- The Angels are -115 favorites vs the Royals
- Angels starting pitcher: Tyler Anderson
- Royals starting pitcher: Donald Greinke
- Watch the game on BSKC
The Los Angeles Angels (-115) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-105) on Sunday, June 18, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Angels are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Angels vs Royals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Angels are 40-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 26-44 ATS.
Angels vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Angels | -1.5 +135 | O 9 +100 | -115 |
Royals | +1.5 -165 | U 9 -120 | -105 |
Angels vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 59.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 14 games (+12.35 Units / 76% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.90 Units / 51% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+9.65 Units / 29% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+9.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- Brandon Drury has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 away games (+9.35 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nick Pratto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 29 of his last 41 games (+17.00 Units / 33% ROI)
- Nick Pratto has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 41 games (+15.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 24 games at home (+12.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+12.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+12.25 Units / 46% ROI)
Royals vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
Andrew Velazquez | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
Mike Trout | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
Brandon Drury | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Luis Rengifo | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
Royals vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Shohei Ohtani | 1.5 +145 | 1.5 -190 |
Andrew Velazquez | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
Mike Trout | 1.5 +200 | 1.5 -275 |
Brandon Drury | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
Luis Rengifo | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Royals vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
Andrew Velazquez | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
Mike Trout | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
Brandon Drury | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
Luis Rengifo | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Royals vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Tyler Anderson | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -155 |
Zack Greinke | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -120 |
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 22 away games (+7.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 games (+6.95 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.85 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 51 games (+4.15 Units / 7% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 66 games (+10.70 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 49 games (+9.70 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 20 games (+8.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+2.80 Units / 14% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 37-36 against the Run Line (-2.9 Units / -3.04% ROI).
- 40-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 0.81% ROI
- 35-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.85 Units / -1.04% ROI
- 32-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.2 Units / -7.83% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 26-44 against the Run Line (-25.85 Units / -29.82% ROI).
- 19-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -27.5 Units / -37.34% ROI
- 30-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.7 Units / -15.29% ROI
- 38-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.5 Units / 5.81% ROI
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 32% of the time (94/291) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total CH; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 35% of the time (1,766/4,992) against right-handed batters since the 2021 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 13% — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 38% of the time (1,135/2,969) against right-handed batters since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 41% of the time (346/850) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total CH; League Avg: 13% — 100th Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Greinke has walked 9 of 292 batters (3%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Zack Greinke has walked 5 of 167 right-handed batters (3%) this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 96th Percentile.
Zack Greinke has allowed three-ball counts to 11% of batters they faced (14/125 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 21% — 98th Percentile.
Zack Greinke has an average fastball velocity of just 89.7 MPH this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 93.7 — fifth Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 10-18 (.357) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are 5-2 (.714) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are 11-8 (.579) after a win as underdogs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .452.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Royals are just 5-20 (.200) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .612.
The Royals are just 5-65 (.071) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .353.
The Royals are just 18-45 (.286) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
The Royals are just 19-51 (.271) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have 1,597 strikeouts in 6,276 PA’s (25%) against RHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Angels hitters have an OBP of .331 (1,540 PA’s) on the road this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .277 (668 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Angels hitters have 2,180 strikeouts in 8,782 PA’s (25%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 42% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 27% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 27% on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 27% at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 67 of 648 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Angels pitchers over the last 14 days (13 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Angels have won 47% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Angels pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The Royals have won just 10% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Royals pitchers have walked 183 of 2,031 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals pitchers have an ERA of 5.22 (610.1 IP) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.27.
Royals vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Amir Garrett (Royals): Elbow, D15
- Kyle Isbel (Royals): Hamstring, D10
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Vincent Pasquantino (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Michael Massey (Royals): Hand, D10
- Ryan Yarbrough (Royals): Head, D60
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Joshua Staumont (Royals): Neck, D15
- Brad Keller (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Diego Hernandez (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Josh Taylor (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, Day-to-Day
- José Suarez (Angels): Shoulder, D15
- Max Stassi (Angels): Hip , D60
- José Quijada (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Logan O’Hoppe (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Giovanny Urshela (Angels): Pelvis, D10
- Matthew Moore (Angels): Oblique, D15
- Austin Warren (Angels): Elbow, D60
- José Marte (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Zachary Neto (Angels): Oblique, D10
- Benjamin Joyce (Angels): Arm, D15
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