- The Astros (55-28) are -300 favorites vs the Athletics (28-57)
- Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez (8-3), 2.67 ERA
- Athletics starting pitcher: Zach Logue (2-4), 5.47 ERA
- Watch the game on NBCS-CA
The Houston Astros (-300) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+240) on Saturday, July 9, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Oakland.
The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (-115).
The Astros vs Athletics Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Astros are 55-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 41-44 ATS.
Astros vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -2.5 -115 | O 8 -110 | -300 |
| Athletics | +2.5 -105 | U 8 -110 | +240 |
Astros vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games (+6.95 Units / 54% ROI)
- Jose Altuve has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 13 away games (+6.80 Units / 44% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 6 games (+6.50 Units / 107% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Jake Meyers has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 50% ROI)
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 19 games at home (+10.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+9.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- Seth Brown has hit the RBIs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Seth Brown has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- Elvis Andrus has hit the Singles Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 64% ROI)
Athletics vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chad Pinder | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +1200 | 0.5 |
| Ramon Laureano | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Sean Murphy | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
Athletics vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chad Pinder | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
| Ramon Laureano | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +125 |
| Sean Murphy | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +115 |
Athletics vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chad Pinder | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -550 |
| Ramon Laureano | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -450 |
| Sean Murphy | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Athletics vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zach Logue | 3.5 +110 | 3.5 -155 |
| Framber Valdez | 5.5 -165 | 5.5 +120 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 67 games (+18.50 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 46 of their last 70 games (+18.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 48 of their last 81 games (+15.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 64 games (+13.70 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 19 of their last 27 games (+11.50 Units / 39% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Athletics: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 35 of their last 61 games (+8.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 76 games (+7.85 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+5.55 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.30 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.60 Units / 26% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 45-38 against the Run Line (+9.35 Units / 9.7% ROI).
- 55-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +14 Units / 10.43% ROI
- 30-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.95 Units / -25.29% ROI
- 49-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +15.95 Units / 17.33% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 41-44 against the Run Line (-13.7 Units / -12.18% ROI).
- 28-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -20 Units / -22.42% ROI
- 35-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.2 Units / -16.09% ROI
- 45-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.4 Units / 6.87% ROI
Framber Valdez: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 70% (165/237) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 70% (67/96) against Framber Valdez in two-strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 67% (185/275) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 70% (392/561) against Framber Valdez since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Zach Logue: Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Astros are 32-3 (.914) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .710.
The Astros are 50-7 (.877) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
The Astros are 32-2 (.941) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Astros are 20-4 (.833) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Athletics are just 20-9 (.690) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .891.
The Athletics are just 24-6 (.800) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .917.
The Athletics are just 10-31 (.244) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
The Athletics are just 3-8 (.273) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .497.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have an OBP of .268 (4,833 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Astros hitters have just 1,293 strikeouts in 6,429 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have just 1,844 strikeouts in 9,399 PA’s (20%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have just 1,603 strikeouts in 7,998 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .265 (2,150 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .265 (1,424 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .273 (3,034 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .587 (2,150 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.21 (383.2 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 2.76 (352.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.88.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
The Athletics have won just 10% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Athletics pitchers have walked 9 of 207 batters (4%) over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 41% of the time after an opposing score this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Athletics pitchers have walked 715 of 9,247 batters (8%) since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Athletics vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Francelis Montas (Athletics): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
- Jed Lowrie (Athletics): Shoulder, D10
- Brent Honeywell Jr. (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
- Jonah Bride (Athletics): Shoulder, D10
- Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D10
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Forearm, D60
- Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
- Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
- Parker Mushinski (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Jeremy Peña (Astros): Health and safety protocols, Day-to-Day
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