- The Astros are -250 favorites vs the Athletics
- Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez
- Athletics starting pitcher: John Patrick Sears
- Watch the game on NBCS-CA
The Houston Astros (-250) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+200) on Friday, July 21, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Oakland.
The Astros are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+115).
The Astros vs Athletics Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Astros are 54-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 47-52 ATS.
Astros vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -2.5 +115 | O 7.5 -120 | -250 |
| Athletics | +2.5 -140 | U 7.5 +100 | +200 |
Astros vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 87.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Astros vs Athletics and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 23 away games (+13.65 Units / 55% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 24 away games (+11.15 Units / 46% ROI)
- Chas McCormick has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 13 away games (+11.10 Units / 78% ROI)
- Chas McCormick has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 13 away games (+10.10 Units / 69% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 16 away games (+9.80 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+13.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 16 games at home (+9.05 Units / 46% ROI)
- Conner Capel has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 11 games at home (+6.60 Units / 60% ROI)
- Jesus Aguilar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.35 Units / 68% ROI)
Athletics vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +1450 | 0.5 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +1200 | 0.5 |
| Jordan Diaz | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Athletics vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +110 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Jordan Diaz | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -225 |
Athletics vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -550 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jordan Diaz | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Athletics vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| JP Sears | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
| Framber Valdez | 6.5 -135 | 6.5 +105 |
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+9.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 36 of their last 66 games (+8.40 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 48 away games (+6.95 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 74 games (+6.25 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 24 away games (+5.95 Units / 19% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 53 of their last 85 games (+17.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 38 games (+12.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 38 games (+10.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 39 games (+9.95 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.75 Units / 53% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 50-47 against the Run Line (-0.6 Units / -0.48% ROI).
- 54-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.3 Units / -1.59% ROI
- 47-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.4 Units / -5.93% ROI
- 48-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.15 Units / -2.98% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 47-52 against the Run Line (-7.85 Units / -7.05% ROI).
- 27-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -25.15 Units / -25.37% ROI
- 50-43 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.85 Units / 1.68% ROI
- 43-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.7 Units / -10.84% ROI
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Framber Valdez has thrown inside pitches 48% of the time (623/1,287) with two-strikes since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Framber Valdez has thrown inside pitches 50% of the time (229/462) with two-strikes this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 64% (171/267) against Framber Valdez in two-strike counts since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 63% (460/725) against Framber Valdez since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (84/294) against JP Sears this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 27% (63/233) against JP Sears this season — tied for lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 12% (17/139) against JP Sears on breaking pitches since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 24% (38/160) against JP Sears in non-two strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Astros are 70-15 (.824) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Astros are 108-12 (.900) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Astros are 31-17 (.646) after a road loss since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Astros are 29-5 (.853) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Athletics are just 16-3 (.842) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Athletics are just 15-5 (.750) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .897.
The Athletics are just 70-8 (.897) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .953.
The Athletics are just 25-60 (.294) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 503 strikeouts in 2,843 PA’s (18%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have just 883 strikeouts in 4,924 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Astros are 18-5 (.783) against the run line (24.7% ROI) after a loss as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .551.
Astros hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the right side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .632 (7,013 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .713.
The Athletics are batting just .210 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Athletics are batting just .117 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .155.
Athletics hitters are slugging just .346 against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 33% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Athletics pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 6.80 (401.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.42.
The Athletics have allowed 6.56 runs per game (315/48) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.56.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 5.96 (872.0 IP) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.
Athletics vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Manuel Piña (Athletics): Wrist, D10
- Ramón Laureano (Athletics): Hand, D10
- Richard Lovelady (Athletics): Undisclosed, D15
- Kevin Smith (Athletics): Back, D10
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- James Kaprielian (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
- Esteury Ruiz (Athletics): Shoulder, D10
- Carlos Pérez (Athletics): Thumb, D10
- Ryan Noda (Athletics): Jaw, D10
- Mason Miller (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Illness, D60
- Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Yacksel Ríos (Athletics): Finger, D60
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Luis Garcia (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
- Framber Valdez (Astros): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
- Yordan Alvarez (Astros): Oblique, D10
- Jose Altuve (Astros): Oblique, D10
- José Urquidy (Astros): Shoulder, D60
Bet now on Astros vs Athletics and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
