- The Angels are -115 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Angels starting pitcher: Tyler Anderson
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Nicholas Pivetta
- Watch the game on NESN
The Los Angeles Angels (-115) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-105) on Saturday, April 15, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Boston.
The Angels are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Angels vs Red Sox Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Angels are 7-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 6-8 ATS.
Angels vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | -1.5 +135 | O 9.5 -105 | -115 |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -165 | U 9.5 -115 | -105 |
Angels vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 74.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 16 games (+8.25 Units / 42% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.75 Units / 55% ROI)
- Anthony Rendon has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+6.75 Units / 112% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+6.65 Units / 53% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Triston Casas has hit the Singles Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.20 Units / 74% ROI)
- Enrique Hernandez has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+7.90 Units / 38% ROI)
- Enrique Hernandez has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+7.80 Units / 78% ROI)
- Adam Duvall has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+6.75 Units / 84% ROI)
Red Sox vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Connor Wong | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Triston Casas | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Christian Arroyo | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Red Sox vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
| Connor Wong | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Triston Casas | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Christian Arroyo | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
Red Sox vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Connor Wong | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Triston Casas | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Christian Arroyo | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Red Sox vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pivetta | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 +100 |
| Tyler Anderson | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.90 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.25 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 3 games (+3.05 Units / 87% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 87% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 3 games (+3.15 Units / 74% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.40 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+0.80 Units / 10% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 5-8 against the Run Line (-3.45 Units / -22.62% ROI).
- 7-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.55 Units / -11.78% ROI
- 5-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.7 Units / -11.68% ROI
- 6-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.5 Units / 3.53% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 6-8 against the Run Line (-2.2 Units / -13.46% ROI).
- 6-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.75 Units / -21.01% ROI
- 9-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.55 Units / 23.43% ROI
- 5-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.25 Units / -33.33% ROI
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 26% of the time (192/754) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 96th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 59% of Tyler Anderson’s breaking pitches (362/618) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 99th Percentile.
Tyler Anderson has a strike rate of 71% (772/1,083) vs left-handed batters since the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 99th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 69% of Tyler Anderson’s pitches (548/799) with two-strikes since last season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nick Pivetta has walked 22 of 196 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — second Percentile.
Nick Pivetta has walked 78 of 815 batters (10%) since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — fourth Percentile.
Nick Pivetta has thrown elevated pitches 44% of the time (997/2,286) in non-two strike counts since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 97th Percentile.
Nick Pivetta has induced opposing hitters to ground into just 6 double plays in 150 opportunities (4%) since last season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — fourth Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Angels are just 3-14 (.176) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 3-73 (.039) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Angels are just 27-51 (.346) when underdogs since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .396.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Red Sox are just 6-70 (.079) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .118.
The Red Sox are just 9-12 (.429) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Red Sox are 39-25 (.609) when moneyline favorites of less than -150 since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .544.
The Red Sox are just 20-42 (.323) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters are slugging .769 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .379.
Angels hitters are slugging just .153 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Angels hitters have an OPS of .904 (122 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .746.
Angels hitters have 285 strikeouts in 961 PA’s (30%) in close and late situations since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .424 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .525 (40 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .336.
The Red Sox are hitting .500 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in the game this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
The Red Sox are batting .277 at home since the 2020 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have an ERA of 2.85 (60.0 IP) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.56.
Angels pitchers have 288 three-pitch strikeouts since last season — tied for 4th most in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .200 against Angels pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .251.
Angels pitchers have walked 134 of 1,555 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 38% when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 5.40 (722.1 IP) against division opponents since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.02.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 5.57 (63.0 IP) at home this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.38.
Red Sox pitchers have attempted to pick off a runner at second base 5 times this season — most in MLB.
Red Sox vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Zachery Kelly (Red Sox): Elbow, D15
- Adam Duvall (Red Sox): Wrist, D10
- Brayan Bello (Red Sox): Elbow, D15
- Trevor Story (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Gregory Mills (Red Sox): Elbow, D15
- Masataka Yoshida (Red Sox): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Raúl Mondesi (Red Sox): Knee, D60
- James Paxton (Red Sox): Hamstring, D15
- Joely RodrÃguez (Red Sox): Oblique, D15
- Jared Walsh (Angels): Headaches, D10
- Max Stassi (Angels): Hip , D10
- José Marte (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
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