Astros vs Athletics Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 9

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(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 09, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Astros (55-28) are -300 favorites vs the Athletics (28-57)
  • Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez (8-3), 2.67 ERA
  • Athletics starting pitcher: Zach Logue (2-4), 5.47 ERA
  • Watch the game on NBCS-CA

The Houston Astros (-300) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+240) on Saturday, July 9, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Oakland.

The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Astros vs Athletics Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Astros are 55-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 41-44 ATS.

Astros vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Astros-2.5 -115O 8 -110-300
Athletics +2.5 -105U 8 -110+240

Astros vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Athletics vs Astros and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games (+6.95 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Jose Altuve has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 13 away games (+6.80 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 6 games (+6.50 Units / 107% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Jake Meyers has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 50% ROI)

Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ramon Laureano has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 19 games at home (+10.55 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Ramon Laureano has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+9.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Seth Brown has hit the RBIs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Seth Brown has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Elvis Andrus has hit the Singles Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 64% ROI)

Athletics vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chad Pinder 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500
Elvis Andrus 0.5 +950 0.5 -10000
Nick Allen 0.5 +1200 0.5
Ramon Laureano 0.5 +750 0.5 -3000
Sean Murphy 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500

Athletics vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chad Pinder 0.5 -175 0.5 +120
Elvis Andrus 0.5 -175 0.5 +120
Nick Allen 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
Ramon Laureano 0.5 -185 0.5 +125
Sean Murphy 0.5 -165 0.5 +115

Athletics vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chad Pinder 0.5 +225 0.5 -350
Elvis Andrus 0.5 +260 0.5 -400
Nick Allen 0.5 +300 0.5 -550
Ramon Laureano 0.5 +275 0.5 -450
Sean Murphy 0.5 +230 0.5 -350

Athletics vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Zach Logue 3.5 +110 3.5 -155
Framber Valdez 5.5 -165 5.5 +120
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 67 games (+18.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 46 of their last 70 games (+18.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 48 of their last 81 games (+15.95 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 64 games (+13.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 19 of their last 27 games (+11.50 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 35 of their last 61 games (+8.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 76 games (+7.85 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+5.55 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.30 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.60 Units / 26% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 45-38 against the Run Line (+9.35 Units / 9.7% ROI).

  • 55-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +14 Units / 10.43% ROI
  • 30-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.95 Units / -25.29% ROI
  • 49-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +15.95 Units / 17.33% ROI

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 41-44 against the Run Line (-13.7 Units / -12.18% ROI).

  • 28-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -20 Units / -22.42% ROI
  • 35-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.2 Units / -16.09% ROI
  • 45-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.4 Units / 6.87% ROI

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 70% (165/237) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 70% (67/96) against Framber Valdez in two-strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 67% (185/275) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 70% (392/561) against Framber Valdez since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Zach Logue: Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

No Matchup notes for this Game

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Astros are 32-3 (.914) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .710.

The Astros are 50-7 (.877) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

The Astros are 32-2 (.941) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .796.

The Astros are 20-4 (.833) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .714.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Athletics are just 20-9 (.690) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .891.

The Athletics are just 24-6 (.800) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .917.

The Athletics are just 10-31 (.244) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.

The Athletics are just 3-8 (.273) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .497.

Astros hitters have an OBP of .268 (4,833 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.

Astros hitters have just 1,293 strikeouts in 6,429 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Astros hitters have just 1,844 strikeouts in 9,399 PA’s (20%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Astros hitters have just 1,603 strikeouts in 7,998 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .265 (2,150 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .265 (1,424 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .273 (3,034 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.

Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .587 (2,150 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.21 (383.2 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 2.76 (352.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.88.

The Athletics have won just 10% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.

Athletics pitchers have walked 9 of 207 batters (4%) over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 41% of the time after an opposing score this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Athletics pitchers have walked 715 of 9,247 batters (8%) since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Athletics vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Francelis Montas (Athletics): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
  • Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
  • Jed Lowrie (Athletics): Shoulder, D10
  • Brent Honeywell Jr. (Athletics): Elbow, D60
  • Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
  • Jonah Bride (Athletics): Shoulder, D10
  • Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60
  • Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D10
  • Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Forearm, D60
  • Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
  • Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
  • Parker Mushinski (Astros): Elbow, D15
  • Jeremy Peña (Astros): Health and safety protocols, Day-to-Day

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.