- The Astros (64-33) are -165 favorites vs the Athletics (36-63)
- Astros starting pitcher: Luis Garcia (8-5), 3.65 ERA
- Athletics starting pitcher: Francelis Montas (3-9), 3.16 ERA
- Watch the game on NBCS-CA
The Houston Astros (-165) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+140) on Tuesday, July 26, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Oakland.
The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Astros vs Athletics Over/Under is 6.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Astros are 64-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 49-50 ATS.
Astros vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 +105 | O 6.5 +105 | -165 |
| Athletics | +1.5 -130 | U 6.5 -125 | +140 |
Astros vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 60.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 32 away games (+10.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.75 Units / 51% ROI)
- Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+9.10 Units / 48% ROI)
- Aledmys Diaz has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+8.75 Units / 109% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+8.75 Units / 32% ROI)
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Total Bases Over in 34 of his last 51 games (+15.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- Elvis Andrus has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 22 games (+14.10 Units / 37% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+10.95 Units / 34% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 23 games (+10.70 Units / 42% ROI)
- Paul Blackburn has hit the Strikeouts Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+9.65 Units / 40% ROI)
Athletics vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chad Pinder | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Jonah Bride | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Ramon Laureano | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Sean Murphy | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
Athletics vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chad Pinder | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
| Jonah Bride | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -135 |
| Ramon Laureano | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +100 |
| Sean Murphy | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +125 |
Athletics vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chad Pinder | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jonah Bride | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -550 |
| Ramon Laureano | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Sean Murphy | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
Athletics vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Garcia | 5.5 -165 | 5.5 +120 |
| Frankie Montas | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 56 of their last 84 games (+23.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 57 of their last 95 games (+19.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 81 games (+16.55 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 78 games (+10.80 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 25 of their last 41 games (+10.20 Units / 23% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Athletics: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 90 games (+9.30 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+8.10 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+3.90 Units / 26% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 51-46 against the Run Line (+6.45 Units / 5.68% ROI).
- 64-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.05 Units / 7.53% ROI
- 35-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -27.5 Units / -25.96% ROI
- 58-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +19.4 Units / 18% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 49-50 against the Run Line (-11.85 Units / -9.15% ROI).
- 36-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.7 Units / -13.11% ROI
- 41-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.75 Units / -16.19% ROI
- 53-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.85 Units / 7.22% ROI
Luis Garcia: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Garcia has allowed an OBP of just .162 (74 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: .313 — 100th Percentile.
47 of Luis Garcia’s 100 strikeouts (47%) have come on cutters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 4% — 100th Percentile.
Luis Garcia has allowed an OPS of just .353 (74 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: .702 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .109 (7 GB hits out of 64 GBs) against Luis Garcia with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 128 total IP; League Avg: .229 — 98th Percentile.
Francelis Montas: Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Frankie Montas has a strikeout rate of 48% (105 SO in 217 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 91st Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 29% (89/308) against Frankie Montas this season — tied for 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 88th Percentile.
Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 25% (49/198) against Frankie Montas this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 36% (127/355) against Frankie Montas when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 128 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Astros are 34-19 (.642) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .478.
The Astros are 9-4 (.692) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 23-4 (.852) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .717.
The Astros are 56-9 (.862) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Athletics are just 15-34 (.306) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.
The Athletics are just 26-9 (.743) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .887.
The Athletics are just 31-6 (.838) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Athletics are just 4-8 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 594 strikeouts in 3,216 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 724 strikeouts in 3,876 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Astros hitters have missed on just 22% of swings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics are batting just .202 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .586 (1,704 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .717.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .275 (3,549 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .270 (1,704 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% this month (22 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 34% of their games on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.21 (462.2 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.15.
The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics have won just just 0% of the time at home this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics have won just just 12% of the time at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Athletics pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 70% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 40% of the time after an opposing score this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Athletics vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
- Jed Lowrie (Athletics): Shoulder, D10
- Brent Honeywell Jr. (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
- Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D10
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Forearm, D60
- Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
- Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
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