- The Astros are -130 favorites vs the Angels
- Astros starting pitcher: Cristian Javier
- Angels starting pitcher: Tyler Anderson
- Watch the game on ESPN
The Houston Astros (-130) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (+110) on Sunday, July 16, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Anaheim.
The Astros are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Astros vs Angels Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.
This season, the Astros are 51-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 42-51 ATS.
Astros vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 +110 | O 10 -110 | -130 |
| Angels | +1.5 -135 | U 10 -110 | +110 |
Astros vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 68.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 19 away games (+12.50 Units / 65% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 away games (+11.80 Units / 51% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 24 away games (+11.15 Units / 46% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+10.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 12 away games (+9.85 Units / 63% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 29 games (+17.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the RBIs Over in 20 of his last 34 games (+15.45 Units / 45% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 34 games (+15.10 Units / 37% ROI)
- Chad Wallach has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+11.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- Chad Wallach has hit the Hits Under in his last 10 games (+11.25 Units / 94% ROI)
Angels vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Zach Neto | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
Angels vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Zach Neto | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 1.5 +140 | 1.5 -185 |
| Yainer Diaz | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Angels vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Zach Neto | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
Angels vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Anderson | 4.5 +130 | 4.5 -165 |
| Cristian Javier | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +120 |
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 35 of their last 62 games (+12.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 20 away games (+11.05 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 44 away games (+8.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 44 away games (+7.35 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.85 Units / 57% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 41 games at home (+8.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 28 games at home (+7.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.10 Units / 47% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 48-45 against the Run Line (-0.2 Units / -0.17% ROI).
- 51-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.1 Units / -2.26% ROI
- 46-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -4 Units / -3.87% ROI
- 45-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.15 Units / -5.08% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 42-51 against the Run Line (-14.35 Units / -12.11% ROI).
- 46-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.25 Units / -8.28% ROI
- 44-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.75 Units / -2.65% ROI
- 42-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.75 Units / -5.7% ROI
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (75/271) against Cristian Javier this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of just 14% (9/66) against Cristian Javier when he’s behind in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% — first Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .164 (65-for-397) against Cristian Javier since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 101 total IP; League Avg: .249 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 24% (37/152) against Cristian Javier in non-two strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 32% of the time (121/377) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total CH; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 23% (104/451) against Tyler Anderson on non-fastballs since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 101 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 25% (53/209) against Tyler Anderson this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 42% — third Percentile.
Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 40% of the time (446/1,110) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total CH; League Avg: 13% — 100th Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Astros are 75-10 (.882) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Astros are 26-20 (.565) on the road this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .484.
The Astros are 157-98 (.616) since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 28-5 (.848) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 11-19 (.367) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are 7-3 (.700) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 14-66 (.175) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 484 strikeouts in 2,765 PA’s (17%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have just 864 strikeouts in 4,846 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Astros have won 90% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Astros hitters have put just 32% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have an OPS of .785 (1,905 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .720.
Angels hitters have 13 strikeouts in 28 PA’s (46%) against LHP over the past seven days (1 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Angels are batting .305 on the road over the last 30 days (11 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Angels are batting just .161 with two-strikes since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .169.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 33% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.33 (1116.0 IP) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.23.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have an ERA of 8.21 (68.0 IP) over the last 14 days (8 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.35.
Angels pitchers have walked 44 of 330 batters (13%) over the last 14 days (8 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 84 of 822 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Angels pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Angels vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jordon Adell (Angels): Oblique, D10
- Brandon Drury (Angels): Shoulder, D10
- José Suarez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Max Stassi (Angels): Hip , D60
- José Quijada (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Logan O’Hoppe (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Giovanny Urshela (Angels): Pelvis, D60
- Austin Warren (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Michael Trout (Angels): Hand, D10
- Samuel Bachman (Angels): The Los Angeles Angels placed RHP Sam Bachman on the 15-day injured list., D15
- José Marte (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Shin, D10
- Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Benjamin Joyce (Angels): Arm, D15
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Jeremy Peña (Astros): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Luis Garcia (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
- Framber Valdez (Astros): , Day-to-Day
- Yordan Alvarez (Astros): Oblique, D10
- Jose Altuve (Astros): Oblique, D10
- José Urquidy (Astros): Shoulder, D60
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