- The Phillies (23-29) are -175 favorites vs the Angels (27-26)
- Angels starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen (5-2), 3.188 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Zachary Wheeler (3-3), 3.156 ERA
- Watch the game on FOX
The Los Angeles Angels (+145) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-175) on Saturday, June 4, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Philadelphia.
The Phillies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Angels vs Phillies Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Angels are 27-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 24-28 ATS.
Angels vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -135 | O 8 -105 | +145 |
| Phillies | -1.5 +110 | U 8 -115 | -175 |
Angels vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Saturday‘s matchup with 57.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- No trends found
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+10.10 Units / 72% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+9.50 Units / 44% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+9.20 Units / 35% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 14 games at home (+8.25 Units / 49% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.45 Units / 24% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Angels Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 28 games (+4.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.25 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Run Line in 24 of their last 46 games (+2.05 Units / 4% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1H Total Over in 28 of their last 47 games (+7.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1H Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.70 Units / 12% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 26-27 against the Run Line (-1 Units / -1.58% ROI).
- 27-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -8 Units / -10.67% ROI
- 26-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.2 Units / -0.34% ROI
- 24-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.45 Units / -7.66% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 24-28 against the Run Line (-5.85 Units / -9.13% ROI).
- 23-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.1 Units / -16.26% ROI
- 29-21 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.95 Units / 10.32% ROI
- 21-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.55 Units / -18.54% ROI
Michael Lorenzen: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Lorenzen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .196 (20 Total Bases / 102 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .384 — 100th Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has allowed an OBP of just .213 (108 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — 98th Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has allowed an OPS of just .409 (108 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .677 — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .167 (17-for-102) against Michael Lorenzen this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .241 — 98th Percentile.
Zachary Wheeler: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Wheeler allowed a batting average of .370 vs right-handed batters (tied for fifth worst)– seventh Percentile and just .091 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (fourth best among qualified SPs)– 94th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (303/684) when behind in the count since the start of last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 97th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (1,220/2,744) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 84.7 MPH against his fastballs since the start of last season (433 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 104 total IP; League Avg: 90.5
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Angels are just 3-15 (.167) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
The Angels are just 24-3 (.889) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .931.
The Angels are just 4-15 (.211) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .284.
The Angels are just 104-19 (.846) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .877.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Phillies are just 18-3 (.857) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .909.
The Phillies are 3-22 (.120) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .069.
The Phillies are just 13-15 (.464) at home this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .519.
The Phillies are just 10-14 (.417) on the road this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .481.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
The Angels are batting just .165 on the road over the last 14 days (4 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
The Angels are batting just .232 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Angels hitters have chased 22% of pitches out of the zone in righty-righty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Angels hitters are slugging just .400 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .450.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have 149 strikeouts in 598 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Phillies hitters have put just 31% of balls in play to the left side of the field with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .762 (598 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .702.
Phillies hitters are slugging .675 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .557.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Angels pitchers this season traveled 438.0 feet — — tied for 3rd shortest in MLB; League Avg: 452.7
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .195 against Angels pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .232.
Angels pitchers have allowed a run just 23% of the time after an opposing score this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Angels have won just 29% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .277 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Phillies vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kent Emanuel (Phillies): Elbow, D60
- Ryan Sherriff (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
- Jean Segura (Phillies): Finger, D10
- Samuel Coonrod (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
- Joseph Romero (Phillies): Elbow, D60
- Mariekson Gregorius (Phillies): Knee, D10
- Rafael Marchán (Phillies): Hamstring, D60
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D10
- Kurt Suzuki (Angels): Neck, Day-to-Day
- Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
- Joseph Ward (Angels): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
- Cooper Criswell (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Austin Warren (Angels): Nasal Fracture, D15
- David Fletcher (Angels): Hip, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
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