Astros vs Athletics Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 27

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 27, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Astros (64-34) are -225 favorites vs the Athletics (37-63)
  • Astros starting pitcher: Cristian Javier (6-5), 3.13 ERA
  • Athletics starting pitcher: Cole Irvin (5-7), 3.07 ERA
  • Watch the game on NBCS-CA

The Houston Astros (-225) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+180) on Wednesday, July 27, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 3:37pm EDT in Oakland.

The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).

The Astros vs Athletics Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Astros are 64-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 50-50 ATS.

Astros vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Astros-1.5 -120O 7 -115-225
Athletics +1.5 +100U 7 -105+180

Astros vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 63.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Athletics vs Astros and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Yuli Gurriel has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 17 away games (+10.25 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 26 away games (+9.75 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+9.10 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.95 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 32 away games (+8.90 Units / 18% ROI)

Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Elvis Andrus has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 23 games (+15.10 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Ramon Laureano has hit the Total Bases Over in 34 of his last 52 games (+13.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Tony Kemp has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+11.95 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Chad Pinder has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+10.40 Units / 116% ROI)
  • Paul Blackburn has hit the Strikeouts Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+9.65 Units / 40% ROI)

Athletics vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chad Pinder 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Elvis Andrus 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Jonah Bride 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Ramon Laureano 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Skye Bolt 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400

Athletics vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chad Pinder 0.5 -135 0.5 -105
Elvis Andrus 0.5 -135 0.5 -105
Jonah Bride 0.5 -105 0.5 -135
Ramon Laureano 0.5 -115 0.5 -120
Skye Bolt 0.5 +100 0.5 -145

Athletics vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chad Pinder 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Elvis Andrus 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
Jonah Bride 0.5 +310 0.5 -550
Ramon Laureano 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Skye Bolt 0.5 +300 0.5 -550

Athletics vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cole Irvin 3.5 -115 3.5 -125
Cristian Javier 7.5 -115 7.5 -125
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 56 of their last 85 games (+22.25 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 57 of their last 96 games (+18.10 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 82 games (+14.95 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 26 of their last 42 games (+11.25 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 79 games (+9.80 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+9.50 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 22 games (+8.15 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 91 games (+8.00 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.55 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+4.90 Units / 30% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 51-47 against the Run Line (+5.45 Units / 4.76% ROI).

  • 64-34 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.45 Units / 6.47% ROI
  • 36-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -26.4 Units / -24.68% ROI
  • 58-36 when betting on the total runs Under for +18.1 Units / 16.6% ROI

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 50-50 against the Run Line (-10.85 Units / -8.3% ROI).

  • 37-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.3 Units / -11.66% ROI
  • 42-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.65 Units / -15.05% ROI
  • 53-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.55 Units / 5.95% ROI

Cristian Javier has a first-pitch strike rate of just 48% (472/977) since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 159 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 26% (47/184) against Cristian Javier this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.

Cristian Javier has allowed a slugging percentage of just .140 (58 Total Bases / 413 ABs) with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: .270 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .092 (38-for-413) against Cristian Javier with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: .167 — 99th Percentile.

Cole Irvin: Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (28/148) against Cole Irvin on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 11th Percentile.

Cole Irvin has allowed an OPS of just .388 (97 PA’s) this month (4 games) — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .691 — 99th Percentile.

Cole Irvin has allowed a slugging percentage of .505 (52 Total Bases / 103 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .127 (8-for-63) against Cole Irvin on inside fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: .261 — 100th Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Astros are 56-9 (.862) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

The Astros are 4-27 (.129) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .085.

The Astros are 9-4 (.692) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Astros are 35-5 (.875) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .707.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Athletics are just 27-9 (.750) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.

The Athletics are just 16-34 (.320) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.

The Athletics are just 4-25 (.138) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .282.

The Athletics are just 32-6 (.842) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

Astros hitters have just 594 strikeouts in 3,219 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Astros hitters have just 1,364 strikeouts in 6,731 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Astros hitters have an OBP of .332 (6,731 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .271 (1,739 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .589 (1,739 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .275 (3,584 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .270 (2,553 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.

Opponents are hitting just .212 against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% this month (23 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 34% of their games on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 2.81 (397.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.87.

Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 40% of the time after an opposing score this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

The Athletics have won just 15% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Athletics pitchers since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics have won just just 0% of the time at home this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Athletics vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
  • Jed Lowrie (Athletics): Shoulder, D10
  • Brent Honeywell Jr. (Athletics): Elbow, D60
  • Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
  • Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60
  • Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D10
  • Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Forearm, D60
  • Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
  • Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.