- The Astros are -115 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: José Berríos
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Houston Astros (-115) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-105) on Thursday, June 8, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.
The Astros are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Astros vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Astros are 36-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 31-32 ATS.
Astros vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 +145 | O 8 -105 | -115 |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -175 | U 8 -115 | -105 |
Astros vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 57.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Astros vs Blue Jays and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Under in 32 of his last 41 games (+16.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+12.50 Units / 50% ROI)
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+12.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 36 games (+11.90 Units / 17% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 33 games (+11.75 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+12.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+11.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 24 games (+11.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- Danny Jansen has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 13 games at home (+11.45 Units / 88% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 15 games at home (+10.85 Units / 72% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Blue Jays vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| George Springer | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Blue Jays vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Blue Jays vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Framber Valdez | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -155 |
| Jose Berrios | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +100 |
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 31 games (+11.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 27 games (+9.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 27 games (+9.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 39 games (+7.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 22 games (+7.00 Units / 25% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 38 games (+12.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 28 games (+9.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 27 games at home (+8.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.55 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games (+3.40 Units / 30% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 33-29 against the Run Line (+2 Units / 2.46% ROI).
- 36-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.2 Units / -0.21% ROI
- 30-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.25 Units / -6.2% ROI
- 31-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.85 Units / -2.72% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 31-32 against the Run Line (-2.7 Units / -3.45% ROI).
- 35-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.35 Units / -2.61% ROI
- 29-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.65 Units / -6.78% ROI
- 31-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.3 Units / -1.85% ROI
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 65% (499/763) against Framber Valdez since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 88 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 38% (67/176) against Framber Valdez this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.
Framber Valdez has thrown inside pitches 48% of the time (551/1,135) with two-strikes since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 66% (155/234) against Framber Valdez in two-strike counts since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 88 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Berrios has allowed a just .306 SLG vs right-handed batters (sixth best)– 91st Percentile and .467 vs left-handed batters this season (tied for 10th worst among qualified SPs)– 19th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (13/80) against Jose Berrios on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — second Percentile.
Jose Berrios has thrown his curveball 40% of the time (99/249) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Jose Berrios has walked 8 of 48 batters (17%) — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Astros are 43-27 (.614) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
The Astros are 61-12 (.836) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Astros are 24-13 (.649) after a road loss since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .451.
The Astros are 69-41 (.627) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .468.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Blue Jays are 3-23 (.115) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Blue Jays are 49-71 (.408) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .290.
The Blue Jays are 109-25 (.813) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .710.
The Blue Jays are 92-7 (.929) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .877.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 426 strikeouts in 2,439 PA’s (17%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 806 strikeouts in 4,520 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Astros have won 94% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Astros hitters have just 105 strikeouts in 589 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .266 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .336 (1,983 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
The Blue Jays are batting .376 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .764 (6,932 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .708.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 29% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 30% against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 9 of 246 batters (4%) over the past seven days (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Jansen (Blue Jays): Groin, D10
- Zachery Pop (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D15
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Undisclosed, D60
- Mitchell White (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Luis Garcia (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
- José Urquidy (Astros): Shoulder, D15
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