Angels vs Phillies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 04, 2022, 1:52 PM
  • The Phillies (23-29) are -175 favorites vs the Angels (27-26)
  • Angels starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen (5-2), 3.188 ERA
  • Phillies starting pitcher: Zachary Wheeler (3-3), 3.156 ERA
  • Watch the game on FOX

The Los Angeles Angels (+145) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-175) on Saturday, June 4, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Philadelphia.

The Phillies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).

The Angels vs Phillies Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Angels are 27-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 24-28 ATS.

Angels vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Angels+1.5 -135O 8 -105+145
Phillies -1.5 +110U 8 -115-175

Angels vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Saturday‘s matchup with 57.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Phillies vs Angels and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • No trends found

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+10.10 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+9.50 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Nick Castellanos has hit the RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+9.20 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Kyle Schwarber has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 14 games at home (+8.25 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Rhys Hoskins has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.45 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 28 games (+4.75 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.25 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Run Line in 24 of their last 46 games (+2.05 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.90 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1H Total Over in 28 of their last 47 games (+7.05 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1H Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.00 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.50 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.70 Units / 12% ROI)

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 26-27 against the Run Line (-1 Units / -1.58% ROI).

  • 27-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -8 Units / -10.67% ROI
  • 26-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.2 Units / -0.34% ROI
  • 24-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.45 Units / -7.66% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 24-28 against the Run Line (-5.85 Units / -9.13% ROI).

  • 23-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.1 Units / -16.26% ROI
  • 29-21 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.95 Units / 10.32% ROI
  • 21-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.55 Units / -18.54% ROI

Michael Lorenzen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .196 (20 Total Bases / 102 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .384 — 100th Percentile.

Michael Lorenzen has allowed an OBP of just .213 (108 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — 98th Percentile.

Michael Lorenzen has allowed an OPS of just .409 (108 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .677 — 98th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .167 (17-for-102) against Michael Lorenzen this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .241 — 98th Percentile.

Zachary Wheeler: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Zack Wheeler allowed a batting average of .370 vs right-handed batters (tied for fifth worst)– seventh Percentile and just .091 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (fourth best among qualified SPs)– 94th Percentile.

Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (303/684) when behind in the count since the start of last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 97th Percentile.

Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (1,220/2,744) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 84.7 MPH against his fastballs since the start of last season (433 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 104 total IP; League Avg: 90.5

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Angels are just 3-15 (.167) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.

The Angels are just 24-3 (.889) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .931.

The Angels are just 4-15 (.211) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .284.

The Angels are just 104-19 (.846) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .877.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Phillies are just 18-3 (.857) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .909.

The Phillies are 3-22 (.120) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .069.

The Phillies are just 13-15 (.464) at home this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .519.

The Phillies are just 10-14 (.417) on the road this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .481.

 

The Angels are batting just .165 on the road over the last 14 days (4 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .253.

The Angels are batting just .232 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.

Angels hitters have chased 22% of pitches out of the zone in righty-righty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Angels hitters are slugging just .400 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .450.

Phillies hitters have 149 strikeouts in 598 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Phillies hitters have put just 31% of balls in play to the left side of the field with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of .762 (598 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .702.

Phillies hitters are slugging .675 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .557.

The longest HR allowed by the Angels pitchers this season traveled 438.0 feet — — tied for 3rd shortest in MLB; League Avg: 452.7

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .195 against Angels pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .232.

Angels pitchers have allowed a run just 23% of the time after an opposing score this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

The Angels have won just 29% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .277 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .211.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Phillies vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kent Emanuel (Phillies): Elbow, D60
  • Ryan Sherriff (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
  • Jean Segura (Phillies): Finger, D10
  • Samuel Coonrod (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
  • Joseph Romero (Phillies): Elbow, D60
  • Mariekson Gregorius (Phillies): Knee, D10
  • Rafael Marchán (Phillies): Hamstring, D60
  • Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D10
  • Kurt Suzuki (Angels): Neck, Day-to-Day
  • Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
  • Joseph Ward (Angels): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
  • Cooper Criswell (Angels): Shoulder, D60
  • Austin Warren (Angels): Nasal Fracture, D15
  • David Fletcher (Angels): Hip, D60
  • Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.