Angels vs Twins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 11

Minnesota Twins third baseman Royce Lewis runs off the field after throwing out Houston Astros' Jeremy Pena at first during the seventh inning of Game 4 of a baseball AL Division Series, Wednesday, Oct. 11, 2023, in Minneapolis.
(AP Photo/Bruce Kluckhohn)
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  • The Twins are -185 favorites vs the Angels
  • Angels vs Twins Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Angels / Twins TV Channel: TWTV | ABTV

The Los Angeles Angels (+150) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-185) on July 11, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 pm in Minneapolis, MN.

This season, the Angels are 38-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 51-44 ATS.

Angels vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Angels starting pitcher: Ryan Johnson 1-4, 6.99 ERA
  • Twins starting pitcher: Joe Ryan 6-5, 2.84 ERA

Angels vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Angels+1.5 -135O 9 -110+150
Twins -1.5 +110U 9 -110-185

Angels vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 63.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jorge Soler has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.05 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Jorge Soler has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+9.80 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Vaughn Grissom has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 25 away games (+8.20 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Wade Meckler has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.95 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Vaughn Grissom has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+6.90 Units / 25% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Josh Bell has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+15.65 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Josh Bell has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.75 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Josh Bell has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Kody Clemens has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+12.80 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Josh Bell has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+12.80 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games (+9.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 games (+7.55 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 45 games (+4.95 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 15 away games (+3.45 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games (+9.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+8.85 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+7.45 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 45 games at home (+7.30 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games (+6.25 Units / 11% ROI)

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Angels are 47-47 against the Run Line (-12.15 Units / -9.41% ROI).

  • 38-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.7 Units / -13.51% ROI
  • 46-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.3 Units / -5.05% ROI
  • 47-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.85 Units / -2.74% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 51-44 against the Run Line (-5 Units / -3.7% ROI).

  • 46-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.15 Units / -1.11% ROI
  • 54-35 when betting on the total runs Over for +15.3 Units / 14.61% ROI
  • 35-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -24.45 Units / -23.43% ROI

Twins vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Kody Clemens +270
Mike Trout +310
Josh Bell +350
Ryan Jeffers +360
Royce Lewis +390

Twins vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Josh Bell 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Kody Clemens 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Trevor Larnach 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Nolan Schanuel 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Brooks Lee 0.5 -235 0.5 +175

Twins vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Josh Lowe 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Ryan Jeffers 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Tristan Gray 0.5 -165 0.5 +125
Kody Clemens 0.5 -160 0.5 +120
Ryan Johnson 3.5 -150 3.5 +110

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Angels are just 32-7 (.821) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .946.

The Angels are just 3-25 (.107) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.

The Angels are just 0-45 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .054.

The Angels are just 4-11 (.267) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Twins are just 0-39 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .097.

The Twins are just 4-8 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 0-42 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .054.

The Twins are just 9-27 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Angels have a winning percentage of just 40% this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Angels hitters have struck out in 25% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Angels hitters are slugging just .353 at home this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Angels hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Twins are batting just .285 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters are slugging just .354 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters have 56 extra-base hits out of 115 total hits (49%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

Twins hitters are slugging .459 against starting pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Angels pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

Angels pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Angels pitchers this season — tied for best in MLB.

Angels pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of just 59% this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .293 against Twins pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.