- The Astros (64-34) are -225 favorites vs the Athletics (37-63)
- Astros starting pitcher: Cristian Javier (6-5), 3.13 ERA
- Athletics starting pitcher: Cole Irvin (5-7), 3.07 ERA
- Watch the game on NBCS-CA
The Houston Astros (-225) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+180) on Wednesday, July 27, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 3:37pm EDT in Oakland.
The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).
The Astros vs Athletics Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Astros are 64-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 50-50 ATS.
Astros vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 -120 | O 7 -115 | -225 |
| Athletics | +1.5 +100 | U 7 -105 | +180 |
Astros vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 63.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 17 away games (+10.25 Units / 54% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 26 away games (+9.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+9.10 Units / 48% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.95 Units / 67% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 32 away games (+8.90 Units / 18% ROI)
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Elvis Andrus has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 23 games (+15.10 Units / 38% ROI)
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Total Bases Over in 34 of his last 52 games (+13.70 Units / 18% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+11.95 Units / 35% ROI)
- Chad Pinder has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+10.40 Units / 116% ROI)
- Paul Blackburn has hit the Strikeouts Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+9.65 Units / 40% ROI)
Athletics vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chad Pinder | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Jonah Bride | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Ramon Laureano | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Skye Bolt | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Athletics vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chad Pinder | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 -105 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 -105 |
| Jonah Bride | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Ramon Laureano | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -120 |
| Skye Bolt | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -145 |
Athletics vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chad Pinder | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jonah Bride | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Ramon Laureano | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Skye Bolt | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -550 |
Athletics vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cole Irvin | 3.5 -115 | 3.5 -125 |
| Cristian Javier | 7.5 -115 | 7.5 -125 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 56 of their last 85 games (+22.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 57 of their last 96 games (+18.10 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 82 games (+14.95 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 26 of their last 42 games (+11.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 79 games (+9.80 Units / 11% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Athletics: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+9.50 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 22 games (+8.15 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 91 games (+8.00 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+4.90 Units / 30% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 51-47 against the Run Line (+5.45 Units / 4.76% ROI).
- 64-34 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.45 Units / 6.47% ROI
- 36-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -26.4 Units / -24.68% ROI
- 58-36 when betting on the total runs Under for +18.1 Units / 16.6% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 50-50 against the Run Line (-10.85 Units / -8.3% ROI).
- 37-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.3 Units / -11.66% ROI
- 42-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.65 Units / -15.05% ROI
- 53-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.55 Units / 5.95% ROI
Cristian Javier: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cristian Javier has a first-pitch strike rate of just 48% (472/977) since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 159 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 26% (47/184) against Cristian Javier this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Cristian Javier has allowed a slugging percentage of just .140 (58 Total Bases / 413 ABs) with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: .270 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .092 (38-for-413) against Cristian Javier with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: .167 — 99th Percentile.
Cole Irvin: Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (28/148) against Cole Irvin on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 11th Percentile.
Cole Irvin has allowed an OPS of just .388 (97 PA’s) this month (4 games) — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .691 — 99th Percentile.
Cole Irvin has allowed a slugging percentage of .505 (52 Total Bases / 103 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .127 (8-for-63) against Cole Irvin on inside fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: .261 — 100th Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Astros are 56-9 (.862) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The Astros are 4-27 (.129) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Astros are 9-4 (.692) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 35-5 (.875) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Athletics are just 27-9 (.750) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.
The Athletics are just 16-34 (.320) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.
The Athletics are just 4-25 (.138) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .282.
The Athletics are just 32-6 (.842) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 594 strikeouts in 3,219 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Astros hitters have just 1,364 strikeouts in 6,731 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have an OBP of .332 (6,731 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .271 (1,739 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .589 (1,739 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .275 (3,584 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .270 (2,553 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .212 against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% this month (23 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 34% of their games on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 2.81 (397.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.87.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 40% of the time after an opposing score this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Athletics have won just 15% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Athletics pitchers since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics have won just just 0% of the time at home this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Athletics vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
- Jed Lowrie (Athletics): Shoulder, D10
- Brent Honeywell Jr. (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
- Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D10
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Forearm, D60
- Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
- Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
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