- The Angels are -165 favorites vs the Royals
- Angels starting pitcher: Griffin Canning
- Royals starting pitcher: Michael Mayers
- Watch the game on Fox Sports 1
The Los Angeles Angels (-165) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+140) on Saturday, June 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Angels are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Angels vs Royals Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.
This season, the Angels are 40-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 25-44 ATS.
Angels vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | -1.5 -105 | O 10 -110 | -165 |
| Royals | +1.5 -115 | U 10 -110 | +140 |
Angels vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 71.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Mike Trout has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.95 Units / 58% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+11.35 Units / 77% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+10.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+10.50 Units / 49% ROI)
- Anthony Rendon has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 74% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nick Pratto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 28 of his last 40 games (+16.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- Nick Pratto has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 40 games (+14.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 21 games at home (+12.65 Units / 59% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+12.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+12.25 Units / 46% ROI)
Royals vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Maikel Garcia | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
Royals vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 1.5 +140 | 1.5 -185 |
| Mike Trout | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -210 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -210 |
| Maikel Garcia | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Royals vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Maikel Garcia | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Royals vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Griffin Canning | 4.5 -165 | 4.5 +125 |
| Mayers | 3.5 -140 | 3.5 +105 |
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 49 games (+8.55 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 21 away games (+6.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 50 games (+3.15 Units / 5% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 65 games (+12.10 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 48 games (+10.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games (+7.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+3.90 Units / 20% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 37-35 against the Run Line (-1.85 Units / -1.96% ROI).
- 40-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.4 Units / 2.48% ROI
- 34-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.85 Units / -2.3% ROI
- 32-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.1 Units / -6.53% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 25-44 against the Run Line (-26.85 Units / -31.39% ROI).
- 18-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -28.9 Units / -39.78% ROI
- 29-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.7 Units / -16.84% ROI
- 38-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.6 Units / 7.33% ROI
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Griffin Canning has thrown breaking pitches 56% of the time (126/225) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 97th Percentile.
Griffin Canning has allowed an OPS of 1.119 (57 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: .733 — first Percentile.
Griffin Canning has thrown his changeup for a strike 75% (142/190) of the time this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 60% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .377 (20-for-53) against Griffin Canning when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 0 Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mike Mayers has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.032 (65 Total Bases / 63 ABs) when behind in the count since last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .564 — first Percentile.
Mike Mayers has allowed a slugging percentage of .597 (77 Total Bases / 129 ABs) at home since last season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: .345 — first Percentile.
Mike Mayers has an ERA of 7.04 (30.2 IP) at home since last season — 3rd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 3.28 — third Percentile.
Mike Mayers has allowed an OPS of .912 (151 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since last season — 3rd highest among in MLB; League Avg: .658 — third Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 10-18 (.357) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 13-58 (.183) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .270.
The Angels are 3-28 (.097) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .053.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Royals are just 11-9 (.550) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .785.
The Royals are just 1-24 (.040) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .385.
The Royals are just 18-51 (.261) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Royals are just 18-45 (.286) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .302 (2,500 PA’s) against LHP since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Angels hitters have 1,592 strikeouts in 6,240 PA’s (26%) against RHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Angels hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .277 (668 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 26% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 25% at home this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 31% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Royals are batting just .197 with two outs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Angels pitchers over the last 14 days (13 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Angels pitchers have walked 67 of 639 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Angels pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Angels have won 47% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The Royals have won just 10% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Royals pitchers have won only 14% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Royals pitchers have walked 844 of 8,871 batters (10%) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Amir Garrett (Royals): Elbow, D15
- Kyle Isbel (Royals): Hamstring, D10
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Vincent Pasquantino (Royals): Shoulder, D10
- Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Michael Massey (Royals): Finger, Day-to-Day
- Ryan Yarbrough (Royals): Head, D60
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Joshua Staumont (Royals): Neck, D15
- Brad Keller (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Diego Hernandez (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Josh Taylor (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, Day-to-Day
- José Suarez (Angels): Shoulder, D15
- Max Stassi (Angels): Hip , D60
- José Quijada (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Logan O’Hoppe (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Giovanny Urshela (Angels): Pelvis Fracture, D10
- Matthew Moore (Angels): Oblique, D15
- Austin Warren (Angels): Elbow, D60
- José Marte (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Zachary Neto (Angels): Oblique, D10
- Benjamin Joyce (Angels): Arm, D15
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