- The Astros (55-29) are -185 favorites vs the Athletics (29-57)
- Astros starting pitcher: Jacob Odorizzi (3-2), 4.03 ERA
- Athletics starting pitcher: Cole Irvin (3-6), 3.34 ERA
- Watch the game on NBCS-CA
The Houston Astros (-185) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+150) on Sunday, July 10, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Oakland.
The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Astros vs Athletics Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Astros are 55-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 42-44 ATS.
Astros vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 -105 | O 8 +100 | -185 |
| Athletics | +1.5 -115 | U 8 -120 | +150 |
Astros vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 5 away games (+6.35 Units / 127% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Singles Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.75 Units / 47% ROI)
- Aledmys Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 5 games (+5.65 Units / 72% ROI)
- Jose Altuve has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 14 away games (+5.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.45 Units / 76% ROI)
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+8.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+7.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- Seth Brown has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+6.40 Units / 107% ROI)
- Elvis Andrus has hit the Singles Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 66% ROI)
- Seth Brown has hit the Total Bases Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 39% ROI)
Athletics vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Ramon Laureano | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Sean Murphy | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
| Skye Bolt | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Athletics vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Allen | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 -105 |
| Ramon Laureano | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
| Sean Murphy | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Skye Bolt | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 -105 |
Athletics vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
| Ramon Laureano | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
| Sean Murphy | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
| Skye Bolt | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -375 |
Athletics vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cole Irvin | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -145 |
| Jake Odorizzi | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 82 games (+16.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 46 of their last 71 games (+16.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 68 games (+15.60 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 20 of their last 28 games (+12.50 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 65 games (+12.05 Units / 16% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Athletics: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 77 games (+8.85 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 games (+7.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 35 of their last 62 games (+6.90 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.80 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games (+5.20 Units / 35% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 45-39 against the Run Line (+7.7 Units / 7.86% ROI).
- 55-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.1 Units / 8.1% ROI
- 30-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -24.05 Units / -26.18% ROI
- 50-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +16.95 Units / 18.2% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 42-44 against the Run Line (-12.2 Units / -10.75% ROI).
- 29-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.55 Units / -19.46% ROI
- 35-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.3 Units / -17.06% ROI
- 46-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.4 Units / 7.85% ROI
Jacob Odorizzi: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jake Odorizzi has thrown elevated pitches 45% of the time (539/1,199) on pitches in the strike zone since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Jake Odorizzi has thrown elevated pitches 51% of the time (392/770) with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Jake Odorizzi has thrown fastballs up 66% of the time (901/1,367) since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 99th Percentile.
The average home run distance against Jake Odorizzi since the start of last season is 386.4 feet — tied for 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: 399.7
Cole Irvin: Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .167 (8-for-48) against Cole Irvin on inside fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .262 — 96th Percentile.
Cole Irvin has allowed a slugging percentage of .495 (46 Total Bases / 93 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .298 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (23/119) against Cole Irvin on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 12th Percentile.
Cole Irvin has a strikeout rate of just 17% (56 SO in 340 PAs) this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — eighth Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Astros are 32-3 (.914) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .709.
The Astros are 28-17 (.622) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .479.
The Astros are 50-8 (.862) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
The Astros are 8-3 (.727) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Athletics are just 21-9 (.700) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .888.
The Athletics are just 25-6 (.806) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .916.
The Athletics are just 3-8 (.273) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Athletics are just 11-31 (.262) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .520.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 1,295 strikeouts in 6,440 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Astros are batting .188 with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .167.
Astros hitters have missed on just 22% of swings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros hitters are slugging 1.048 on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .586.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .599 (3,064 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .264 (1,454 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .557 (1,454 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .265 (2,150 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.20 (391.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 2.76 (352.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.87.
The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 33% of their games this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
The Athletics have won just 13% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Athletics pitchers have walked 717 of 9,282 batters (8%) since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 40% of the time after an opposing score this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Athletics pitchers since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Francelis Montas (Athletics): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
- Jed Lowrie (Athletics): Shoulder, D10
- Brent Honeywell Jr. (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
- Jonah Bride (Athletics): Shoulder, D10
- Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D10
- Yordan Alvarez (Astros): Hand, D10
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Forearm, D60
- Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
- Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
- Parker Mushinski (Astros): Elbow, D15
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