Astros vs Angels Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 4

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 04, 2022, 8:38 AM
  • The Astros (85-48) are -165 favorites vs the Angels (58-75)
  • Astros starting pitcher: José Urquidy (12-5), 3.69 ERA
  • Angels starting pitcher: Joseph Davidson (2-4), 5.76 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Houston Astros (-165) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (+140) on Sunday, September 4, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Anaheim.

The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Astros vs Angels Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Astros are 83-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 62-68 ATS.

Astros vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Astros-1.5 -110O 9.5 -110-165
Angels +1.5 -110U 9.5 -110+140

Astros vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s matchup with 52.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Angels vs Astros and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+15.70 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 33 games (+13.35 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Yuli Gurriel has hit the Runs Under in his last 13 games (+13.00 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Kyle Tucker has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+11.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 38 games (+9.85 Units / 24% ROI)

Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 52 of his last 61 games (+33.55 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Total Bases Over in 42 of his last 66 games (+17.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Under in 41 of his last 56 games (+17.05 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Anthony Rendon has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 16 games at home (+13.05 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Singles Over in 39 of his last 61 games (+12.75 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 79 of their last 120 games (+30.45 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 41 of their last 77 games (+8.45 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games (+6.40 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 37 of their last 67 games at home (+12.70 Units / 17% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 69-61 against the Run Line (+9.6 Units / 6.33% ROI).

  • 83-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.2 Units / 3.23% ROI
  • 46-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -37.25 Units / -26.2% ROI
  • 77-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +26.1 Units / 18.08% ROI

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 62-68 against the Run Line (-11.55 Units / -7.18% ROI).

  • 58-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -23.9 Units / -14.37% ROI
  • 57-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.5 Units / -9.42% ROI
  • 64-57 when betting on the total runs Under for +2 Units / 1.42% ROI

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 34% (80/233) against Jose Urquidy this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — seventh Percentile.

Jose Urquidy has a strikeout rate of just 34% (109 SO in 320 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — fourth Percentile.

Jose Urquidy has a strike rate of 69% (1,199/1,725) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 146 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 34% (39/114) against Jose Urquidy when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — third Percentile.

Joseph Davidson: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 58% (15/26) against Tucker Davidson — 6th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 39% — fourth Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 54% (13/24) against Tucker Davidson against right-handed batters — tied for 11th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 40% — 10th Percentile.

The hardest ball hit off of Tucker Davidson was 114.4 MPH — 9th hardest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 109.4

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Astros are 41-6 (.872) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .713.

The Astros are 36-4 (.900) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .722.

The Astros are 43-20 (.683) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .530.

The Astros are 52-3 (.945) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .799.

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Angels are just 6-33 (.154) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .332.

The Angels are just 2-10 (.167) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Angels are just 6-35 (.146) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .278.

The Angels are just 3-59 (.048) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.

Astros hitters have just 646 strikeouts in 3,563 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters have an OBP of .328 (7,706 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Astros hitters have just 1,566 strikeouts in 7,706 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Angels hitters have 1,287 strikeouts in 4,912 PA’s (26%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Angels hitters are slugging just .353 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.

Angels hitters have an OBP of just .302 (1,376 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.

Angels hitters have an OBP of just .215 (2,652 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.

The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers since the start of last season is 392.9 feet — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 399.5

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.62 (1311.2 IP) on the road since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.

Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 28% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Astros pitchers have won 43% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Angels pitchers have won only 8% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Angels pitchers have walked 1,039 of 11,172 batters (9%) since the start of last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels pitchers have walked 13 of 118 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (13 games) — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Angels pitchers have allowed a run just 23% of the time after an opposing score this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Angels vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Michael Lorenzen (Angels): Shoulder, D60
  • McKenzie Moniak (Angels): Finger, D10
  • Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D60
  • Archie Bradley (Angels): Elbow, D60
  • Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
  • Jared Walsh (Angels): Rib, D60
  • Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
  • Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D60
  • Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
  • Yordan Alvarez (Astros): Hand, Day-to-Day
  • Thomas Pressly (Astros): Neck, D15
  • Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
  • Justin Verlander (Astros): Calf, D15
  • Aledmys Díaz (Astros): Groin, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.