Angels vs Twins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 25

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 25, 2022, 11:42 AM
  • The Twins (74-78) are -115 underdogs vs the Angels (66-86)
  • Angels starting pitcher: José Suarez (6-8), 4.11 ERA
  • Twins starting pitcher: Dylan Bundy (8-7), 4.78 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSN

The Los Angeles Angels (-105) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-115) on Sunday, September 25, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Minneapolis.

The Angels are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at 1.5.

The Angels vs Twins Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Angels are 66-85 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 69-83 ATS.

Angels vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Angels-1.5O 8 -115-105
Twins +1.5U 8 -105-115

Angels vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Sunday‘s matchup with 57.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Twins vs Angels and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 39 games (+17.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Mike Trout has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+13.15 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 36 games (+12.40 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Patrick Sandoval has hit the Earned Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.75 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Under in 51 of his last 75 games (+10.45 Units / 8% ROI)

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Miranda has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 45 games (+14.55 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Carlos Correa has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.20 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Carlos Correa has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 39 games at home (+12.10 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Alex Kirilloff has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+11.80 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Miguel Sano has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.95 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 17 away games (+4.45 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 16 away games (+3.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 14 away games (+0.25 Units / 2% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 35 of their last 59 games at home (+8.90 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 41 games at home (+7.25 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+6.45 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games at home (+6.25 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 21 of their last 41 games at home (+5.15 Units / 12% ROI)

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 70-81 against the Run Line (-19.85 Units / -10.54% ROI).

  • 66-85 when betting on the Moneyline for -31.1 Units / -16.13% ROI
  • 69-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.45 Units / -6.81% ROI
  • 73-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.95 Units / -1.18% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 69-83 against the Run Line (-18.05 Units / -9.75% ROI).

  • 74-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.55 Units / -7.24% ROI
  • 70-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.35 Units / -4.4% ROI
  • 71-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.25 Units / -3.72% ROI

Opponents are hitting .212 (43-for-203) against Jose Suarez with two-strikes this season — tied for 12th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: .169 — 10th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 75% of Jose Suarez’s pitches (54/72) with two-strikes this month (3 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 35% (77/217) against Jose Suarez this season — tied for 14th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 12th Percentile.

Jose Suarez has induced opposing hitters to ground into just 3 double plays in 74 opportunities (4%) this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 11% — third Percentile.

Dylan Bundy: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Dylan Bundy has allowed a slugging percentage of .640 (64 Total Bases / 100 ABs) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: .399 — 0 Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 69% of Dylan Bundy’s pitches (386/555) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 19% (13/67) against Dylan Bundy this month (4 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 0 Percentile.

Dylan Bundy has averaged 89.1 MPH on fastballs this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — third Percentile.

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Angels are just 2-12 (.143) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Angels are just 5-13 (.278) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Angels are just 66-74 (.471) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

The Angels are just 32-45 (.416) on the road this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .474.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Twins are just 4-12 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 9-33 (.214) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.

The Twins are just 63-7 (.900) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .916.

The Twins are just 6-10 (.375) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Angels hitters have an OPS of just .638 (3,554 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .694.

Angels hitters have an OBP of just .291 (1,689 PA’s) against LHP this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.

Angels hitters are averaging just 3.77 pitches per plate appearance against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.

The Angels are batting just .235 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.

Twins hitters have 36 extra-base hits out of 143 total hits (just 25%) against RHP this month (22 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

The Twins are batting just .317 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.

Twins hitters are slugging just .343 this month (22 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .396.

Twins hitters are slugging just .337 against RHP this month (22 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .394.

Angels pitchers have won only 7% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Angels pitchers have walked 511 of 5,640 batters (9%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels pitchers have walked 118 of 1,341 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Angels pitchers have won only 15% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Twins pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Twins have won just 12% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

The Twins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games on the road since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Twins vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kyle Garlick (Twins): Wrist, D10
  • Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D60
  • Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
  • Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Wrist, D60
  • Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Tyler Mahle (Twins): Shoulder, D15
  • Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Byron Buxton (Twins): Hip, D10
  • Maximilian Kepler (Twins): Wrist, D10
  • Christopher Archer (Twins): Pectoral, D15
  • Jorge Polanco (Twins): Knee, D10
  • Sonny Gray (Twins): Hamstring, D15
  • Trevor Larnach (Twins): Core, D60
  • Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Jeffers (Twins): Thumb, D60
  • David Fletcher (Angels): Hand, D10
  • Jhonathan Diaz (Angels): Undisclosed, D60
  • Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D60
  • Archie Bradley (Angels): Elbow, D60
  • Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
  • Andrew Velazquez (Angels): Foot, D60
  • Jared Walsh (Angels): Rib, D60
  • Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.