- The Twins (74-78) are -115 underdogs vs the Angels (66-86)
- Angels starting pitcher: José Suarez (6-8), 4.11 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Dylan Bundy (8-7), 4.78 ERA
- Watch the game on BSN
The Los Angeles Angels (-105) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-115) on Sunday, September 25, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Minneapolis.
The Angels are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at –1.5.
The Angels vs Twins Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Angels are 66-85 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 69-83 ATS.
Angels vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | -1.5 | O 8 -115 | -105 |
| Twins | +1.5 | U 8 -105 | -115 |
Angels vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Sunday‘s matchup with 57.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 39 games (+17.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+13.15 Units / 77% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 36 games (+12.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- Patrick Sandoval has hit the Earned Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.75 Units / 39% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Under in 51 of his last 75 games (+10.45 Units / 8% ROI)
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Miranda has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 45 games (+14.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 39 games at home (+12.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+11.80 Units / 40% ROI)
- Miguel Sano has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 58% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Angels Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.95 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 17 away games (+4.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 16 away games (+3.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 14 away games (+0.25 Units / 2% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Twins: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 35 of their last 59 games at home (+8.90 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 41 games at home (+7.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+6.45 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games at home (+6.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 21 of their last 41 games at home (+5.15 Units / 12% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 70-81 against the Run Line (-19.85 Units / -10.54% ROI).
- 66-85 when betting on the Moneyline for -31.1 Units / -16.13% ROI
- 69-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.45 Units / -6.81% ROI
- 73-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.95 Units / -1.18% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 69-83 against the Run Line (-18.05 Units / -9.75% ROI).
- 74-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.55 Units / -7.24% ROI
- 70-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.35 Units / -4.4% ROI
- 71-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.25 Units / -3.72% ROI
José Suarez: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .212 (43-for-203) against Jose Suarez with two-strikes this season — tied for 12th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: .169 — 10th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 75% of Jose Suarez’s pitches (54/72) with two-strikes this month (3 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 35% (77/217) against Jose Suarez this season — tied for 14th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 12th Percentile.
Jose Suarez has induced opposing hitters to ground into just 3 double plays in 74 opportunities (4%) this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 11% — third Percentile.
Dylan Bundy: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dylan Bundy has allowed a slugging percentage of .640 (64 Total Bases / 100 ABs) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: .399 — 0 Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 69% of Dylan Bundy’s pitches (386/555) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 19% (13/67) against Dylan Bundy this month (4 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 0 Percentile.
Dylan Bundy has averaged 89.1 MPH on fastballs this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — third Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Angels are just 2-12 (.143) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 5-13 (.278) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 66-74 (.471) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Angels are just 32-45 (.416) on the road this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .474.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Twins are just 4-12 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 9-33 (.214) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
The Twins are just 63-7 (.900) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .916.
The Twins are just 6-10 (.375) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have an OPS of just .638 (3,554 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .694.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .291 (1,689 PA’s) against LHP this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Angels hitters are averaging just 3.77 pitches per plate appearance against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
The Angels are batting just .235 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have 36 extra-base hits out of 143 total hits (just 25%) against RHP this month (22 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
The Twins are batting just .317 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.
Twins hitters are slugging just .343 this month (22 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .396.
Twins hitters are slugging just .337 against RHP this month (22 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .394.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have won only 7% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Angels pitchers have walked 511 of 5,640 batters (9%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 118 of 1,341 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Angels pitchers have won only 15% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Twins pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Twins have won just 12% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Twins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games on the road since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Twins vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Garlick (Twins): Wrist, D10
- Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D60
- Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
- Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Wrist, D60
- Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
- Tyler Mahle (Twins): Shoulder, D15
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
- Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Byron Buxton (Twins): Hip, D10
- Maximilian Kepler (Twins): Wrist, D10
- Christopher Archer (Twins): Pectoral, D15
- Jorge Polanco (Twins): Knee, D10
- Sonny Gray (Twins): Hamstring, D15
- Trevor Larnach (Twins): Core, D60
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60
- Ryan Jeffers (Twins): Thumb, D60
- David Fletcher (Angels): Hand, D10
- Jhonathan Diaz (Angels): Undisclosed, D60
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D60
- Archie Bradley (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
- Andrew Velazquez (Angels): Foot, D60
- Jared Walsh (Angels): Rib, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
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