- The Twins (73-78) are -135 favorites vs the Angels (66-85)
- Angels starting pitcher: Reid Detmers (6-5), 3.70 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Joseph Ryan (12-8), 3.61 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Los Angeles Angels (+110) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-135) on Saturday, September 24, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Minneapolis.
The Twins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at –1.5.
The Angels vs Twins Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Angels are 66-83 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 67-82 ATS.
Angels vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 | O 7 -105 | +110 |
| Twins | –1.5 | U 7 -115 | -135 |
Angels vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Saturday‘s matchup with 55.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 38 games (+16.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- Patrick Sandoval has hit the Earned Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.75 Units / 39% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+11.45 Units / 72% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 35 games (+11.40 Units / 16% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+10.55 Units / 38% ROI)
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Miranda has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 44 games (+15.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+11.80 Units / 40% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+11.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 38 games at home (+11.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- Miguel Sano has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 58% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Angels Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 17 games (+9.25 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games (+4.50 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 12 of their last 21 games (+3.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.40 Units / 25% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Twins: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 43 of their last 74 games at home (+8.50 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 21 of their last 40 games at home (+6.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 26 games at home (+2.85 Units / 8% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 70-79 against the Run Line (-17.05 Units / -9.18% ROI).
- 66-83 when betting on the Moneyline for -28.5 Units / -14.98% ROI
- 68-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.15 Units / -6.17% ROI
- 71-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.95 Units / -1.82% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 67-82 against the Run Line (-19.65 Units / -10.84% ROI).
- 73-77 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.05 Units / -7.09% ROI
- 69-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.95 Units / -3.64% ROI
- 69-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.3 Units / -4.42% ROI
Reid Detmers: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Reid Detmers has not allowed a HR in any of his last five starts dating back to August 20th — George Kirby has the longest active streak at 13.
Reid Detmers has not allowed a home run in any of the last 29.2 innings he’s appeared — George Kirby has the longest active streak at 67.1.
Opponents are hitting just .183 (28-for-153) against Reid Detmers versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: .257 — 96th Percentile.
Reid Detmers has thrown elevated pitches 46% of the time (228/495) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 97th Percentile.
Joseph Ryan: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters are hitting just .000 (0-for-23) against Joe Ryan — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .222 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (127/435) against Joe Ryan since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .068 (3-for-44) against Joe Ryan — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .228 — 98th Percentile.
Joe Ryan has allowed an OBP of just .074 (27 PA’s) with two-strikes — 4th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .220 — 95th Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Angels are just 2-12 (.143) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 6-40 (.130) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.
The Angels are just 3-66 (.043) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Angels are just 5-13 (.278) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Twins are just 9-33 (.214) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.
The Twins are just 8-53 (.131) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .198.
The Twins are just 6-57 (.095) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .118.
The Twins are just 4-12 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have an OPS of just .638 (3,554 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .694.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .299 (730 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.
The Angels are batting just .150 with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .169.
Angels hitters are averaging just 3.77 pitches per plate appearance against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have 36 extra-base hits out of 143 total hits (just 25%) against RHP this month (22 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Twins hitters have an OPS of just .588 (568 PA’s) on the road this month (15 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .693.
Twins have grounded 19 double plays over the last 14 days (14 games) — most in MLB.
The Twins are batting just .317 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have won only 7% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Angels pitchers have walked 1,103 of 11,836 batters (9%) since the start of last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 511 of 5,640 batters (9%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Angels have won just 28% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Twins have won just 12% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Twins pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Twins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games on the road since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Twins vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Garlick (Twins): Wrist, D10
- Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D60
- Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
- Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Wrist, D60
- Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
- Tyler Mahle (Twins): Shoulder, D15
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
- Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Byron Buxton (Twins): Hip, D10
- Maximilian Kepler (Twins): Wrist, D10
- Christopher Archer (Twins): Pectoral, D15
- Jorge Polanco (Twins): Knee, D10
- Sonny Gray (Twins): Hamstring, D15
- Trevor Larnach (Twins): Core, D60
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60
- Ryan Jeffers (Twins): Thumb, D60
- David Fletcher (Angels): Hand, D10
- Jhonathan Diaz (Angels): Undisclosed, D60
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D60
- Archie Bradley (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
- Andrew Velazquez (Angels): Foot, D60
- Jared Walsh (Angels): Rib, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
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