- The Red Sox are -120 favorites vs the Angels
- Angels starting pitcher: Reid Detmers
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Garrett Whitlock
- Watch the game on NESN
The Los Angeles Angels (-105) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-115) on Sunday, April 16, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Boston.
The Angels are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Angels vs Red Sox Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Angels are 7-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 7-8 ATS.
Angels vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | -1.5 +150 | O 9.5 -115 | -105 |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -185 | U 9.5 -105 | -115 |
Angels vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.75 Units / 57% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+8.65 Units / 64% ROI)
- Anthony Rendon has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+8.15 Units / 116% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Gio Urshela has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 12 games (+6.65 Units / 55% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Triston Casas has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.40 Units / 41% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.20 Units / 75% ROI)
- Christian Arroyo has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 12 games (+8.05 Units / 53% ROI)
- Enrique Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.40 Units / 49% ROI)
- Justin Turner has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 13 games (+7.10 Units / 40% ROI)
Red Sox vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Anthony Rendon | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Connor Wong | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Logan O'Hoppe | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
Red Sox vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 1.5 +195 | 1.5 -275 |
| Anthony Rendon | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Connor Wong | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
| Logan O'Hoppe | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Red Sox vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Anthony Rendon | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Connor Wong | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Logan O'Hoppe | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -300 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Red Sox vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Garrett Whitlock | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -155 |
| Reid Detmers | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.95 Units / 43% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 4 games (+4.20 Units / 80% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.80 Units / 19% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 5-9 against the Run Line (-4.45 Units / -27.38% ROI).
- 7-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.75 Units / -16.41% ROI
- 6-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.7 Units / -4.46% ROI
- 6-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.55 Units / -3.62% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 7-8 against the Run Line (-1.2 Units / -6.7% ROI).
- 7-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.75 Units / -14.59% ROI
- 10-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.55 Units / 27.91% ROI
- 5-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.3 Units / -37.5% ROI
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Reid Detmers has thrown elevated pitches 45% of the time (847/1,896) against right-handed batters since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 34% (23/67) against Reid Detmers on changeups since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 34% (103/299) against Reid Detmers since last season — 12th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: 43% — ninth Percentile.
Reid Detmers has thrown fastballs up 71% of the time (59/83) this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 98th Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Garrett Whitlock has walked 32 of 630 batters (5%) since the 2021 season — tied for 9th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 9% — 95th Percentile.
Garrett Whitlock has walked 11 of 252 left-handed batters (4%) since the 2021 season — tied for 10th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 10% — 93rd Percentile.
Garrett Whitlock has allowed an OPS of just .523 (148 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since the 2021 season — 4th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .719 — 96th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .172 (22-for-128) against Garrett Whitlock with runners in scoring position since the 2021 season — 6th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .243 — 96th Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Angels are just 3-14 (.176) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 17-8 (.680) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .806.
The Angels are just 6-67 (.082) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .120.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Red Sox are just 9-12 (.429) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Red Sox are 33-38 (.465) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
The Red Sox are just 6-13 (.316) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Red Sox are 40-25 (.615) when moneyline favorites of less than -150 since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .546.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
The Angels are just 3-14 (.176) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Angels hitters are slugging just .154 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Angels hitters have an OBP of .386 (127 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .332.
Angels hitters have an OPS of just .405 (304 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .558 (43 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .337.
The Red Sox are batting .457 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Red Sox hitters have just 63 strikeouts in 345 PA’s (18%) against RHP this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Red Sox are batting .277 at home since the 2020 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 1,345 of 14,630 batters (9%) since the 2020 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Angels pitchers have 289 three-pitch strikeouts since last season — 5th most in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .222 against Angels pitchers with runners on base since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Angels pitchers have walked 1,178 of 12,764 batters (9%) since the 2021 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 2 of 59 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 36% when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 20%.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 5.36 (131.0 IP) this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.45.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 17 of 263 batters (7%) over the past seven days (7 games) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Red Sox vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Zachery Kelly (Red Sox): Elbow, D15
- Adam Duvall (Red Sox): Wrist, D10
- Brayan Bello (Red Sox): Elbow, D15
- Trevor Story (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Gregory Mills (Red Sox): Elbow, D15
- Masataka Yoshida (Red Sox): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Raúl Mondesi (Red Sox): Knee, D60
- James Paxton (Red Sox): Hamstring, D15
- Joely RodrÃguez (Red Sox): Oblique, D15
- Jared Walsh (Angels): Headaches, D10
- Max Stassi (Angels): Hip , D10
- José Marte (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
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