Astros vs Angels Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 10

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 10, 2023, 3:31 PM
  • The Astros are -130 favorites vs the Angels
  • Astros starting pitcher: Cristian Javier
  • Angels starting pitcher: Griffin Canning
  • Watch the game on BSW

The Houston Astros (-130) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (+110) on Wednesday, May 10, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Anaheim.

The Astros are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Astros vs Angels Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Astros are 18-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 17-20 ATS.

Astros vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Astros-1.5 +125O 9.5 -120-130
Angels +1.5 -150U 9.5 +100+110

Astros vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Under in 27 of his last 36 games (+13.25 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Mauricio Dubon has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+11.25 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+10.20 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 34 games (+10.15 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Kyle Tucker has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 14 away games (+9.15 Units / 65% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Mike Trout has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+9.75 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Hunter Renfroe has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 28 games (+9.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Mike Trout has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+7.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Gio Urshela has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+7.65 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Anthony Rendon has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.60 Units / 56% ROI)

Angels vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Anthony Rendon 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Shohei Ohtani 0.5 +280 0.5 -450
Mike Trout 0.5 +250 0.5 -400
Zach Neto 0.5 +625 0.5 -2000
Kyle Tucker 0.5 +320 0.5 -550

Angels vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Anthony Rendon 0.5 -145 0.5 +110
Shohei Ohtani 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Mike Trout 0.5 -150 0.5 +115
Zach Neto 0.5 -115 0.5 -110
Kyle Tucker 0.5 -225 0.5 +170

Angels vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Anthony Rendon 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Shohei Ohtani 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Mike Trout 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Zach Neto 0.5 +280 0.5 -400
Kyle Tucker 0.5 +130 0.5 -175

Angels vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Griffin Canning 5.5 +100 5.5 -135
Cristian Javier 6.5 +120 6.5 -160
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+5.50 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.40 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+4.90 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.85 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.70 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+5.90 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.75 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 36 games (+2.65 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.50 Units / 8% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 18-18 against the Run Line (-2.3 Units / -4.75% ROI).

  • 18-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.3 Units / -15.99% ROI
  • 19-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.5 Units / 3.78% ROI
  • 16-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.7 Units / -11.87% ROI

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 17-20 against the Run Line (-5.05 Units / -10.78% ROI).

  • 20-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.95 Units / -3.45% ROI
  • 18-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.25 Units / -3.01% ROI
  • 17-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.7 Units / -6.75% ROI

Cristian Javier has struck out 38% (127/337) of right-handed batters he faced since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 99th Percentile.

Cristian Javier has thrown fastballs up 73% of the time (267/368) this season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .148 (36-for-244) against Cristian Javier versus the 2-3-4 hitters since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: .257 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% (15/48) against Cristian Javier in two-strike counts this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — third Percentile.

Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .111 (3 GB hits out of 27 GBs) against Griffin Canning this season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: .252 — 96th Percentile.

Griffin Canning has allowed at least one HR in each of his last three games dating back to April 19th — Corey Kluber has the longest active streak at 9.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .111 (2 GB hits out of 18 GBs) against Griffin Canning with the shift this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: .249 — 93rd Percentile.

Griffin Canning has thrown off-speed pitches 70% of the time (240/345) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total NonFB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Astros are just 0-11 (.000) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.

The Astros are just 2-5 (.286) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.

The Astros are 7-5 (.583) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .363.

The Astros are just 0-16 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Angels are just 4-17 (.190) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Angels are just 9-50 (.153) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.

The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Angels are just 7-16 (.304) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Astros hitters have just 378 strikeouts in 2,215 PA’s (17%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters have just 758 strikeouts in 4,296 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Astros hitters have just 57 strikeouts in 365 PA’s (16%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters have an OPS of .775 (2,215 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .719.

The Angels are just 4-17 (.190) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Angels hitters have just 73 strikeouts in 387 PA’s (19%) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Angels hitters have an OBP of just .299 (2,230 PA’s) against LHP since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.

Angels hitters are slugging just .225 with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.

The Astros have allowed 3.32 runs per game (325/98) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.36.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 29% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.11 (859.0 IP) on the road since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.19.

Angels pitchers have walked 35 of 329 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Angels pitchers have walked 157 of 1,769 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% with runners in scoring position this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Angels pitchers have won 44% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Angels vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Aaron Loup (Angels): Hamstring, D15
  • José Suarez (Angels): Shoulder, D15
  • Jared Walsh (Angels): Headaches, D10
  • Chad Wallach (Angels): Neck, D7
  • Max Stassi (Angels): Hip , D10
  • José Quijada (Angels): Elbow, D60
  • Logan O’Hoppe (Angels): Shoulder, D60
  • Austin Warren (Angels): Elbow, D15
  • José Marte (Angels): Elbow, D60
  • Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
  • Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
  • Mauricio Dubón (Astros): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
  • Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D15
  • Jose Altuve (Astros): Thumb, D10
  • Luis Garcia (Astros): Elbow, D15
  • Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
  • José Urquidy (Astros): Shoulder, D15
  • Chas McCormick (Astros): Back, Day-to-Day
  • Parker Mushinski (Astros): Spine, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.