- The Astros are -130 favorites vs the Angels
- Astros starting pitcher: Cristian Javier
- Angels starting pitcher: Griffin Canning
- Watch the game on BSW
The Houston Astros (-130) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (+110) on Wednesday, May 10, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Anaheim.
The Astros are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Astros vs Angels Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Astros are 18-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 17-20 ATS.
Astros vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 +125 | O 9.5 -120 | -130 |
| Angels | +1.5 -150 | U 9.5 +100 | +110 |
Astros vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Under in 27 of his last 36 games (+13.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+11.25 Units / 75% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+10.20 Units / 19% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 34 games (+10.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 14 away games (+9.15 Units / 65% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Mike Trout has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+9.75 Units / 51% ROI)
- Hunter Renfroe has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 28 games (+9.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+7.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- Gio Urshela has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+7.65 Units / 37% ROI)
- Anthony Rendon has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.60 Units / 56% ROI)
Angels vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Rendon | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Zach Neto | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
Angels vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Rendon | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Zach Neto | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -110 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Angels vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Rendon | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Zach Neto | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
Angels vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Griffin Canning | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -135 |
| Cristian Javier | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -160 |
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+5.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.40 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+4.90 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.70 Units / 33% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+5.90 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 36 games (+2.65 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.50 Units / 8% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 18-18 against the Run Line (-2.3 Units / -4.75% ROI).
- 18-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.3 Units / -15.99% ROI
- 19-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.5 Units / 3.78% ROI
- 16-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.7 Units / -11.87% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 17-20 against the Run Line (-5.05 Units / -10.78% ROI).
- 20-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.95 Units / -3.45% ROI
- 18-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.25 Units / -3.01% ROI
- 17-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.7 Units / -6.75% ROI
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cristian Javier has struck out 38% (127/337) of right-handed batters he faced since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 99th Percentile.
Cristian Javier has thrown fastballs up 73% of the time (267/368) this season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .148 (36-for-244) against Cristian Javier versus the 2-3-4 hitters since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: .257 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% (15/48) against Cristian Javier in two-strike counts this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — third Percentile.
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .111 (3 GB hits out of 27 GBs) against Griffin Canning this season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: .252 — 96th Percentile.
Griffin Canning has allowed at least one HR in each of his last three games dating back to April 19th — Corey Kluber has the longest active streak at 9.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .111 (2 GB hits out of 18 GBs) against Griffin Canning with the shift this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: .249 — 93rd Percentile.
Griffin Canning has thrown off-speed pitches 70% of the time (240/345) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total NonFB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Astros are just 0-11 (.000) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.
The Astros are just 2-5 (.286) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
The Astros are 7-5 (.583) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .363.
The Astros are just 0-16 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Angels are just 4-17 (.190) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 9-50 (.153) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 7-16 (.304) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 378 strikeouts in 2,215 PA’s (17%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 758 strikeouts in 4,296 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have just 57 strikeouts in 365 PA’s (16%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have an OPS of .775 (2,215 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
The Angels are just 4-17 (.190) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Angels hitters have just 73 strikeouts in 387 PA’s (19%) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .299 (2,230 PA’s) against LHP since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Angels hitters are slugging just .225 with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
The Astros have allowed 3.32 runs per game (325/98) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.36.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 29% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.11 (859.0 IP) on the road since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.19.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 35 of 329 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Angels pitchers have walked 157 of 1,769 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% with runners in scoring position this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels pitchers have won 44% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Angels vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Aaron Loup (Angels): Hamstring, D15
- José Suarez (Angels): Shoulder, D15
- Jared Walsh (Angels): Headaches, D10
- Chad Wallach (Angels): Neck, D7
- Max Stassi (Angels): Hip , D10
- José Quijada (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Logan O’Hoppe (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Austin Warren (Angels): Elbow, D15
- José Marte (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Mauricio Dubón (Astros): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Jose Altuve (Astros): Thumb, D10
- Luis Garcia (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
- José Urquidy (Astros): Shoulder, D15
- Chas McCormick (Astros): Back, Day-to-Day
- Parker Mushinski (Astros): Spine, D15
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