Astros vs Angels Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 12, 2022, 3:36 PM
  • The Astros (56-29) are -125 favorites vs the Angels (38-49)
  • Astros starting pitcher: Luis Garcia (7-5), 3.81 ERA
  • Angels starting pitcher: Noah Syndergaard (5-7), 3.83 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Houston Astros (-125) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (+105) on Tuesday, July 12, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38pm EDT in Anaheim.

The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Astros vs Angels Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Astros are 56-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 39-48 ATS.

Astros vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Astros-1.5 +135O 8 -110-125
Angels +1.5 -160U 8 -110+105

Astros vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 65.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Altuve has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 15 away games (+6.50 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Aledmys Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Aledmys Diaz has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Aledmys Diaz has hit the Runs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+5.85 Units / 97% ROI)
  • Yuli Gurriel has hit the Total Bases Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+5.35 Units / 89% ROI)

Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 16 games (+12.95 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+11.45 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.90 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Brandon Marsh has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+7.55 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.35 Units / 34% ROI)

Angels vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Marsh 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Jared Walsh 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Jonathan Villar 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Luis Rengifo 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000
Max Stassi 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100

Angels vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Marsh 0.5 -125 0.5 -115
Jared Walsh 0.5 -165 0.5 +120
Jonathan Villar 0.5 -150 0.5 +105
Luis Rengifo 0.5 -185 0.5 +125
Max Stassi 0.5 -110 0.5 -130

Angels vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Marsh 0.5 +280 0.5 -450
Jared Walsh 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Jonathan Villar 0.5 +260 0.5 -400
Luis Rengifo 0.5 +225 0.5 -350
Max Stassi 0.5 +250 0.5 -400

Angels vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Noah Syndergaard 4.5 +105 4.5 -150
Luis Garcia 5.5 -150 5.5 +105
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 50 of their last 83 games (+17.95 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 47 of their last 72 games (+17.60 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 49 of their last 69 games (+16.60 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 66 games (+13.05 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 20 of their last 29 games (+11.50 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 42 of their last 74 games (+11.05 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 26 games (+9.65 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 36 games at home (+7.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 35 games at home (+3.85 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.40 Units / 6% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 46-39 against the Run Line (+8.7 Units / 8.78% ROI).

  • 56-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.1 Units / 8.72% ROI
  • 30-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -25.25 Units / -27.14% ROI
  • 51-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.95 Units / 19.07% ROI

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 39-48 against the Run Line (-12.25 Units / -11.63% ROI).

  • 38-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -23.25 Units / -19.75% ROI
  • 38-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.3 Units / -10.68% ROI
  • 44-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.6 Units / 2.72% ROI

42 of Luis Garcia’s 87 strikeouts (48%) have come on cutters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 4% — 100th Percentile.

Luis Garcia has allowed an OBP of just .162 (68 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: .313 — 98th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .194 (88-for-453) against Luis Garcia since the start of last season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 95th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 38% (196/514) against Luis Garcia on sliders since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: 50% — second Percentile.

Noah Syndergaard: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Noah Syndergaard has allowed 21 stolen bases this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Noah Syndergaard has had second base stolen on him 16 times this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 35% of Noah Syndergaard’s breaking pitches (105/303) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 0 Percentile.

Noah Syndergaard has thrown his curveball 43% of the time (126/292) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total CB; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Astros are 29-17 (.630) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .478.

The Astros are 51-8 (.864) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .703.

The Astros are 33-2 (.943) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .792.

The Astros are 20-4 (.833) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .713.

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Angels are just 2-5 (.286) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Angels are just 1-38 (.026) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .084.

The Angels are just 33-8 (.805) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .888.

The Angels are just 6-29 (.171) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.

Astros hitters have just 556 strikeouts in 3,017 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters have just 1,297 strikeouts in 6,455 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Astros hitters have just 1,853 strikeouts in 9,472 PA’s (20%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Astros hitters have missed on just 22% of swings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Angels hitters have 25 strikeouts in 70 PA’s (36%) against LHP over the last 14 days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Angels are batting just .100 with two-strikes over the last 14 days (11 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.

The Angels are batting just .232 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.

Angels hitters have 106 strikeouts in 316 PA’s (34%) this month (9 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.14 (400.2 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.

Opponents are hitting just .210 against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.

The Astros have won 41% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Angels pitchers have a strikeout rate of 42% when going through the lineup the third time in a game this month (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Angels pitchers have a strikeout rate of 42% when going through the lineup the third time in a game over the last 14 days (8 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 20%.

Angels pitchers have won only 11% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Angels pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days (11 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Angels vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Michael Lorenzen (Angels): Shoulder, D15
  • Austin Warren (Angels): Triceps, D15
  • Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D60
  • Matthew Duffy (Angels): Back, D10
  • Archie Bradley (Angels): Elbow, D60
  • Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
  • Cooper Criswell (Angels): Shoulder, D60
  • Jimmy Herget (Angels): Shoulder, D15
  • David Fletcher (Angels): Hip, D60
  • Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
  • Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D10
  • Yordan Alvarez (Astros): Hand, D10
  • Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Forearm, D60
  • Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
  • Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
  • Parker Mushinski (Astros): Elbow, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.