- The Royals are -125 favorites vs the Angels
- Angels starting pitcher: Joseph Davidson, 0.00 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Michael Mayers, 13.50 ERA
The Los Angeles Angels (+105) visit Surprise Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-125) on Thursday, March 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:05pm EST in Surprise.
The Royals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Angels vs Royals Over/Under is 11.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Angels are 4-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 4-1 ATS.
Angels vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -190 | O 11.5 -110 | +105 |
| Royals | -1.5 +155 | U 11.5 -110 | -125 |
Angels vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Thursday‘s Spring Training matchup with 60.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Under in his last 4 games (+5.90 Units / 79% ROI)
- Max Stassi has hit the Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+4.60 Units / 115% ROI)
- Jo Adell has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 55% ROI)
- Jack Mayfield has hit the Hits Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 94% ROI)
- Jack Mayfield has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 48% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in his last 3 games at home (+5.70 Units / 190% ROI)
- Sebastian Rivero has hit the Singles Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Sebastian Rivero has hit the Hits Under in 2 of his last 3 games at home (+1.15 Units / 35% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 73 of their last 118 games (+21.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 28 games (+13.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 101 games (+7.75 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 37 games (+5.05 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 10 games (+1.25 Units / 12% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 40 games at home (+18.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 60 of their last 108 games (+15.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+13.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 43 games at home (+12.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+10.50 Units / 45% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 3-2 against the Run Line (+1.85 Units / 36.27% ROI).
- 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.7 Units / 38.57% ROI
- 2-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.4 Units / -24.78% ROI
- 3-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 16.67% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 4-1 against the Run Line (+3.4 Units / 50% ROI).
- 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.9 Units / 52.25% ROI
- 5-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +5 Units / 87.72% ROI
- 0-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.35 Units / -100% ROI
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .110 (8-for-73) against Mike Mayers on inside fastballs since the start of 2020 — best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .248 — 100th Percentile.
Mike Mayers allowed an OPS of 1.733 (57 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 1.042 — first Percentile.
Mike Mayers allowed a slugging percentage of 1.136 (50 Total Bases / 44 ABs) when he was behind in the count last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .551 — first Percentile.
Mike Mayers allowed a slugging percentage of .517 (104 Total Bases / 201 ABs) last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .358 — 0 Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Angels are just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 3-68 (.042) when trailing entering the 8th inning last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Angels are just 8-55 (.127) when allowing 5 or more runs last season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Angels are just 8-38 (.174) when allowing 2 or more home runs last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Royals are just 4-41 (.089) when their opponents score in the first inning last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
The Royals are just 3-77 (.038) when trailing entering the 7th inning last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Royals are just 26-55 (.321) on the road last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .468.
The Royals are 10-5 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning last season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have an OPS of just .643 (3,666 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .694.
The Angels are just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .273 (909 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Angels hitters struck out 1,103 times in 4,134 PA’s (27%) against RHP last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have just 642 strikeouts in 3,264 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 32% on the road last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Royals hitters slugged just .368 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .445.
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .991 (2,308 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.083.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 1,132 of 12,234 batters (9%) since the start of the 2021 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Angels have won just 29% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Angels pitchers have won only 9% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Angels pitchers have allowed a run just 28% of the time after an opposing score since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 19% last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals pitchers have walked 1,180 of 12,376 batters (10%) since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The average home run distance against the Royals pitchers since the start of the 2021 season is 405.4 feet — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 399.3
Royals pitchers threw at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 60% of opposing batters last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Royals vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kansas City Royals – No Injuries Reported
- Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
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