Astros vs Angels Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 13, 2022, 10:58 AM
  • The Angels (38-50) are -120 favorites vs the Astros (57-29)
  • Astros starting pitcher: Cristian Javier (6-4), 3.01 ERA
  • Angels starting pitcher: Shohei Ohtani (8-4), 2.44 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Houston Astros (+100) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (-120) on Wednesday, July 13, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38pm EDT in Anaheim.

The Angels are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+170).

The Astros vs Angels Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Astros are 57-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 40-48 ATS.

Astros vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Astros+1.5 -200O 7 -110+100
Angels -1.5 +170U 7 -110-120

Astros vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 57.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Angels vs Astros and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Aledmys Diaz has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+7.10 Units / 101% ROI)
  • Aledmys Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Aledmys Diaz has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Aledmys Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+6.10 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Kyle Tucker has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 14 away games (+5.70 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+11.30 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.75 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.35 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Mike Trout has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.45 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.90 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Angels vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Brandon Marsh 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
    Jared Walsh 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
    Jonathan Villar 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000
    Luis Rengifo 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
    Max Stassi 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100

    Angels vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Brandon Marsh 0.5 -110 0.5 -130
    Jared Walsh 0.5 -165 0.5 +120
    Jonathan Villar 0.5 -135 0.5 -105
    Luis Rengifo 0.5 -165 0.5 +115
    Max Stassi 0.5 +110 0.5 -160

    Angels vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Brandon Marsh 0.5 +290 0.5 -450
    Jared Walsh 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
    Jonathan Villar 0.5 +270 0.5 -450
    Luis Rengifo 0.5 +225 0.5 -350
    Max Stassi 0.5 +260 0.5 -400

    Angels vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Shohei Ohtani 6.5 -165 6.5 +115
    Cristian Javier 7.5 +105 7.5 -145
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 48 of their last 73 games (+18.85 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 70 games (+17.60 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 50 of their last 84 games (+16.95 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 67 games (+12.05 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+10.50 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 43 of their last 75 games (+12.05 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 27 games (+8.65 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 37 games at home (+5.55 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 36 games at home (+4.85 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.75 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 46-40 against the Run Line (+7.7 Units / 7.69% ROI).

    • 57-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.1 Units / 9.35% ROI
    • 31-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -24.25 Units / -25.73% ROI
    • 51-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +16.95 Units / 17.81% ROI

    Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 40-48 against the Run Line (-11.25 Units / -10.53% ROI).

    • 38-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -24.25 Units / -20.43% ROI
    • 39-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.3 Units / -9.53% ROI
    • 44-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.6 Units / 1.66% ROI

    Cristian Javier has a first-pitch strike rate of just 50% (360/723) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.

    Cristian Javier has thrown elevated pitches 55% of the time (435/797) when behind in the count since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (43/159) against Cristian Javier in two-strike counts since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 0 Percentile.

    Opponents are hitting just .182 (114-for-626) against Cristian Javier since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: .243 — 98th Percentile.

    Shohei Ohtani: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    Shohei Ohtani has an OPS of 1.743 (63 PA’s) when ahead in the count this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 1.109 — 97th Percentile.

    Shohei Ohtani has 12 barreled balls on the first pitch of at-bats this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

    Shohei Ohtani has an OPS of 1.678 (192 PA’s) when ahead in the count since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 1.149 — 98th Percentile.

    Shohei Ohtani has 60 barreled balls on non-fastballs since the start of last season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

    Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

    The Astros are 51-8 (.864) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .702.

    The Astros are 32-3 (.914) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .707.

    The Astros are 20-4 (.833) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .713.

    The Astros are 30-17 (.638) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .478.

    Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

    The Angels are just 2-5 (.286) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

    The Angels are just 1-38 (.026) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .084.

    The Angels are just 5-25 (.167) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.

    The Angels are just 3-7 (.300) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

    Astros hitters have missed on just 22% of swings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

    Astros hitters have just 558 strikeouts in 3,020 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

    Astros hitters have just 1,304 strikeouts in 6,495 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

    Astros hitters have an OBP of .269 (4,889 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.

    The Angels are batting just .117 at home over the last 14 days (2 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.

    Angels hitters have an OBP of just .161 (230 PA’s) with two-strikes over the last 14 days (11 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.

    Angels hitters have an OPS of just .301 (38 PA’s) at home this month (1 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.

    Angels hitters have 118 strikeouts in 354 PA’s (33%) this month (10 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

    Opponents are hitting just .209 against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.

    Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 33% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

    Astros pitchers have an ERA of 2.94 (761.2 IP) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.00.

    The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

    Angels pitchers have allowed a run just 22% of the time after an opposing score this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

    Angels pitchers have won only 11% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

    Angels pitchers have a strikeout rate of 40% when going through the lineup the third time in a game over the last 14 days (9 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

    Angels pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

    Angels vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Michael Lorenzen (Angels): Shoulder, D15
  • Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D60
  • Michael Trout (Angels): Back, Day-to-Day
  • Matthew Duffy (Angels): Back, D10
  • Archie Bradley (Angels): Elbow, D60
  • Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
  • Cooper Criswell (Angels): Shoulder, D60
  • Jimmy Herget (Angels): Shoulder, D15
  • David Fletcher (Angels): Hip, D60
  • Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
  • Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D10
  • Yordan Alvarez (Astros): Hand, D10
  • Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Forearm, D60
  • Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
  • Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
  • Parker Mushinski (Astros): Elbow, D15

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.