- The Astros are -200 favorites vs the Athletics
- Astros starting pitcher: Cristian Javier
- Athletics starting pitcher: Paul Blackburn
- Watch the game on NBCS-CA
The Houston Astros (-200) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+165) on Saturday, July 22, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:07pm EDT in Oakland.
The Astros are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).
The Astros vs Athletics Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Astros are 55-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 47-53 ATS.
Astros vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 -120 | O 8 -105 | -200 |
| Athletics | +1.5 +100 | U 8 -115 | +165 |
Astros vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 81.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Astros vs Athletics and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 24 away games (+12.65 Units / 49% ROI)
- Chas McCormick has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 14 away games (+12.40 Units / 82% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 17 away games (+10.80 Units / 34% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 17 away games (+10.40 Units / 46% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 14 away games (+10.15 Units / 71% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 30 games (+12.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 17 games at home (+10.05 Units / 47% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+6.85 Units / 35% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+6.85 Units / 35% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Singles Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 48% ROI)
Athletics vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +1300 | 0.5 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
Athletics vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Allen | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -110 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 1.5 +150 | 1.5 -200 |
Athletics vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -450 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
Athletics vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cristian Javier | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
| Paul Blackburn | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +130 |
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 49 away games (+10.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 37 of their last 67 games (+9.40 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 49 away games (+7.95 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 25 away games (+7.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 away games (+5.15 Units / 29% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 53 of their last 86 games (+15.80 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 39 games (+11.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 39 games (+9.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 40 games (+8.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games at home (+7.75 Units / 54% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 51-47 against the Run Line (+0.4 Units / 0.32% ROI).
- 55-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.3 Units / -0.88% ROI
- 48-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.4 Units / -4.95% ROI
- 48-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.35 Units / -4.07% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 47-53 against the Run Line (-8.85 Units / -7.88% ROI).
- 27-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -26.15 Units / -26.11% ROI
- 51-43 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.85 Units / 2.57% ROI
- 43-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.9 Units / -11.82% ROI
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (77/283) against Cristian Javier this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Cristian Javier has a first-pitch strike rate of just 55% (222/401) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 36% of Cristian Javier’s non-fastballs (248/679) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 48% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 32% (39/124) against Cristian Javier in two-strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — first Percentile.
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 3% (1/33) against Paul Blackburn on low breaking pitches this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .391 (9-for-23) against Paul Blackburn over the past seven days (1 games) — highest in AL over the last week; League Avg: .227 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (8/49) against Paul Blackburn over the past seven days (1 games) — 3rd lowest in AL over the last week; League Avg: 29% — sixth Percentile.
Paul Blackburn has thrown his fastball for a strike just 60% (672/1,120) of the time since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 103 total IP; League Avg: 67% — second Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Astros are 76-10 (.884) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Astros are 31-17 (.646) after a road loss since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Astros are 15-8 (.652) after a road loss this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .466.
The Astros are just 3-9 (.250) after a win as underdogs this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .442.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Athletics are just 15-5 (.750) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .898.
The Athletics are just 15-56 (.211) after a loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .480.
The Athletics are just 16-3 (.842) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Athletics are just 14-38 (.269) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 504 strikeouts in 2,869 PA’s (18%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have just 884 strikeouts in 4,950 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters are slugging .590 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .376.
Astros hitters have an OPS of .972 (217 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .693.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 27% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Athletics are batting just .188 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .239.
The Athletics are batting just .210 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Athletics are batting just .117 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .155.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 32% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 5.96 (881.0 IP) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 6.80 (401.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.42.
Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 49% of the time after an opposing score this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The Athletics have won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Athletics vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Manuel Piña (Athletics): Wrist, D10
- Ramón Laureano (Athletics): Hand, D10
- Richard Lovelady (Athletics): Undisclosed, D15
- Kevin Smith (Athletics): Back, D10
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- James Kaprielian (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
- Esteury Ruiz (Athletics): Shoulder, D10
- Carlos Pérez (Athletics): Thumb, D10
- Ryan Noda (Athletics): Jaw, D10
- Mason Miller (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Illness, D60
- Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Yacksel Ríos (Athletics): Finger, D60
- Brent Rooker (Athletics): Illness, Day-to-Day
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Luis Garcia (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
- Yordan Alvarez (Astros): Oblique, D10
- Jose Altuve (Astros): Oblique, D10
- José Urquidy (Astros): Shoulder, D60
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