Angels vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 17

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 17, 2023, 3:30 PM
  • The are favorites vs the
  • Angels starting pitcher: Shohei Ohtani
  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Brayan Bello
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Los Angeles Angels () visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox () on Monday, April 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 11:10am EDT in Boston.

The are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().

The Angels vs Red Sox Over/Under is total runs for the game.

This season, the Angels are 7-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 7-9 ATS.

Angels vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Angels O
Red Sox U

Angels vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 59.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.75 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+8.65 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Anthony Rendon has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+7.15 Units / 89% ROI)
  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 10 away games (+7.15 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.40 Units / 44% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Rafael Devers has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.20 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Christian Arroyo has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Triston Casas has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.40 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Christian Arroyo has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 13 games (+7.05 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Adam Duvall has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+6.75 Units / 84% ROI)

Red Sox vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Rafael Devers 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Shohei Ohtani 0.5 +450 0.5 -1000
Masataka Yoshida 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000
Christian Arroyo 0.5 +825 0.5 -5000
Enrique Hernandez 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500

Red Sox vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Rafael Devers 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Shohei Ohtani 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Masataka Yoshida 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Christian Arroyo 0.5 -155 0.5 +120
Enrique Hernandez 0.5 -140 0.5 +105

Red Sox vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Rafael Devers 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Shohei Ohtani 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Masataka Yoshida 0.5 +210 0.5 -275
Christian Arroyo 0.5 +260 0.5 -350
Enrique Hernandez 0.5 +250 0.5 -350

Red Sox vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani 6.5 -155 6.5 +120
Brayan Bello 4.5 -155 4.5 +115
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.90 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.25 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games (+3.20 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.95 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 15 games (+1.90 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.20 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.00 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.00 Units / 18% ROI)

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 6-9 against the Run Line (-3.45 Units / -19.01% ROI).

  • 7-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.75 Units / -19.92% ROI
  • 6-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.85 Units / -10.98% ROI
  • 7-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.45 Units / 2.77% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 7-9 against the Run Line (-2.2 Units / -11.64% ROI).

  • 8-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.75 Units / -8.73% ROI
  • 10-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.4 Units / 19.48% ROI
  • 6-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.3 Units / -29.69% ROI

Shohei Ohtani has walked 9 of 42 right-handed batters (21%) this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.

Shohei Ohtani has an OPS of 1.753 (132 PA’s) when ahead in the count since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 1.128 — 99th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .067 (2-for-30) against Shohei Ohtani this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .253 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .100 (6-for-60) against Shohei Ohtani this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .245 — 99th Percentile.

Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

No Matchup notes for this Game

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Angels are just 3-14 (.176) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Angels are just 8-46 (.148) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .271.

The Angels are just 6-68 (.081) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .119.

The Angels are just 80-84 (.488) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

keys to the game – home

Angels hitters are slugging just .150 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.

Angels hitters have 5 extra-base hits out of 36 total hits (just 14%) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Angels hitters have an OPS of 1.312 (19 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

Angels hitters have an OBP of .386 (127 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .328.

Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .551 (49 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .334.

The Red Sox are batting .463 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.

The Red Sox are batting .275 at home since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .337 (1,803 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Angels pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Angels pitchers have 290 three-pitch strikeouts since last season — 5th most in MLB.

Angels pitchers have walked 1,179 of 12,794 batters (9%) since the 2021 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels pitchers have an ERA of 3.32 (76.0 IP) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.46.

Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 34% when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 20%.

Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 5.40 (722.1 IP) against division opponents since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.02.

Red Sox pitchers have allowed 23 home runs this season — 4th most in MLB.

The Red Sox have won 47% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Red Sox vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Zachery Kelly (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Adam Duvall (Red Sox): Wrist, D10
  • Trevor Story (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Gregory Mills (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Christopher Martin (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
  • Raúl Mondesi (Red Sox): Knee, D60
  • James Paxton (Red Sox): Hamstring, D15
  • Joely Rodríguez (Red Sox): Oblique, D15
  • Jared Walsh (Angels): Headaches, D10
  • Max Stassi (Angels): Hip , D10
  • José Marte (Angels): Elbow, D60
  • Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
  • Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
  • Dennis Tepera (Angels): Shoulder, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.