- The Phillies are -165 favorites vs the Angels
- Angels starting pitcher: Tyler Anderson
- Phillies starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen
- Watch the game on NBCS-PH
The Los Angeles Angels (+135) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-165) on Tuesday, August 29, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Philadelphia.
The Phillies are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Angels vs Phillies Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Angels are 63-69 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 57-74 ATS.
Angels vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -140 | O 9.5 -105 | +135 |
| Phillies | -1.5 +115 | U 9.5 -115 | -165 |
Angels vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 73.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Runs Over in 30 of his last 43 games (+14.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- Brandon Drury has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 21 away games (+14.70 Units / 44% ROI)
- Brandon Drury has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+11.70 Units / 58% ROI)
- Randal Grichuk has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+11.25 Units / 56% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 33 games (+10.15 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Under in 36 of his last 43 games (+21.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 35 games (+12.20 Units / 33% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 18 games at home (+11.10 Units / 62% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 16 games at home (+10.30 Units / 59% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 17 games at home (+9.05 Units / 43% ROI)
Phillies vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Logan O'Hoppe | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
| Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Phillies vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Logan O'Hoppe | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
| Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
Phillies vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Logan O'Hoppe | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Phillies vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Lorenzen | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 29 games (+12.34 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 away games (+5.64 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 46 games (+5.30 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.80 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.70 Units / 33% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+7.50 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+5.50 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+5.39 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+5.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 64 games at home (+5.13 Units / 7% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 61-71 against the Run Line (-18.15 Units / -10.74% ROI).
- 63-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.65 Units / -9.93% ROI
- 64-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.45 Units / -2.35% ROI
- 61-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.6 Units / -5.98% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 57-74 against the Run Line (-24.75 Units / -15.2% ROI).
- 73-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -5 Units / -2.69% ROI
- 54-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.45 Units / -12.17% ROI
- 65-54 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.85 Units / 4.1% ROI
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Anderson has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 82.9 MPH on non-fastballs since last season (506 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: 87.2
Right-handed hitters had a groundball rate of 60% (136/225) against Alex Cobb in 2022 — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters had a groundball rate of 63% (132/209) against Alex Cobb in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 29% of the time (355/1,236) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 19% (70/364) against Michael Lorenzen this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — seventh Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has allowed a BABIP of .218 vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — 97th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .194 (53-for-273) against Michael Lorenzen this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .246 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .167 (10-for-60) against Michael Lorenzen on low fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .258 — 98th Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 25-19 (.568) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .727.
The Angels are just 6-121 (.047) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .093.
The Angels are just 37-39 (.487) after a loss as favorites since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .585.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Phillies are 7-51 (.121) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Phillies are 20-18 (.526) after a win as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Phillies are 11-6 (.647) after a win as underdogs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .435.
The Phillies are 17-9 (.654) after a home loss this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .510.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .273 (866 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Angels hitters have an OPS of just .490 (5,968 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .512.
The Angels are batting just .240 at home this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
The Angels are batting just .159 with two-strikes since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters are slugging .428 since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .404.
The Phillies are batting .259 this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Phillies are batting .258 with two outs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Phillies hitters are slugging .241 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .213.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 121 of 1,169 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 14 of 107 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Angels pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels pitchers have walked 243 of 2,609 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.3 MPH (3,240 batted balls) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.1.
Phillies vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Philadelphia Phillies – No Injuries Reported
- Los Angeles Angels – No Injuries Reported
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