Astros vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 5

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 05, 2023, 3:30 PM
  • The Astros are -105 favorites vs the Blue Jays
  • Astros starting pitcher: Brandon Bielak
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Alek Manoah
  • Watch the game on SNET

The Houston Astros (-105) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-115) on Monday, June 5, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.

The Astros are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).

The Astros vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.

This season, the Astros are 35-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 30-30 ATS.

Astros vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Astros-1.5 +150O 10 -105-105
Blue Jays +1.5 -185U 10 -115-115

Astros vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 53.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Under in 37 of his last 50 games (+15.20 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 30 games (+12.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Runs Under in 36 of his last 48 games (+11.90 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.85 Units / 41% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Daulton Varsho has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 24 games at home (+17.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+12.20 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Daulton Varsho has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+12.00 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Danny Jansen has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 13 games at home (+11.45 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Whit Merrifield has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 26 games (+10.75 Units / 41% ROI)

Blue Jays vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Abreu 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500
Kevin Kiermaier 0.5 +750 0.5 -3000
Daulton Varsho 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
George Springer 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Mauricio Dubon 0.5 +850 0.5 -5000

Blue Jays vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Abreu 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Kevin Kiermaier 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Daulton Varsho 0.5 -165 0.5 +130
George Springer 1.5 +200 1.5 -275
Mauricio Dubon 1.5 +190 1.5 -250

Blue Jays vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Abreu 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Kevin Kiermaier 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Daulton Varsho 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
George Springer 0.5 +190 0.5 -250
Mauricio Dubon 0.5 +225 0.5 -300

Blue Jays vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Manoah 4.5 -110 4.5 -120
Brandon Bielak 3.5 +110 3.5 -150
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 28 games (+10.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 24 games (+10.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.05 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 36 games (+6.70 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 19 games (+6.65 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.75 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.55 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+7.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.75 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.90 Units / 47% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 31-28 against the Run Line (+1.65 Units / 2.16% ROI).

  • 35-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 0.86% ROI
  • 29-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -3 Units / -4.6% ROI
  • 29-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.7 Units / -4.17% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 30-30 against the Run Line (-2.2 Units / -2.92% ROI).

  • 33-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.15 Units / -3.67% ROI
  • 28-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.4 Units / -5.21% ROI
  • 29-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.15 Units / -3.22% ROI

Brandon Bielak has a first-pitch strike rate of just 46% (22/48) — 3rd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 62% — third Percentile.

Brandon Bielak has allowed an OPS of .996 (69 PA’s) against right-handed batters over the last 30 days (5 games) — highest among in AL; League Avg: .658 — second Percentile.

Brandon Bielak has induced opposing hitters to ground into 6 double plays in 20 opportunities (30%) over the last 30 days (5 games) — best among in AL; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.

Brandon Bielak had a strike rate of just 57% (52/91) — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.

Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Alek Manoah has walked 41 of 273 batters (15%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.

Alek Manoah has allowed an OBP of .338 (148 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — first Percentile.

Alek Manoah has allowed an OBP of .392 (273 PA’s) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .304 — first Percentile.

Alek Manoah has walked 13 of 61 batters (21%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Astros are 60-12 (.833) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .698.

The Astros are 65-6 (.915) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .728.

The Astros are 68-40 (.630) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .469.

The Astros are 42-26 (.618) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Blue Jays are 49-70 (.412) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .290.

The Blue Jays are 3-22 (.120) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .049.

The Blue Jays are 17-13 (.567) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .424.

The Blue Jays are 108-25 (.812) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .710.

Astros hitters have just 424 strikeouts in 2,431 PA’s (17%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters have just 804 strikeouts in 4,512 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Games involving the Astros have hit UNDER in 72% of their games (37.1% ROI) when slight moneyline underdogs (+101 to +149) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.

Astros hitters have just 103 strikeouts in 581 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Blue Jays are batting .266 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.

Blue Jays hitters have 26 extra-base hits out of 104 total hits (just 25%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Blue Jays hitters have just 78 strikeouts in 445 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Blue Jays hitters have just 328 strikeouts in 1,698 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 30% against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 28% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 32 of 243 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 30 days (27 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 16 of 113 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have won only 10% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Blue Jays vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Toronto Blue Jays – No Injuries Reported
  • Houston Astros – No Injuries Reported

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.