Astros vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 19

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 19, 2022, 3:36 PM
  • The Braves (73-47) are -130 favorites vs the Astros (77-43)
  • Astros starting pitcher: Lance McCullers Jr. (1-0), 0.00 ERA
  • Braves starting pitcher: Kyle Wright (14-5), 3.14 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSSE

The Houston Astros (+110) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-130) on Friday, August 19, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta.

The Braves are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Astros vs Braves Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Astros are 76-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 62-57 ATS.

Astros vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Astros+1.5 -190O 8 -105+110
Braves -1.5 +155U 8 -115-130

Astros vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Friday‘s matchup with 60.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Braves vs Astros and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+13.70 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+11.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.55 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+9.75 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Jose Urquidy has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.25 Units / 61% ROI)

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 62 of his last 108 games (+16.30 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Austin Riley has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 40 games at home (+16.20 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Over in 62 of his last 106 games (+13.95 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Over in 50 of his last 70 games (+13.30 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 32 games (+13.00 Units / 35% ROI)

Braves vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Dansby Swanson 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Eddie Rosario 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Michael Harris 0.5 +675 0.5 -2500
Ronald Acuna 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Travis D'Arnaud 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200

Braves vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Dansby Swanson 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Eddie Rosario 0.5 -175 0.5 +125
Michael Harris 0.5 -175 0.5 +120
Ronald Acuna 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Travis D'Arnaud 0.5 -200 0.5 +135

Braves vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Dansby Swanson 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Eddie Rosario 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Michael Harris 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Ronald Acuna 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Travis D'Arnaud 0.5 +185 0.5 -275

Braves vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kyle Wright 4.5 -105 4.5 -135
Lance McCullers Jr. 5.5 -115 5.5 -115
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 70 of their last 107 games (+26.60 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 37 of their last 64 games (+14.55 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 60 of their last 94 games (+20.17 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+8.35 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 52 of their last 87 games (+2.15 Units / 2% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 61-58 against the Run Line (+4.5 Units / 3.25% ROI).

  • 76-43 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.9 Units / 2.9% ROI
  • 44-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -31.45 Units / -24.2% ROI
  • 70-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +21.4 Units / 16.18% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 62-57 against the Run Line (-1.95 Units / -1.29% ROI).

  • 72-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.35 Units / 3.3% ROI
  • 60-52 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.75 Units / 2.09% ROI
  • 52-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.95 Units / -10.68% ROI

Lance McCullers has thrown his curveball 49% of the time (708/1,430) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total CB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 35% (715/2,057) against Lance McCullers in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.

The average home run distance against Lance McCullers since the start of last season is 381.8 feet — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 399.3

Opponents are hitting just .151 (60-for-397) against Lance McCullers’ non-fastballs since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: .222 — 98th Percentile.

Kyle Wright: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 61% (106/175) against Kyle Wright this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.

Kyle Wright has located his fastball up for a strike just 50% (208/419) of the time this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 55% (77/139) against Kyle Wright in two-strike counts this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 91st Percentile.

Kyle Wright has induced opposing hitters to ground into 20 double plays in 107 opportunities (19%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 98th Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Astros are 31-4 (.886) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .721.

The Astros are 10-6 (.625) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Astros are 40-6 (.870) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .712.

The Astros are 39-18 (.684) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .529.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Braves are 10-2 (.833) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 30-3 (.909) when scoring in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .666.

The Braves are 43-10 (.811) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .712.

The Braves are 33-24 (.579) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .471.

Astros hitters have just 623 strikeouts in 3,460 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters have just 2,097 strikeouts in 10,786 PA’s (19%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Braves hitters are slugging .670 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .555.

Braves hitters are slugging .502 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .390.

Braves hitters are slugging .314 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .266.

The Braves are batting .264 against LHP this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .244.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Astros pitchers have allowed a slugging percentage of just .336 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .396.

Opponents are hitting just .215 against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .243.

Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 29% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .212 against Braves pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .237.

Braves vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Orlando Arcia (Braves): Hamstring, D10
  • Ozhanio Albies (Braves): Foot, D60
  • Darren O’Day (Braves): Calf, D15
  • Michael Soroka (Braves): Achilles, D60
  • Manuel Piña (Braves): Wrist, D60
  • Chadwick Tromp (Braves): Quad, D10
  • Luke Jackson (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Ehire Adrianza (Braves): Illness, D10
  • Adam Duvall (Braves): Wrist, D60
  • Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D60
  • Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
  • Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
  • Aledmys Díaz (Astros): Groin, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.