- The Phillies are -220 favorites vs the Angels
- Angels vs Phillies Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Angels / Phillies TV Channel: FDW | NSPA
The Los Angeles Angels (+180) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-220) on Friday, July 18, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.
This season, the Angels are 47-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 48-47 ATS.
Angels vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Angels starting pitcher: Kyle Hendricks 5-6, 4.90 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Jesus Luzardo 8-5, 4.17 ERA
Angels vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -115 | O 8.5 -105 | +180 |
| Phillies | -1.5 -105 | U 8.5 -115 | -220 |
Angels vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Friday‘s MLB game with 65.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Mike Trout has hit the Walks Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+16.95 Units / 67% ROI)
- Nolan Schanuel has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 away games (+14.00 Units / 175% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+13.70 Units / 67% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 away games (+13.35 Units / 27% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+11.20 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games at home (+15.20 Units / 152% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+12.85 Units / 37% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+11.05 Units / 44% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+9.45 Units / 41% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 10 games at home (+8.55 Units / 76% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 54 games (+18.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 65 games (+14.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 26 away games (+13.75 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 26 away games (+12.30 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 43 away games (+11.09 Units / 21% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 42 of their last 78 games (+13.80 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 73 games (+13.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 47 games (+12.51 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 56 of their last 96 games (+8.54 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 52 of their last 92 games (+8.13 Units / 7% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Angels are 53-43 against the Run Line (+0.3 Units / 0.23% ROI).
- 47-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.95 Units / 6.54% ROI
- 50-43 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.52 Units / 2.38% ROI
- 43-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.82 Units / -11.23% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 48-47 against the Run Line (-1.95 Units / -1.65% ROI).
- 55-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.5 Units / 1% ROI
- 39-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.1 Units / -19.05% ROI
- 54-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.3 Units / 10.69% ROI
Phillies vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Trout (LAA) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Zach Neto (LAA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -625 |
| Jorge Soler (LAA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Jo Adell (LAA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Phillies vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zach Neto (LAA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Mike Trout (LAA) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Nolan Schanuel (LAA) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Taylor Ward (LAA) | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Jo Adell (LAA) | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
Phillies vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Trout (LAA) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Taylor Ward (LAA) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jo Adell (LAA) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Zach Neto (LAA) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jorge Soler (LAA) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Phillies vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jesus Luzardo (PHI) | 6.5 -125 | 6.5 -105 |
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Hendricks has an average fastball velocity of just 86.4 MPH this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 94.0 — first Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has a strikeout rate of just 31% (65 SO in 208 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .377 (20-for-53) against Kyle Hendricks’ low fastballs this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .266 — seventh Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has allowed a slugging percentage of .549 (100 Total Bases / 182 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .383 — first Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .447 (17-for-38) against Jesus Luzardo’s low fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .266 — third Percentile.
Jesus Luzardo has allowed a BABIP of .370 this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .280 — first Percentile.
Jesus Luzardo has a strikeout rate of 44% (74 SO in 168 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — 90th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .272 (111-for-408) against Jesus Luzardo this season — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — fourth Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Angels are 12-2 (.857) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels were just 11-37 (.229) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .359.
The Angels were just 20-81 (.198) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
The Angels are just 89-7 (.927) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Phillies are 9-26 (.257) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .124.
The Phillies are 21-73 (.223) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .136.
The Phillies are 125-6 (.954) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .902.
The Phillies are just 13-26 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have drawn walks in 5% of their PA’s against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .214 (1,965 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Angels hitters have struck out in 28% of their PA’s against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Angels are batting .383 on pitches 95 mph or greater over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies are batting .396 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Phillies hitters have chased 20% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 16%.
The Phillies have scored first in 61% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Phillies batted .307 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 10% of batters since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 91 double plays in 731 opportunities (12%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Angels pitchers have walked 15% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Phillies pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 29% of the time over the past seven days (3 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%. over the past seven days (3 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
The Phillies have allowed 3.38 runs per game (169/50) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.43.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Phillies pitchers over the last 14 days — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
More MLB Reading:
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