- The Astros are -275 favorites vs the Athletics
- Astros starting pitcher: Cristian Javier
- Athletics starting pitcher: Luis Medina
- Watch the game on NBCS-CA
The Houston Astros (-275) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+220) on Sunday, May 28, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Oakland.
The Astros are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+105).
The Astros vs Athletics Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Astros are 30-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 20-34 ATS.
Astros vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -2.5 +105 | O 8.5 -115 | -275 |
| Athletics | +2.5 -125 | U 8.5 -105 | +220 |
Astros vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 89.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Astros vs Athletics and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Under in 35 of his last 45 games (+17.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Runs Under in 37 of his last 48 games (+15.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 23 games (+14.50 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 45 games (+13.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Under in 35 of his last 50 games (+12.25 Units / 14% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Singles Over in 32 of his last 47 games (+14.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+13.15 Units / 54% ROI)
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 50 games (+12.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 17 games (+9.10 Units / 54% ROI)
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+9.10 Units / 32% ROI)
Athletics vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +1350 | 0.5 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
| Yainer Diaz | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Yordan Alvarez | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -600 |
Athletics vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Allen | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Yainer Diaz | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Yordan Alvarez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Chas McCormick | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -105 |
Athletics vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Yainer Diaz | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Yordan Alvarez | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
Athletics vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cristian Javier | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 -110 |
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 28 games (+9.15 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 away games (+7.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 16 away games (+5.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 27 games (+5.45 Units / 18% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 40 games (+14.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.85 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 26-25 against the Run Line (-1.55 Units / -2.31% ROI).
- 30-21 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.3 Units / 0.37% ROI
- 24-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.75 Units / -8.42% ROI
- 26-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.25 Units / -0.45% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 20-34 against the Run Line (-17.15 Units / -28.09% ROI).
- 10-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -28.5 Units / -52.63% ROI
- 29-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.35 Units / 3.91% ROI
- 24-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.45 Units / -12.67% ROI
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 16% (5/31) against Cristian Javier — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 40% (98/246) against Cristian Javier this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (131/485) against Cristian Javier since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 24% (50/204) against Cristian Javier since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Medina has allowed at least one HR in each of his last four games dating back to April 26th — Aaron Nola has the longest active streak at 7.
Luis Medina has not induced opposing hitters to ground into a double play in 13 opportunities (0%) this season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 11% — sixth Percentile.
Luis Medina has allowed a BABIP of .222 this season — 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: .297 — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .129 (4 GB hits out of 31 GBs) against Luis Medina this season — 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: .246 — 94th Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Astros are 89-7 (.927) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .801.
The Astros are 52-25 (.675) after a loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .484.
The Astros are 47-70 (.402) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .289.
The Astros are 15-1 (.938) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .731.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Athletics are just 2-4 (.333) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .905.
The Athletics are just 10-44 (.185) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Athletics are just 5-22 (.185) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .524.
The Athletics are just 1-9 (.100) after a win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .510.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 414 strikeouts in 2,370 PA’s (17%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 794 strikeouts in 4,451 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Astros have won 93% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play against LHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 18% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .281 (5,781 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .611 (3,892 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 54% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 28% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 48% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Athletics pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 7.82 (222.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 6.81 (473.0 IP) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Athletics vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Kirby Snead (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Manuel Piña (Athletics): Wrist, D60
- Mason Miller (Athletics): Elbow, D15
- Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Illness, D15
- Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Undisclosed, D15
- Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D15
- Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Undisclosed, D60
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Luis Garcia (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
- José Urquidy (Astros): Shoulder, D15
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