Astros vs Angels Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 3

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 03, 2022, 9:20 AM
  • The Angels (57-75) are -120 favorites vs the Astros (85-47)
  • Astros starting pitcher: Luis Garcia (11-8), 4.13 ERA
  • Angels starting pitcher: Shohei Ohtani (11-8), 2.67 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSW

The Houston Astros (+100) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (-120) on Saturday, September 3, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:07pm EDT in Anaheim.

The Angels are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).

The Astros vs Angels Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Astros are 83-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 62-67 ATS.

Astros vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Astros+1.5 -200O 8 -110+100
Angels -1.5 +165U 8 -110-120

Astros vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s matchup with 58.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Angels vs Astros and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+15.70 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Kyle Tucker has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.45 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 31 games (+13.35 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 36 games (+11.85 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Yuli Gurriel has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 60% ROI)

Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 51 of his last 59 games (+34.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Total Bases Over in 42 of his last 64 games (+20.80 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Under in 41 of his last 54 games (+20.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Anthony Rendon has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 16 games at home (+13.05 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Singles Over in 38 of his last 59 games (+13.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 78 of their last 119 games (+29.45 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 41 of their last 76 games (+9.55 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+5.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 36 of their last 66 games at home (+11.70 Units / 16% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 68-61 against the Run Line (+8.6 Units / 5.74% ROI).

  • 83-46 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.2 Units / 3.7% ROI
  • 46-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -36.25 Units / -25.68% ROI
  • 76-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +25.1 Units / 17.54% ROI

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 62-67 against the Run Line (-10.55 Units / -6.6% ROI).

  • 57-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -24.9 Units / -15.09% ROI
  • 57-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.5 Units / -8.78% ROI
  • 63-57 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 0.71% ROI

Hitters have swung at 36% of Luis Garcia’s breaking pitches (327/908) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: 47% — first Percentile.

The average home run distance against Luis Garcia since the start of last season is 387.5 feet — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: 399.2

Luis Garcia has allowed a slugging percentage of .700 (42 Total Bases / 60 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .423 — fourth Percentile.

Luis Garcia has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.4 MPH on pitches away since the start of last season (346 balls in play) — tied for 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: 87.8

Shohei Ohtani: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Shohei Ohtani has an OPS of 1.930 (100 PA’s) when ahead in the count this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.102 — 100th Percentile.

Shohei Ohtani is slugging 1.072 (134 total bases in 125 ABs) with the pitcher behind in the count since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .641 — 98th Percentile.

Shohei Ohtani has an OPS of 1.771 (229 PA’s) when ahead in the count since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 1.144 — 99th Percentile.

Shohei Ohtani has an OPS of 1.206 (249 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .822 — 100th Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Astros are 52-3 (.945) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .798.

The Astros are 74-18 (.804) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .703.

The Astros are 36-4 (.900) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.

The Astros are 41-6 (.872) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .712.

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Angels are just 2-10 (.167) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Angels are just 4-11 (.267) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Angels are just 6-33 (.154) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .333.

The Angels are just 5-57 (.081) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.

Astros hitters have just 643 strikeouts in 3,558 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters have just 263 strikeouts in 1,477 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters have just 773 strikeouts in 4,218 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Astros hitters have missed on just 22% of swings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Angels hitters have 915 strikeouts in 3,413 PA’s (27%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Angels hitters have 362 strikeouts in 1,454 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Angels hitters have 1,277 strikeouts in 4,867 PA’s (26%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Angels hitters have an OBP of just .272 (827 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Astros pitchers have won 43% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 2.78 (570.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.83.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% over the past seven days (5 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Angels pitchers have walked 1,038 of 11,128 batters (9%) since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels pitchers have walked 103 of 1,173 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Angels pitchers have walked 54 of 487 batters (11%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels pitchers have won only 8% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Angels vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Michael Lorenzen (Angels): Shoulder, D60
  • McKenzie Moniak (Angels): Finger, D10
  • Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D60
  • Archie Bradley (Angels): Elbow, D60
  • Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
  • Jared Walsh (Angels): Rib, D60
  • Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
  • Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D60
  • Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
  • Yordan Alvarez (Astros): Hand, Day-to-Day
  • Thomas Pressly (Astros): Neck, D15
  • Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
  • Justin Verlander (Astros): Calf, D15
  • Aledmys Díaz (Astros): Groin, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.