- The Astros are -225 favorites vs the Athletics
- Astros starting pitcher: Jonathan France
- Athletics starting pitcher: Hogan Harris
- Watch the game on NBCS-CA
The Houston Astros (-225) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+180) on Thursday, July 20, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Oakland.
The Astros are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-135).
The Astros vs Athletics Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Astros are 53-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 47-51 ATS.
Astros vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 -135 | O 8.5 -105 | -225 |
| Athletics | +1.5 +110 | U 8.5 -115 | +180 |
Astros vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 78.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Astros vs Athletics and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 22 away games (+12.65 Units / 53% ROI)
- Chas McCormick has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 12 away games (+11.25 Units / 84% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 24 away games (+11.15 Units / 46% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+10.80 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 18 away games (+10.35 Units / 51% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 28 games (+12.90 Units / 34% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+10.05 Units / 54% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 games at home (+7.60 Units / 76% ROI)
Athletics vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +1400 | 0.5 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +1100 | 0.5 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
Athletics vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 1.5 +140 | 1.5 -185 |
Athletics vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -600 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -500 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Athletics vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hogan Harris | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -140 |
| J.P. France | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 36 of their last 65 games (+10.25 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 47 away games (+8.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 23 away games (+7.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 47 away games (+5.95 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 73 games (+5.25 Units / 7% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 52 of their last 84 games (+15.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 37 games (+13.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 38 games (+8.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 37 games (+8.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+7.90 Units / 68% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 49-47 against the Run Line (-1.6 Units / -1.29% ROI).
- 53-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.3 Units / -2.32% ROI
- 47-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.25 Units / -4.91% ROI
- 47-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.15 Units / -3.97% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 47-51 against the Run Line (-6.85 Units / -6.21% ROI).
- 27-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -24.15 Units / -24.61% ROI
- 50-42 when betting on the total runs Over for +3 Units / 2.75% ROI
- 42-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.7 Units / -11.88% ROI
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 61% (56/92) against J.P. France this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 37 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 97th Percentile.
J.P. France has an ERA of 2.18 (41.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 37 total IP; League Avg: 4.41 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .333 (20-for-60) against J.P. France’s elevated fastball this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 37 total IP; League Avg: .229 — third Percentile.
J.P. France has struck out just 15% (25/169) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 37 total IP; League Avg: 23% — fourth Percentile.
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hogan Harris has a strikeout rate of just 37% (40 SO in 109 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 11th lowest among among 105 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 46% — 10th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% (74/371) against Hogan Harris this season — 8th lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 28% — eighth Percentile.
Hogan Harris has allowed an OBP of .488 (43 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: .327 — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 22% (66/303) against Hogan Harris this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 30% — third Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Astros are 10-6 (.625) after a loss as underdogs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .410.
The Astros are 159-99 (.616) since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 76-10 (.884) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Astros are just 3-9 (.250) after a win as underdogs this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .444.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Athletics are just 25-59 (.298) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.
The Athletics are just 27-70 (.278) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Athletics are just 15-55 (.214) after a loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .479.
The Athletics are just 16-3 (.842) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 497 strikeouts in 2,821 PA’s (18%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
13% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,303/9,694 PA’s) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Astros hitters have just 877 strikeouts in 4,902 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Astros have won 88% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics are batting just .189 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .239.
The Athletics are batting just .145 with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .169.
The Athletics are batting just .210 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .293 (2,530 PA’s) against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 33% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 6.80 (401.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.43.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Athletics pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .294 against Athletics pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Athletics pitchers have walked 422 of 3,905 batters (11%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Athletics vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Manuel Piña (Athletics): Wrist, D10
- Ramón Laureano (Athletics): Hand, D10
- Richard Lovelady (Athletics): Undisclosed, D15
- Kevin Smith (Athletics): Back, D10
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- James Kaprielian (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
- Esteury Ruiz (Athletics): Shoulder, D10
- Carlos Pérez (Athletics): Thumb, D10
- Ryan Noda (Athletics): Jaw, Day-to-Day
- Mason Miller (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Illness, D60
- Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Yacksel Ríos (Athletics): Finger, D60
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Luis Garcia (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
- Framber Valdez (Astros): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
- Yordan Alvarez (Astros): Oblique, D10
- Jose Altuve (Astros): Oblique, D10
- José Urquidy (Astros): Shoulder, D60
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