Astros vs Angels Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 14

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 14, 2023, 3:31 PM
  • The Angels are -150 favorites vs the Astros
  • Astros starting pitcher: Jonathan France
  • Angels starting pitcher: Shohei Ohtani
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Houston Astros (+125) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (-150) on Friday, July 14, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38pm EDT in Anaheim.

The Angels are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Astros vs Angels Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Astros are 50-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 41-50 ATS.

Astros vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Astros+1.5 -160O 8.5 -115+125
Angels -1.5 +135U 8.5 -105-150

Astros vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 66.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 24 away games (+11.15 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Mauricio Dubon has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 17 away games (+10.15 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Kyle Tucker has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+9.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Kyle Tucker has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 24 away games (+9.55 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Cristian Javier has hit the Strikeouts Under in his last 9 games (+9.05 Units / 80% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Anthony Rendon has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.10 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Chad Wallach has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+10.40 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Chad Wallach has hit the Hits Under in his last 9 games (+10.25 Units / 95% ROI)
  • Mickey Moniak has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+9.85 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Chad Wallach has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 73% ROI)

Angels vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Anthony Rendon 0.5 +475 0.5 -1100
Jose Abreu 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Mike Moustakas 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Shohei Ohtani 0.5 +260 0.5 -400
Eduardo Escobar 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400

Angels vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Anthony Rendon 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Jose Abreu 0.5 -185 0.5 +140
Mike Moustakas 0.5 -120 0.5 -105
Shohei Ohtani 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Eduardo Escobar 0.5 -175 0.5 +130

Angels vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Anthony Rendon 0.5 +195 0.5 -275
Jose Abreu 0.5 +210 0.5 -300
Mike Moustakas 0.5 +240 0.5 -350
Shohei Ohtani 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Eduardo Escobar 0.5 +200 0.5 -275

Angels vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani 6.5 -130 6.5 +100
J.P. France 5.5 +105 5.5 -140
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 18 away games (+9.05 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 42 away games (+8.45 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 34 away games (+8.25 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 42 away games (+7.35 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 68 games (+6.35 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 39 games at home (+11.05 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games at home (+9.35 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 26 games at home (+4.05 Units / 13% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 47-44 against the Run Line (-0.2 Units / -0.17% ROI).

  • 50-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.85 Units / -2.11% ROI
  • 44-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -6 Units / -5.93% ROI
  • 45-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.05 Units / -3.07% ROI

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 41-50 against the Run Line (-14.35 Units / -12.35% ROI).

  • 45-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.1 Units / -8.33% ROI
  • 42-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.75 Units / -4.68% ROI
  • 42-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.65 Units / -3.69% ROI

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 23% (19/81) against J.P. France vs left-handed batters this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 63% (51/81) against J.P. France this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 15% (51/346) against J.P. France in non-two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.

J.P. France has a strike rate of just 61% (327/536) against right-handed batters this season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: 65% — fifth Percentile.

Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Shohei Ohtani is slugging .663 (226 total bases in 341 ABs) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .427 — 100th Percentile.

Shohei Ohtani has an OPS of .976 against RHP since last season — second best in MLB– 99th Percentile. Jeremy Pena has an OPS of just .669 (658 PAs) against RHP since last season — 11th worst in MLB– 10th Percentile.

Shohei Ohtani has an OPS of .993 at home this season — second best in MLB– 98th Percentile. Jeremy Pena has an OPS of just .655 (182 PAs) at home this season — fifth worst in MLB– sixth Percentile.

Shohei Ohtani is slugging .949 (56 total bases in 59 ABs) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .456 — 100th Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Astros are 62-34 (.646) after a loss since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .483.

The Astros are 74-9 (.892) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .728.

The Astros are 28-17 (.622) after a road loss since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .453.

The Astros are 62-35 (.639) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .574.

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Angels are just 44-29 (.603) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.

The Angels are just 11-19 (.367) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Angels are just 13-65 (.167) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.

Astros hitters have just 477 strikeouts in 2,725 PA’s (17%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Astros hitters have just 857 strikeouts in 4,806 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play against LHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

The Astros have won 91% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.

The Angels are batting .269 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Angels hitters have 1,721 strikeouts in 6,760 PA’s (26%) against RHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Angels hitters have an OBP of .341 (1,905 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.

Angels hitters have an OBP of just .190 (158 PA’s) with two-strikes over the last 14 days (8 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 32% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.07 (1162.0 IP) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.95.

Angels pitchers have walked 45 of 319 batters (14%) over the last 14 days (8 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels pitchers have walked 82 of 803 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels pitchers have walked 877 of 9,523 batters (9%) since last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Angels pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Angels vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jordon Adell (Angels): Oblique, Day-to-Day
  • Brandon Drury (Angels): Shoulder, D10
  • José Suarez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
  • Max Stassi (Angels): Hip , D60
  • José Quijada (Angels): Elbow, D60
  • Logan O’Hoppe (Angels): Shoulder, D60
  • Giovanny Urshela (Angels): Pelvis, D60
  • Matthew Moore (Angels): Oblique, D15
  • Austin Warren (Angels): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Trout (Angels): Hand, D10
  • José Marte (Angels): Elbow, D60
  • Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
  • Anthony Rendon (Angels): Shin, Day-to-Day
  • Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
  • Zachary Neto (Angels): Oblique, D10
  • Benjamin Joyce (Angels): Arm, D15
  • Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D60
  • Luis Garcia (Astros): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
  • Yordan Alvarez (Astros): Oblique, D10
  • Jose Altuve (Astros): Oblique, D10
  • José Urquidy (Astros): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.