- The Angels are -115 favorites vs the Reds
- Angels starting pitcher: Chase Silseth, 3.60 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Nicholas Lodolo, 3.37 ERA
- Watch the game on BSOH
The Los Angeles Angels (-115) visit Goodyear Ballpark to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-105) on Monday, March 20, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Goodyear.
The Angels are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Angels vs Reds Over/Under is 11 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Angels are 12-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 8-7 ATS.
Angels vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | -1.5 +120 | O 11 -110 | -115 |
| Reds | +1.5 -145 | U 11 -110 | -105 |
Angels vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Monday‘s Spring Training matchup with 58.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Angels vs Reds and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Under in his last 4 games (+5.90 Units / 79% ROI)
- Max Stassi has hit the Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+4.60 Units / 115% ROI)
- Jo Adell has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 55% ROI)
- Mickey Moniak has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 away games (+3.70 Units / 185% ROI)
- Mickey Moniak has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 away games (+3.35 Units / 167% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Aristides Aquino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Alejo Lopez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 95% ROI)
- Nick Senzel has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Michael Siani has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Stuart Fairchild has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 73 of their last 118 games (+21.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 28 games (+13.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 101 games (+7.75 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 37 games (+5.05 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 10 games (+1.25 Units / 12% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 24 games (+16.41 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 70 games (+13.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 73 of their last 134 games (+12.70 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.30 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.30 Units / 25% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 11-9 against the Run Line (+2.45 Units / 10.19% ROI).
- 12-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.15 Units / 25.26% ROI
- 8-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.35 Units / -24.04% ROI
- 12-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.35 Units / 15.37% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 8-7 against the Run Line (+0.7 Units / 3.67% ROI).
- 6-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.45 Units / -8.9% ROI
- 6-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.9 Units / -23.71% ROI
- 9-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.35 Units / 14.16% ROI
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chase Silseth has allowed at least one HR in each of his last four games dating back to June 3rd, 2022 — Gerrit Cole has the longest active streak at 11.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nick Lodolo has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last eight games dating back to August 23rd, 2022 — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Nick Lodolo had a strikeout rate of 47% (41/88) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.
Nick Lodolo allowed a slugging percentage of .745 (35 Total Bases / 47 ABs) on low fastballs last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .429 — first Percentile.
Nick Lodolo spotted his fastball inside for a strike just 54% (205/382) of the time last season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Angels are just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 6-64 (.086) when trailing entering the 7th inning last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Angels are just 6-14 (.300) when tied entering the 8th inning last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 7-42 (.143) when allowing 10 or more hits last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Reds are just 6-78 (.071) when trailing entering the 7th inning last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Reds are just 4-86 (.044) when trailing entering the 8th inning last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Reds are just 8-31 (.205) when their opponents score in the first inning last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
The Reds are just 33-48 (.407) at home last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have an OPS of just .643 (3,666 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .694.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .303 (3,777 PA’s) against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .301 (1,518 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of the 2021 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .228 (6,387 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds batted just .298 on the first pitch of at-bats last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
Reds hitters slugged just .485 on the first pitch of at-bats last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .560.
The Reds have won just 57% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Reds hitters had an OPS of just .676 (5,978 PA’s) last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 1,132 of 12,234 batters (9%) since the start of the 2021 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have won only 9% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Angels have won just 26% of games in which their opponents scored first since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Angels pitchers have allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers have walked 1,229 of 12,419 batters (10%) since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds pitchers walked 612 of 6,220 batters (10%) last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of .299 against Reds pitchers with runners on base last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 41% against Reds pitchers last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
Bet now on Angels vs Reds and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
