- The Astros (56-29) are -125 favorites vs the Angels (38-49)
- Astros starting pitcher: Luis Garcia (7-5), 3.81 ERA
- Angels starting pitcher: Noah Syndergaard (5-7), 3.83 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Houston Astros (-125) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (+105) on Tuesday, July 12, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38pm EDT in Anaheim.
The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Astros vs Angels Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Astros are 56-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 39-48 ATS.
Astros vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Astros | -1.5 +135 | O 8 -110 | -125 |
Angels | +1.5 -160 | U 8 -110 | +105 |
Astros vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 65.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Altuve has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 15 away games (+6.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- Aledmys Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 79% ROI)
- Aledmys Diaz has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- Aledmys Diaz has hit the Runs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+5.85 Units / 97% ROI)
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Total Bases Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+5.35 Units / 89% ROI)
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 16 games (+12.95 Units / 42% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+11.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.90 Units / 45% ROI)
- Brandon Marsh has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+7.55 Units / 74% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.35 Units / 34% ROI)
Angels vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Brandon Marsh | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
Jared Walsh | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Jonathan Villar | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Luis Rengifo | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
Max Stassi | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Angels vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Brandon Marsh | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -115 |
Jared Walsh | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +120 |
Jonathan Villar | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
Luis Rengifo | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +125 |
Max Stassi | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -130 |
Angels vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Brandon Marsh | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
Jared Walsh | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Jonathan Villar | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
Luis Rengifo | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
Max Stassi | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
Angels vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Noah Syndergaard | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -150 |
Luis Garcia | 5.5 -150 | 5.5 +105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 50 of their last 83 games (+17.95 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 47 of their last 72 games (+17.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 49 of their last 69 games (+16.60 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 66 games (+13.05 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 20 of their last 29 games (+11.50 Units / 37% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Angels: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 42 of their last 74 games (+11.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 26 games (+9.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 36 games at home (+7.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 35 games at home (+3.85 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.40 Units / 6% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 46-39 against the Run Line (+8.7 Units / 8.78% ROI).
- 56-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.1 Units / 8.72% ROI
- 30-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -25.25 Units / -27.14% ROI
- 51-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.95 Units / 19.07% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 39-48 against the Run Line (-12.25 Units / -11.63% ROI).
- 38-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -23.25 Units / -19.75% ROI
- 38-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.3 Units / -10.68% ROI
- 44-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.6 Units / 2.72% ROI
Luis Garcia: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
42 of Luis Garcia’s 87 strikeouts (48%) have come on cutters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 4% — 100th Percentile.
Luis Garcia has allowed an OBP of just .162 (68 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: .313 — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .194 (88-for-453) against Luis Garcia since the start of last season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 38% (196/514) against Luis Garcia on sliders since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: 50% — second Percentile.
Noah Syndergaard: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Noah Syndergaard has allowed 21 stolen bases this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Noah Syndergaard has had second base stolen on him 16 times this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 35% of Noah Syndergaard’s breaking pitches (105/303) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 0 Percentile.
Noah Syndergaard has thrown his curveball 43% of the time (126/292) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total CB; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Astros are 29-17 (.630) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .478.
The Astros are 51-8 (.864) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .703.
The Astros are 33-2 (.943) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .792.
The Astros are 20-4 (.833) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .713.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Angels are just 2-5 (.286) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 1-38 (.026) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .084.
The Angels are just 33-8 (.805) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .888.
The Angels are just 6-29 (.171) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 556 strikeouts in 3,017 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 1,297 strikeouts in 6,455 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have just 1,853 strikeouts in 9,472 PA’s (20%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have missed on just 22% of swings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have 25 strikeouts in 70 PA’s (36%) against LHP over the last 14 days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Angels are batting just .100 with two-strikes over the last 14 days (11 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.
The Angels are batting just .232 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Angels hitters have 106 strikeouts in 316 PA’s (34%) this month (9 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.14 (400.2 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.
Opponents are hitting just .210 against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
The Astros have won 41% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have a strikeout rate of 42% when going through the lineup the third time in a game this month (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Angels pitchers have a strikeout rate of 42% when going through the lineup the third time in a game over the last 14 days (8 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 20%.
Angels pitchers have won only 11% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days (11 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Angels vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Michael Lorenzen (Angels): Shoulder, D15
- Austin Warren (Angels): Triceps, D15
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D60
- Matthew Duffy (Angels): Back, D10
- Archie Bradley (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
- Cooper Criswell (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Jimmy Herget (Angels): Shoulder, D15
- David Fletcher (Angels): Hip, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D10
- Yordan Alvarez (Astros): Hand, D10
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Forearm, D60
- Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
- Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
- Parker Mushinski (Astros): Elbow, D15
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