- The Astros (85-48) are -165 favorites vs the Angels (58-75)
- Astros starting pitcher: José Urquidy (12-5), 3.69 ERA
- Angels starting pitcher: Joseph Davidson (2-4), 5.76 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Houston Astros (-165) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (+140) on Sunday, September 4, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Anaheim.
The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Astros vs Angels Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Astros are 83-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 62-68 ATS.
Astros vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 -110 | O 9.5 -110 | -165 |
| Angels | +1.5 -110 | U 9.5 -110 | +140 |
Astros vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s matchup with 52.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+15.70 Units / 62% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 33 games (+13.35 Units / 39% ROI)
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Runs Under in his last 13 games (+13.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+11.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 38 games (+9.85 Units / 24% ROI)
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 52 of his last 61 games (+33.55 Units / 27% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Total Bases Over in 42 of his last 66 games (+17.70 Units / 18% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Under in 41 of his last 56 games (+17.05 Units / 17% ROI)
- Anthony Rendon has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 16 games at home (+13.05 Units / 48% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Singles Over in 39 of his last 61 games (+12.75 Units / 18% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 79 of their last 120 games (+30.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 41 of their last 77 games (+8.45 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games (+6.40 Units / 17% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Angels: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 37 of their last 67 games at home (+12.70 Units / 17% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 69-61 against the Run Line (+9.6 Units / 6.33% ROI).
- 83-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.2 Units / 3.23% ROI
- 46-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -37.25 Units / -26.2% ROI
- 77-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +26.1 Units / 18.08% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 62-68 against the Run Line (-11.55 Units / -7.18% ROI).
- 58-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -23.9 Units / -14.37% ROI
- 57-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.5 Units / -9.42% ROI
- 64-57 when betting on the total runs Under for +2 Units / 1.42% ROI
José Urquidy: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 34% (80/233) against Jose Urquidy this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — seventh Percentile.
Jose Urquidy has a strikeout rate of just 34% (109 SO in 320 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — fourth Percentile.
Jose Urquidy has a strike rate of 69% (1,199/1,725) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 146 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 34% (39/114) against Jose Urquidy when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — third Percentile.
Joseph Davidson: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 58% (15/26) against Tucker Davidson — 6th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 39% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 54% (13/24) against Tucker Davidson against right-handed batters — tied for 11th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 40% — 10th Percentile.
The hardest ball hit off of Tucker Davidson was 114.4 MPH — 9th hardest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 109.4
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Astros are 41-6 (.872) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .713.
The Astros are 36-4 (.900) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .722.
The Astros are 43-20 (.683) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .530.
The Astros are 52-3 (.945) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .799.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Angels are just 6-33 (.154) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .332.
The Angels are just 2-10 (.167) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 6-35 (.146) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .278.
The Angels are just 3-59 (.048) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 646 strikeouts in 3,563 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have an OBP of .328 (7,706 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Astros hitters have just 1,566 strikeouts in 7,706 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have 1,287 strikeouts in 4,912 PA’s (26%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels hitters are slugging just .353 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .302 (1,376 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .215 (2,652 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers since the start of last season is 392.9 feet — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 399.5
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.62 (1311.2 IP) on the road since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 28% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros pitchers have won 43% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have won only 8% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Angels pitchers have walked 1,039 of 11,172 batters (9%) since the start of last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 13 of 118 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (13 games) — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Angels pitchers have allowed a run just 23% of the time after an opposing score this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Angels vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Michael Lorenzen (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- McKenzie Moniak (Angels): Finger, D10
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D60
- Archie Bradley (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
- Jared Walsh (Angels): Rib, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D60
- Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
- Yordan Alvarez (Astros): Hand, Day-to-Day
- Thomas Pressly (Astros): Neck, D15
- Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
- Justin Verlander (Astros): Calf, D15
- Aledmys Díaz (Astros): Groin, D10
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