- The – are favorites vs the –
- Angels starting pitcher: Patrick Sandoval
- Tigers starting pitcher: Matthew Manning
- Watch the game on BSDET
The Los Angeles Angels () visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers () on Thursday, July 27, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:40pm EDT in Detroit.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Angels vs Tigers Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Angels are 52-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 53-48 ATS.
Angels vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | O | ||
| Tigers | U |
Angels vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 66.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Runs Over in 30 of his last 37 games (+23.15 Units / 48% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the RBIs Over in 24 of his last 42 games (+17.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Mickey Moniak has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 14 games (+15.35 Units / 110% ROI)
- Mickey Moniak has hit the Hits Over in his last 15 games (+15.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 42 games (+13.50 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 24 games at home (+21.05 Units / 72% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 24 games at home (+21.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 22 games at home (+14.20 Units / 64% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 26 games (+13.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 24 games at home (+11.25 Units / 40% ROI)
Tigers vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -650 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Tigers vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Tigers vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
Tigers vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | 7.5 -135 | 7.5 +100 |
| Michael Lorenzen | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 32 away games (+10.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.10 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.90 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.65 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.95 Units / 44% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 90 games (+10.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 51 of their last 91 games (+7.45 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 78 games (+7.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 28 games (+7.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 35 games (+6.35 Units / 15% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 48-53 against the Run Line (-9.7 Units / -7.54% ROI).
- 52-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.6 Units / -4.93% ROI
- 49-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.9 Units / -0.8% ROI
- 45-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.1 Units / -7.38% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 53-48 against the Run Line (-0.35 Units / -0.28% ROI).
- 46-55 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.55 Units / 5.07% ROI
- 52-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.1 Units / 1.87% ROI
- 45-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.5 Units / -10.44% ROI
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shohei Ohtani is slugging .705 (191 total bases in 271 ABs) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .434 — 100th Percentile.
Shohei Ohtani has an OPS of 1.066 (445 PA’s) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .769 — 100th Percentile.
Shohei Ohtani is slugging .668 (250 total bases in 374 ABs) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .436 — 100th Percentile.
Shohei Ohtani has an OPS of 1.066 (445 PA’s) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .756 — 100th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .116 (5-for-43) against Michael Lorenzen over the last 14 days (2 games) — best in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .246 — 100th Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has pitched 22.0 straight innings without allowing an earned run — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Michael Lorenzen has allowed an OBP of just .143 (21 PA’s) against right-handed batters over the last 14 days (2 games) — best in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .298 — 100th Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has allowed an OPS of just .195 (21 PA’s) against right-handed batters over the last 14 days (2 games) — best in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .692 — 100th Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 11-19 (.367) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 16-67 (.193) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
The Angels are just 21-16 (.568) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Tigers are just 12-46 (.207) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.
The Tigers are just 7-22 (.241) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .431.
The Tigers are 16-6 (.727) after a loss as favorites since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .584.
The Tigers are just 24-61 (.282) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .358.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
The Angels are batting .270 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Angels hitters have an OBP of .341 (1,949 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Angels hitters have an OPS of .830 (895 PA’s) when leading off an inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
Angels hitters have an OPS of .780 (3,880 PA’s) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .731.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters are slugging just .344 against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .285 (7,268 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .629 (7,268 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .714.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .622 (3,033 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .693.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Angels pitchers this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels pitchers have walked 87 of 896 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have not walked any of the 37 batters that they have faced when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (4 games) — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Angels pitchers have walked 209 of 2,336 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 288 of 3,796 batters (8%) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 32% against Tigers pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 62% of their games since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Tigers vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Mason Englert (Tigers): Hip, D15
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- William Vest (Tigers): Leg, D15
- Tyler Alexander (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Neck, D60
- Matthew Boyd (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Jordon Adell (Angels): Oblique, D10
- Brandon Drury (Angels): Shoulder, D10
- José Suarez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Zachary Neto (Angels): Back, Day-to-Day
- Max Stassi (Angels): Hip , D60
- José Quijada (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Logan O’Hoppe (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Giovanny Urshela (Angels): Pelvis, D60
- Christopher Devenski (Angels): Hamstring, D15
- Austin Warren (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Michael Trout (Angels): Hand, D10
- Samuel Bachman (Angels): Shoulder, D15
- José Marte (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Shin, D10
- Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Benjamin Joyce (Angels): Arm, D60
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