.
Jaime Barria has a strikeout rate of just 14% (18 SO in 131 PAs) with runners in scoring position since last season — 6th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — sixth Percentile.
Jaime Barria has allowed an OBP of just .239 (117 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 5th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .307 — 96th Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Blake Snell has allowed three-ball counts to 30% of batters they faced (89/297 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 53% (177/335) against Blake Snell on non-fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 98th Percentile.
Blake Snell has a strike rate of just 59% (914/1,558) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Blake Snell has allowed an OPS of 1.705 (74 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 1.070 — first Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 11-19 (.367) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 18-14 (.562) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Angels are just 36-6 (.857) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .895.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Padres are just 34-7 (.829) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .895.
The Padres are 26-38 (.406) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Padres are 35-5 (.875) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Padres are just 2-5 (.286) after a win as underdogs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .448.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
The Angels are batting .270 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Angels hitters have an OPS of .778 (2,500 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
Angels hitters have 1,685 strikeouts in 6,634 PA’s (25%) against RHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .276 (713 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have drawn 254 walks in 2,222 PA’s (11%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Games involving the Padres went UNDER in 100% of their games (93.8% ROI) after a win as underdogs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Padres hitters have drawn 111 walks in 1,144 PA’s (10%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 46% against LHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 75 of 763 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% when going through the lineup the third time in a game over the last 14 days (11 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Angels pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels pitchers have a strikeout rate of 53% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (2,042 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.1.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Avg of just 36% against the Padres pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .193 against Padres pitchers with the shift since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .226.
Padres pitchers have an ERA of 3.43 (381.0 IP) at home this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.18.
Padres vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow/Flexor, D60
- José Castillo (Padres): Shoulder, D15
- Yu Darvish (Padres): Illness, Day-to-Day
- Preston Tucker (Padres): Foot, D10
- Drew Carlton (Padres): Elbow, D15
- David Knehr (Padres): Elbow, D15
- Robert Suarez (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Eguy Rosario (Padres): Ankle, D60
- Luis Campusano (Padres): Thumb Sprain, D60
- Steven Wilson (Padres): Pectoral Strain, D15
- Brandon Drury (Angels): Shoulder, D10
- José Suarez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Max Stassi (Angels): Hip , D60
- José Quijada (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Logan O’Hoppe (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Giovanny Urshela (Angels): Pelvis, D60
- Matthew Moore (Angels): Oblique, D15
- Austin Warren (Angels): Elbow, D60
- José Marte (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Zachary Neto (Angels): Oblique, D10
- Benjamin Joyce (Angels): Arm, D15
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