Astros vs Athletics Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 26

min read
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 26, 2022, 3:36 PM
  • The Astros (64-33) are -165 favorites vs the Athletics (36-63)
  • Astros starting pitcher: Luis Garcia (8-5), 3.65 ERA
  • Athletics starting pitcher: Francelis Montas (3-9), 3.16 ERA
  • Watch the game on NBCS-CA

The Houston Astros (-165) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+140) on Tuesday, July 26, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Oakland.

The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Astros vs Athletics Over/Under is 6.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Astros are 64-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 49-50 ATS.

Astros vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Astros-1.5 +105O 6.5 +105-165
Athletics +1.5 -130U 6.5 -125+140

Astros vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 60.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Athletics vs Astros and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Yuli Gurriel has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 32 away games (+10.40 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.75 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+9.10 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Aledmys Diaz has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+8.75 Units / 109% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+8.75 Units / 32% ROI)

Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ramon Laureano has hit the Total Bases Over in 34 of his last 51 games (+15.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Elvis Andrus has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 22 games (+14.10 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Tony Kemp has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+10.95 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Tony Kemp has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 23 games (+10.70 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Paul Blackburn has hit the Strikeouts Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+9.65 Units / 40% ROI)

Athletics vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chad Pinder 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Elvis Andrus 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Jonah Bride 0.5 +825 0.5 -3000
Ramon Laureano 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Sean Murphy 0.5 +450 0.5 -1000

Athletics vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chad Pinder 0.5 -150 0.5 +105
Elvis Andrus 0.5 -150 0.5 +105
Jonah Bride 0.5 -110 0.5 -135
Ramon Laureano 0.5 -140 0.5 +100
Sean Murphy 0.5 -185 0.5 +125

Athletics vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chad Pinder 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
Elvis Andrus 0.5 +260 0.5 -400
Jonah Bride 0.5 +300 0.5 -550
Ramon Laureano 0.5 +250 0.5 -400
Sean Murphy 0.5 +210 0.5 -300

Athletics vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Luis Garcia 5.5 -165 5.5 +120
Frankie Montas 4.5 -155 4.5 +110
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 56 of their last 84 games (+23.25 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 57 of their last 95 games (+19.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 81 games (+16.55 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 78 games (+10.80 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 25 of their last 41 games (+10.20 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 90 games (+9.30 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+8.10 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.15 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.50 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+3.90 Units / 26% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 51-46 against the Run Line (+6.45 Units / 5.68% ROI).

  • 64-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.05 Units / 7.53% ROI
  • 35-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -27.5 Units / -25.96% ROI
  • 58-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +19.4 Units / 18% ROI

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 49-50 against the Run Line (-11.85 Units / -9.15% ROI).

  • 36-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.7 Units / -13.11% ROI
  • 41-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.75 Units / -16.19% ROI
  • 53-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.85 Units / 7.22% ROI

Luis Garcia has allowed an OBP of just .162 (74 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: .313 — 100th Percentile.

47 of Luis Garcia’s 100 strikeouts (47%) have come on cutters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 4% — 100th Percentile.

Luis Garcia has allowed an OPS of just .353 (74 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: .702 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .109 (7 GB hits out of 64 GBs) against Luis Garcia with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 128 total IP; League Avg: .229 — 98th Percentile.

Francelis Montas: Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Frankie Montas has a strikeout rate of 48% (105 SO in 217 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 91st Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 29% (89/308) against Frankie Montas this season — tied for 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 88th Percentile.

Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 25% (49/198) against Frankie Montas this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 36% (127/355) against Frankie Montas when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 128 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Astros are 34-19 (.642) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .478.

The Astros are 9-4 (.692) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Astros are 23-4 (.852) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .717.

The Astros are 56-9 (.862) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Athletics are just 15-34 (.306) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.

The Athletics are just 26-9 (.743) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .887.

The Athletics are just 31-6 (.838) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Athletics are just 4-8 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Astros hitters have just 594 strikeouts in 3,216 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters have just 724 strikeouts in 3,876 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Astros hitters have missed on just 22% of swings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Athletics are batting just .202 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .586 (1,704 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .717.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .275 (3,549 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .270 (1,704 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% this month (22 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 34% of their games on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.21 (462.2 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.15.

The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics have won just just 0% of the time at home this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics have won just just 12% of the time at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

The Athletics pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 70% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 40% of the time after an opposing score this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Athletics vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
  • Jed Lowrie (Athletics): Shoulder, D10
  • Brent Honeywell Jr. (Athletics): Elbow, D60
  • Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
  • Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60
  • Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D10
  • Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Forearm, D60
  • Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
  • Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Athletics vs Astros and all MLB games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.