Astros vs Angels Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 14

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 14, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Astros (57-30) are -185 favorites vs the Angels (39-50)
  • Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez (8-4), 2.64 ERA
  • Angels starting pitcher: Reid Detmers (2-3), 4.21 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSW

The Houston Astros (-185) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (+150) on Thursday, July 14, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:07pm EDT in Anaheim.

The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Astros vs Angels Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Astros are 57-30 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 41-48 ATS.

Astros vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Astros-1.5 -110O 8 -110-185
Angels +1.5 -110U 8 -110+150

Astros vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Thursday‘s matchup with 65.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Altuve has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 17 away games (+6.25 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Kyle Tucker has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 10 away games (+5.55 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Yuli Gurriel has hit the Total Bases Over in 6 of his last 8 away games (+5.35 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 11 away games (+4.70 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Kyle Tucker has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 15 away games (+4.70 Units / 31% ROI)

Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.30 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+8.20 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+8.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+6.25 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+6.25 Units / 20% ROI)

Angels vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Velazquez 0.5 +1000 0.5 -10000
David MacKinnon 0.5 +800 0.5 -3000
Jared Walsh 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Jo Adell 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Kurt Suzuki 0.5 +800 0.5 -3000

Angels vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Velazquez 0.5 -115 0.5 -115
David MacKinnon 0.5 -175 0.5 +125
Jared Walsh 0.5 -160 0.5 +110
Jo Adell 0.5 -165 0.5 +115
Kurt Suzuki 0.5 -135 0.5 -105

Angels vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Velazquez 0.5 +350 0.5 -650
David MacKinnon 0.5 +250 0.5 -400
Jared Walsh 0.5 +210 0.5 -300
Jo Adell 0.5 +250 0.5 -400
Kurt Suzuki 0.5 +290 0.5 -500

Angels vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Reid Detmers 3.5 -135 3.5 -105
Framber Valdez 6.5 -105 6.5 -135
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 48 of their last 74 games (+17.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 71 games (+16.55 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 50 of their last 85 games (+15.65 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 21 of their last 31 games (+11.55 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 68 games (+9.85 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 43 of their last 76 games (+10.80 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 28 games (+7.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 38 games at home (+6.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 37 games at home (+6.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.75 Units / 21% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 46-41 against the Run Line (+5.5 Units / 5.38% ROI).

  • 57-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.05 Units / 8.54% ROI
  • 32-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -23.15 Units / -24.3% ROI
  • 51-32 when betting on the total runs Under for +15.65 Units / 16.23% ROI

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 41-48 against the Run Line (-9.45 Units / -8.76% ROI).

  • 39-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -23.25 Units / -19.4% ROI
  • 40-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.2 Units / -8.32% ROI
  • 44-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.3 Units / 0.31% ROI

Opponents have a groundball rate of 70% (71/102) against Framber Valdez in two-strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 68% (202/299) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 69% (466/677) against Framber Valdez since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 69% (179/258) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Reid Detmers: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hitters batting in the top of the order have hit just .159 against Reid Detmers this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: .254 — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 18% (38/208) against Reid Detmers this season — tied for 14th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 11th Percentile.

Reid Detmers has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 8.0 innings pitched — Devin Williams has the longest active streak at 20.0.

Reid Detmers has thrown elevated pitches 44% of the time (367/831) against right-handed batters this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 97th Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Astros are 32-3 (.914) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

The Astros are 30-18 (.625) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .477.

The Astros are 45-3 (.938) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Astros are 8-3 (.727) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Angels are just 3-7 (.300) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Angels are just 2-5 (.286) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Angels are just 34-8 (.810) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.

The Angels are just 4-24 (.143) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.

Astros hitters have just 560 strikeouts in 3,023 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters have an OBP of .268 (4,915 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.

The Astros are batting .188 with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .167.

Astros hitters have just 1,627 strikeouts in 8,095 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Angels hitters have 641 strikeouts in 2,360 PA’s (27%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Angels hitters have 870 strikeouts in 3,283 PA’s (27%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Angels hitters have 25 strikeouts in 70 PA’s (36%) against LHP over the last 14 days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Angels hitters have 110 strikeouts in 326 PA’s (34%) against RHP this month (11 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 54% with two-strikes this month (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 54% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% over the last 14 days (13 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% this month (12 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Angels pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% when going through the lineup the third time in a game this month (9 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Angels pitchers have walked 11 of 93 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (11 games) — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Angels pitchers have won only 6% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Angels pitchers have won only 11% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Angels vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Michael Lorenzen (Angels): Shoulder, D15
  • Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D60
  • Michael Trout (Angels): Back, Day-to-Day
  • Matthew Duffy (Angels): Back, D10
  • Archie Bradley (Angels): Elbow, D60
  • Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
  • Cooper Criswell (Angels): Shoulder, D60
  • Jimmy Herget (Angels): Shoulder, D15
  • David Fletcher (Angels): Hip, D60
  • Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
  • Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D10
  • Yordan Alvarez (Astros): Hand, D10
  • Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Forearm, D60
  • Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
  • Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
  • Parker Mushinski (Astros): Elbow, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.