- The Astros are -250 favorites vs the Athletics
- Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown
- Athletics starting pitcher: Luis Medina
- Watch the game on NBCS-CA
The Houston Astros (-250) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+195) on Sunday, July 23, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Oakland.
The Astros are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+110).
The Astros vs Athletics Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Astros are 55-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 48-53 ATS.
Astros vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -2.5 +110 | O 8 -105 | -250 |
| Athletics | +2.5 -135 | U 8 -115 | +195 |
Astros vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 83.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Astros vs Athletics and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 24 away games (+12.65 Units / 49% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 18 away games (+11.80 Units / 34% ROI)
- Chas McCormick has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+11.30 Units / 70% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 21 away games (+9.60 Units / 41% ROI)
- Hunter Brown has hit the Strikeouts Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.40 Units / 75% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- JJ Bleday has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 18 games at home (+9.05 Units / 40% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Jace Peterson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 6 games (+6.65 Units / 76% ROI)
- Jace Peterson has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.65 Units / 56% ROI)
- Jace Peterson has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.55 Units / 55% ROI)
Athletics vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
Athletics vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seth Brown | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 1.5 +155 | 1.5 -200 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Yainer Diaz | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Athletics vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -450 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
Athletics vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Medina | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -115 |
| Hunter Brown | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 -110 |
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 away games (+8.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 50 away games (+6.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 26 away games (+6.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 76 games (+6.05 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 17 away games (+3.90 Units / 20% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 53 of their last 87 games (+14.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 40 games (+12.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+6.60 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 23 games (+5.90 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 39 games (+5.85 Units / 15% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 51-48 against the Run Line (-0.85 Units / -0.67% ROI).
- 55-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.2 Units / -2.15% ROI
- 48-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.55 Units / -5.95% ROI
- 49-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.35 Units / -3.11% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 48-53 against the Run Line (-7.8 Units / -6.88% ROI).
- 28-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -24.5 Units / -24.22% ROI
- 51-44 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.7 Units / 1.51% ROI
- 44-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.9 Units / -10.8% ROI
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting .267 (54-for-202) against Hunter Brown this season — tied for 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — 17th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 52% (37/71) against Hunter Brown on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — fourth Percentile.
Hunter Brown has a strikeout rate of 43% (60 SO in 138 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — 88th Percentile.
Hunter Brown has a first-pitch strike rate of just 59% (246/416) this season — tied for 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 15th Percentile.
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Medina has a first-pitch strike rate of just 49% (143/289) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Luis Medina has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 52% (255/487) of the time this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 40% of Luis Medina’s non-fastballs (195/487) this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 48% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 62% (69/112) against Luis Medina on low breaking pitches this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 98th Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Astros are 76-10 (.884) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Astros are 13-10 (.565) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
The Astros are 71-15 (.826) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Astros are 109-12 (.901) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Athletics are just 16-56 (.222) after a loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .479.
The Athletics are just 16-5 (.762) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.
The Athletics are just 17-3 (.850) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Athletics are just 71-8 (.899) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .953.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 504 strikeouts in 2,869 PA’s (18%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have just 884 strikeouts in 4,950 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the right side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Astros hitters are slugging .590 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .377.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 28% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 28% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
The Athletics have won just 39% of games in which they have scored first at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 70%.
The Athletics are batting just .188 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .239.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 33% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have walked 430 of 4,013 batters (11%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 5.91 (890.0 IP) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.
The Athletics have allowed 6.13 runs per game (619/101) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.59.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 6.80 (401.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.43.
Athletics vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Manuel Piña (Athletics): Wrist, D10
- Ramón Laureano (Athletics): Hand, D10
- Richard Lovelady (Athletics): Arm, D15
- Kevin Smith (Athletics): Back, D10
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- James Kaprielian (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
- Esteury Ruiz (Athletics): Shoulder, D10
- Carlos Pérez (Athletics): Thumb, D10
- Ryan Noda (Athletics): Jaw, D10
- Mason Miller (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Illness, D60
- Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Yacksel Ríos (Athletics): Finger, D60
- Brent Rooker (Athletics): Illness, Day-to-Day
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Luis Garcia (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
- Yordan Alvarez (Astros): Oblique, D10
- Jose Altuve (Astros): Oblique, D10
- José Urquidy (Astros): Shoulder, D60
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