- The Angels (57-75) are -120 favorites vs the Astros (85-47)
- Astros starting pitcher: Luis Garcia (11-8), 4.13 ERA
- Angels starting pitcher: Shohei Ohtani (11-8), 2.67 ERA
- Watch the game on BSW
The Houston Astros (+100) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (-120) on Saturday, September 3, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:07pm EDT in Anaheim.
The Angels are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Astros vs Angels Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Astros are 83-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 62-67 ATS.
Astros vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | +1.5 -200 | O 8 -110 | +100 |
| Angels | -1.5 +165 | U 8 -110 | -120 |
Astros vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s matchup with 58.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+15.70 Units / 62% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 31 games (+13.35 Units / 42% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 36 games (+11.85 Units / 30% ROI)
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 60% ROI)
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 51 of his last 59 games (+34.60 Units / 29% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Total Bases Over in 42 of his last 64 games (+20.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Under in 41 of his last 54 games (+20.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- Anthony Rendon has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 16 games at home (+13.05 Units / 48% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Singles Over in 38 of his last 59 games (+13.00 Units / 19% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 78 of their last 119 games (+29.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 41 of their last 76 games (+9.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+5.10 Units / 14% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Angels: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 36 of their last 66 games at home (+11.70 Units / 16% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 68-61 against the Run Line (+8.6 Units / 5.74% ROI).
- 83-46 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.2 Units / 3.7% ROI
- 46-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -36.25 Units / -25.68% ROI
- 76-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +25.1 Units / 17.54% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 62-67 against the Run Line (-10.55 Units / -6.6% ROI).
- 57-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -24.9 Units / -15.09% ROI
- 57-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.5 Units / -8.78% ROI
- 63-57 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 0.71% ROI
Luis Garcia: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 36% of Luis Garcia’s breaking pitches (327/908) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: 47% — first Percentile.
The average home run distance against Luis Garcia since the start of last season is 387.5 feet — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: 399.2
Luis Garcia has allowed a slugging percentage of .700 (42 Total Bases / 60 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .423 — fourth Percentile.
Luis Garcia has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.4 MPH on pitches away since the start of last season (346 balls in play) — tied for 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: 87.8
Shohei Ohtani: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shohei Ohtani has an OPS of 1.930 (100 PA’s) when ahead in the count this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.102 — 100th Percentile.
Shohei Ohtani is slugging 1.072 (134 total bases in 125 ABs) with the pitcher behind in the count since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .641 — 98th Percentile.
Shohei Ohtani has an OPS of 1.771 (229 PA’s) when ahead in the count since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 1.144 — 99th Percentile.
Shohei Ohtani has an OPS of 1.206 (249 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .822 — 100th Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Astros are 52-3 (.945) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .798.
The Astros are 74-18 (.804) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .703.
The Astros are 36-4 (.900) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
The Astros are 41-6 (.872) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Angels are just 2-10 (.167) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 4-11 (.267) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 6-33 (.154) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .333.
The Angels are just 5-57 (.081) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 643 strikeouts in 3,558 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 263 strikeouts in 1,477 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 773 strikeouts in 4,218 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have missed on just 22% of swings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have 915 strikeouts in 3,413 PA’s (27%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels hitters have 362 strikeouts in 1,454 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels hitters have 1,277 strikeouts in 4,867 PA’s (26%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .272 (827 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have won 43% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 2.78 (570.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.83.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% over the past seven days (5 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 1,038 of 11,128 batters (9%) since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 103 of 1,173 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Angels pitchers have walked 54 of 487 batters (11%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have won only 8% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Angels vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Michael Lorenzen (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- McKenzie Moniak (Angels): Finger, D10
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D60
- Archie Bradley (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
- Jared Walsh (Angels): Rib, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D60
- Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
- Yordan Alvarez (Astros): Hand, Day-to-Day
- Thomas Pressly (Astros): Neck, D15
- Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
- Justin Verlander (Astros): Calf, D15
- Aledmys Díaz (Astros): Groin, D10
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