- The – are favorites vs the –
- Astros starting pitcher: Brandon Bielak
- Brewers starting pitcher: Adrian Houser
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Houston Astros () visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers () on Wednesday, May 24, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Milwaukee.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Astros vs Brewers Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Astros are 28-20 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 23-25 ATS.
Astros vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | O | ||
| Brewers | U |
Astros vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 53.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Under in 36 of his last 48 games (+17.60 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Under in 32 of his last 42 games (+14.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 18 away games (+12.40 Units / 69% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+12.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Runs Under in 34 of his last 45 games (+12.15 Units / 15% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 28 games (+14.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- Owen Miller has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+13.15 Units / 47% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 28 games (+12.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- Owen Miller has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Total Bases Under in 32 of his last 48 games (+11.50 Units / 16% ROI)
Brewers vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -700 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Yordan Alvarez | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
Brewers vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Yordan Alvarez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| William Contreras | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
Brewers vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Yordan Alvarez | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
Brewers vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adrian Houser | 3.5 -115 | 3.5 -110 |
| Brandon Bielak | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.90 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.25 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 away games (+6.55 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 24 games (+4.65 Units / 17% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 games (+6.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+4.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 26 games (+3.85 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+3.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 23 games at home (+2.60 Units / 8% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 24-24 against the Run Line (-2.55 Units / -4.07% ROI).
- 28-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.6 Units / -0.81% ROI
- 23-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.6 Units / -6.77% ROI
- 24-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.15 Units / -2.19% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 23-25 against the Run Line (-2.6 Units / -4.46% ROI).
- 26-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.35 Units / 3.85% ROI
- 22-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.15 Units / -11.53% ROI
- 25-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.7 Units / 1.34% ROI
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brandon Bielak has a strike rate of just 58% (193/330) this season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 64% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .448 (13 GB hits out of 29 GBs) against Brandon Bielak this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: .247 — first Percentile.
Brandon Bielak has allowed a BABIP of .407 this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: .298 — third Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 59% (10/17) against Brandon Bielak on elevated fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 98th Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Adrian Houser has a strike rate of just 57% (299/521) with runners in scoring position since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 83 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 69% (11/16) against Adrian Houser — 4th highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 41% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 23% (67/297) against Adrian Houser with runners in scoring position since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 83 total IP; League Avg: 32% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .243 (27-for-111) against Adrian Houser on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: .339 — 99th Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Astros are 62-6 (.912) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Astros are 51-24 (.680) after a loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .483.
The Astros are 118-2 (.983) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .953.
The Astros are 74-38 (.661) after a win as favorites since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .597.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Brewers are 21-13 (.618) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are just 11-45 (.196) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .271.
The Brewers are just 0-22 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Brewers are 19-2 (.905) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .793.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 406 strikeouts in 2,343 PA’s (17%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 786 strikeouts in 4,424 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have just 85 strikeouts in 493 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Astros have won 93% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have 139 strikeouts in 462 PA’s (30%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Brewers are batting just .221 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Brewers hitters have an OPS of just .636 (462 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .747.
Brewers hitters have 579 strikeouts in 2,173 PA’s (27%) against LHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 48% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 30% against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 3% of innings played this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have walked 29 of 422 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Brewers pitchers have 50 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 2nd fewest in MLB.
Brewers pitchers have walked 2 of 104 batters (2%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Brewers pitchers have won 44% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Brewers vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Louis Voit (Brewers): Neck, D10
- Luis UrÃas (Brewers): Hamstring, D60
- Matthew Bush (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Eric Lauer (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Garrett Mitchell (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Wade Miley (Brewers): Lat Strain, D15
- Justin Wilson (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Labrum, D60
- Jason Alexander (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Brandon Woodruff (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob Bukauskas (Brewers): Spine, D15
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Luis Garcia (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
- Jose Altuve (Astros): Illness, Day-to-Day
- José Urquidy (Astros): Shoulder, D15
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