Astros vs Athletics Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 10

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(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 10, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Astros (55-29) are -185 favorites vs the Athletics (29-57)
  • Astros starting pitcher: Jacob Odorizzi (3-2), 4.03 ERA
  • Athletics starting pitcher: Cole Irvin (3-6), 3.34 ERA
  • Watch the game on NBCS-CA

The Houston Astros (-185) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+150) on Sunday, July 10, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Oakland.

The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Astros vs Athletics Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Astros are 55-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 42-44 ATS.

Astros vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Astros-1.5 -105O 8 +100-185
Athletics +1.5 -115U 8 -120+150

Astros vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Athletics vs Astros and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Yuli Gurriel has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 5 away games (+6.35 Units / 127% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Singles Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.75 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Aledmys Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 5 games (+5.65 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Jose Altuve has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 14 away games (+5.50 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.45 Units / 76% ROI)

Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ramon Laureano has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+8.80 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Ramon Laureano has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+7.60 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Seth Brown has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+6.40 Units / 107% ROI)
  • Elvis Andrus has hit the Singles Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Seth Brown has hit the Total Bases Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 39% ROI)

Athletics vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nick Allen 0.5 +1000 0.5 -10000
Ramon Laureano 0.5 +450 0.5 -1000
Sean Murphy 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Seth Brown 0.5 +320 0.5 -550
Skye Bolt 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400

Athletics vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nick Allen 0.5 -135 0.5 -105
Ramon Laureano 0.5 -175 0.5 +125
Sean Murphy 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Seth Brown 0.5 -225 0.5 +150
Skye Bolt 0.5 -135 0.5 -105

Athletics vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nick Allen 0.5 +280 0.5 -450
Ramon Laureano 0.5 +225 0.5 -350
Sean Murphy 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Seth Brown 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Skye Bolt 0.5 +250 0.5 -375

Athletics vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cole Irvin 3.5 +100 3.5 -145
Jake Odorizzi 3.5 -155 3.5 +110
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 82 games (+16.95 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 46 of their last 71 games (+16.60 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 68 games (+15.60 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 20 of their last 28 games (+12.50 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 65 games (+12.05 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 77 games (+8.85 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 games (+7.80 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 35 of their last 62 games (+6.90 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.80 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games (+5.20 Units / 35% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 45-39 against the Run Line (+7.7 Units / 7.86% ROI).

  • 55-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.1 Units / 8.1% ROI
  • 30-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -24.05 Units / -26.18% ROI
  • 50-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +16.95 Units / 18.2% ROI

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 42-44 against the Run Line (-12.2 Units / -10.75% ROI).

  • 29-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.55 Units / -19.46% ROI
  • 35-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.3 Units / -17.06% ROI
  • 46-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.4 Units / 7.85% ROI

Jake Odorizzi has thrown elevated pitches 45% of the time (539/1,199) on pitches in the strike zone since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.

Jake Odorizzi has thrown elevated pitches 51% of the time (392/770) with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.

Jake Odorizzi has thrown fastballs up 66% of the time (901/1,367) since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 99th Percentile.

The average home run distance against Jake Odorizzi since the start of last season is 386.4 feet — tied for 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: 399.7

Cole Irvin: Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .167 (8-for-48) against Cole Irvin on inside fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .262 — 96th Percentile.

Cole Irvin has allowed a slugging percentage of .495 (46 Total Bases / 93 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .298 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (23/119) against Cole Irvin on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 12th Percentile.

Cole Irvin has a strikeout rate of just 17% (56 SO in 340 PAs) this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — eighth Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Astros are 32-3 (.914) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .709.

The Astros are 28-17 (.622) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .479.

The Astros are 50-8 (.862) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

The Astros are 8-3 (.727) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Athletics are just 21-9 (.700) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .888.

The Athletics are just 25-6 (.806) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .916.

The Athletics are just 3-8 (.273) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Athletics are just 11-31 (.262) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .520.

Astros hitters have just 1,295 strikeouts in 6,440 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Astros are batting .188 with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .167.

Astros hitters have missed on just 22% of swings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Astros hitters are slugging 1.048 on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .586.

Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .599 (3,064 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .264 (1,454 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.

Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .557 (1,454 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .265 (2,150 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.20 (391.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 2.76 (352.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.87.

The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 33% of their games this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Athletics have won just 13% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.

Athletics pitchers have walked 717 of 9,282 batters (8%) since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 40% of the time after an opposing score this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Athletics pitchers since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Athletics vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Francelis Montas (Athletics): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
  • Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
  • Jed Lowrie (Athletics): Shoulder, D10
  • Brent Honeywell Jr. (Athletics): Elbow, D60
  • Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
  • Jonah Bride (Athletics): Shoulder, D10
  • Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60
  • Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D10
  • Yordan Alvarez (Astros): Hand, D10
  • Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Forearm, D60
  • Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
  • Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
  • Parker Mushinski (Astros): Elbow, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.